Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo Prediction

Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago·Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Universidad de Chile Rest
7 days
Colo Colo Rest
6 days

Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo: the result in context

Colo Colo beat Universidad de Chile 2-1 in the Primera División on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Colo Colo tend to win more corners, 11.0 a game to 6.2 for Universidad de Chile.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.24
X
31%3.40
2
29%2.90
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
60%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.14 = 2.56
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.84
Over 3.5
29%3.08
Under 1.5
25%3.70
Under 2.5
49%1.95
Under 3.5
71%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.42
Over 9.5
47%1.70
Over 10.5
35%2.14
Under 8.5
41%2.60
Under 9.5
53%2.03
Under 10.5
65%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 3 = 5.9
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
66%-
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
34%-

Match Events

29'Álvaro MadridAssist: Javier Correa
39'Maximiliano GuerreroFoul
42'Leandro HernándezFoul
45+1'Penalty confirmedTobías Reinhart
45+3'Charles Aránguiz(Penalty)
46'Maximiliano Guerrero INIgor Lichnovsky out
53'Javier CorreaAssist: Víctor Felipe Méndez
57'Matías ZaldiviaFoul
61'Tobías ReinhartArgument
61'Álvaro MadridFoul
63'Agustín Arce INIgnacio Vásquez out
64'Leandro Hernández INTomás Alarcón out
73'Lautaro Pastrán INMaximiliano Romero out
76'Charles Aránguiz INGonzalo Reyna out
77'Álvaro Madrid INIván Román out
83'Fabián Hormazábal INJuan Martín Lucero out
90+2'Jonathan VillagraTime wasting
90+3'Lucas BarreraArgument
90+3'Javier CorreaArgument

Lineups

Universidad de Chile
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Gago
Colo Colo
3-4-2-1Coach: Fernando Ortiz
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.85
Gabriel Castellón7.225G. Castellón
Fabián Hormazábal6.917F. Hormazábal
Matías Zaldivia7.222M. Zaldivia
Nicolás Ramírez6.35N. Ramírez
Marcelo Morales7.214M. Morales
Lucas Barrera7.529L. Barrera
Tobías Reinhart6.215T. Reinhart
Maximiliano Guerrero6.57M. Guerrero
Charles AránguizC6.620C. Aránguiz
Agustín Arce6.528A. Arce
Eduardo Vargas6.611E. Vargas
Gabriel Maureira6.525G. Maureira
Jonathan Villagra6.92J. Villagra
Arturo VidalC7.323A. Vidal
Joaquín Sosa6.34J. Sosa
Jeyson Rojas7.228J. Rojas
Álvaro Madrid7.08Á. Madrid
Víctor Felipe Méndez7.35V. Felipe Méndez
Diego Ulloa6.726D. Ulloa
Leandro Hernández7.024L. Hernández
Lautaro Pastrán6.910L. Pastrán
Javier Correa7.79J. Correa

Universidad de Chile Substitutes

3Igor Lichnovsky46'for Maximiliano Guerrero6.5
23Ignacio Vásquez63'for Agustín Arce6.9
32Gonzalo Reyna76'for Charles Aránguiz6.7
18Juan Martín Lucero83'for Fabián Hormazábal6.3
1Cristopher Toselli
31Bianneider Tamayo
8Israel Poblete
19Javier Altamirano
21Marcelo Díaz

Colo Colo Substitutes

6Tomás Alarcón64'for Leandro Hernández6.3
19Maximiliano Romero73'for Lautaro Pastrán6.2
17Iván Román77'for Álvaro Madrid6.6
29Vozinha
21Erick Wiemberg
13Matías Fernández
34Rodrigo Catalán
50Felipe Raipán
11Marcos Bolados

Match Stats

Universidad de ChileColo Colo
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots4
11Fouls19
4Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves1
428Total Passes317
336Passes Accurate224
79%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
Colo ColoColo Colo
1700Elo Rating 1713
2.87Attack 1.10
2.07Defense 1.51
58%Hit Rate 42%
17.5Shots per Game 20.3
9.1Shots on Target 4.3
6.2Corners per Game 11.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Colo ColoColo Colo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Colo ColoColo Colo3Wins · 30%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División01/03/2026
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
01
Super Cup14/09/2025
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
03
Primera División31/08/2025
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
10
Primera División12/07/2025
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
21
Primera División10/08/2024
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
00
Primera División10/03/2024
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
01
Primera División02/09/2023
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
11
Primera División12/03/2023
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
00
Primera División31/07/2022
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
13
Primera División06/03/2022
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
41

Recent Form

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
8W1D1L
15/08/2026
Deportes LimacheUniversidad de Chile
13
W
10/08/2026
Universidad de ChilePalestino
21
W
06/08/2026
Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile
01
W
02/08/2026
Universidad de ChileHuachipato
20
W
26/07/2026
A. ItalianoUniversidad de Chile
12
W
05/07/2026
Santiago WanderersUniversidad de Chile
23
W
02/07/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
01
L
28/06/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion San Felipe
20
W
25/06/2026
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
33
D
21/06/2026
Universidad de ChileSantiago Wanderers
41
W
Colo ColoColo Colo
7W2D1L

Referee Profile

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco117 matches

5.47Cards per match
5.10Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco5.47
Other referees5.68

5.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.68).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica24133851:36+1542LWWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2478927:32-529DWWLD
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2451:3642
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2427:3229
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo forecast

As a derby, this Primera División meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Universidad de Chile and Colo Colo in the Primera División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Colo Colo are 1st in the Primera División, 7 points ahead of Universidad de Chile in 2nd. League goal record so far: Universidad de Chile 45-20, Colo Colo 51-28. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.