D. La Serena vs Cobresal Prediction

D. La Serena
3-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Cobresal
La Portada, La Serena·Piero Maza, Chile 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
D. La Serena Rest
8 days
Cobresal Rest
6 days

D. La Serena vs Cobresal: result, form and history

D. La Serena and Cobresal drew 3-3 in the Primera División on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Cobresal tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.9 for D. La Serena.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.66
X
24%3.83
2
19%4.55
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
43%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.62
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.1 = 2.66
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.65
Over 3.5
33%2.60
Under 1.5
24%4.25
Under 2.5
48%2.18
Under 3.5
67%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.37
Over 9.5
53%1.68
Over 10.5
39%2.09
Under 8.5
34%2.78
Under 9.5
47%2.07
Under 10.5
61%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3.5 = 6.2
Over 3.5
91%-
Over 4.5
75%-
Under 3.5
9%-
Under 4.5
25%-

Match Events

6'Ángelo HenríquezAssist: Jeisson Vargas
20'Franco BechtholdtFoul
29'Julián BreaAssist: Felipe Villagrán
50'Felipe ChamorroFoul
53'Christian MorenoFoul
57'Benjamín ValenzuelaFoul
59'Ángelo Henríquez INDiego Rubio out
60'Julián Brea INCésar Yanis out
64'Christian MorenoOG
66'Matías MarínAssist: Felipe Chamorro
69'Fernando Dinamarca INYahir Salazar out
69'Gonzalo Escalante INGonzalo Gabriel Figueroa out
70'Benjamín Valenzuela INFranco Frías out
73'Bruno GutiérrezFoul
76'Steffan Pino INMartín Espinoza out
76'Janpol Morales INBryan Carvallo out
76'Victor Manuel Campos Mella INAaron Astudillo out
80'Franco Frías
90'Rafael DelgadoOG

Lineups

D. La Serena
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco Bozan
Cobresal
4-1-4-1Coach: Gustavo Huerta
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.58
José Tapia6.731J. Tapia
Bruno Gutiérrez5.621B. Gutiérrez
Ian Rasso6.034I. Rasso
Rafael Delgado6.233R. Delgado
Fernando Dinamarca6.926F. Dinamarca
Gonzalo Escalante7.28G. Escalante
Sebastián Díaz7.26S. Díaz
Matías Marín8.023M. Marín
Felipe Chamorro6.214F. Chamorro
Jeisson VargasC7.710J. Vargas
Ángelo Henríquez6.99Á. Henríquez
Matías Olguín7.336M. Olguín
Victor Manuel Campos Mella5.043V. Manuel Campos Mella
José TiznadoC6.920J. Tiznado
Christian Moreno5.218C. Moreno
Antonio Castillo6.315A. Castillo
Franco Bechtholdt6.916F. Bechtholdt
Julián Brea8.011J. Brea
Benjamín Valenzuela6.313B. Valenzuela
Felipe Villagrán7.738F. Villagrán
Janpol Morales6.239J. Morales
Steffan Pino6.68S. Pino

D. La Serena Substitutes

11Diego Rubio59'for Ángelo Henríquez6.9
17Yahir Salazar69'for Fernando Dinamarca5.9
2Gonzalo Gabriel Figueroa69'for Gonzalo Escalante6.2
38Ignacio Sáez
16Joaquín Gutiérrez
29Matías Pinto
5Lucas Alarcón
3Matías Pérez
28Joan Orellana

Cobresal Substitutes

7César Yanis60'for Julián Brea6.3
32Franco Frías70'for Benjamín Valenzuela80'7.3
22Aaron Astudillo76'for Victor Manuel Campos Mella6.3
10Bryan Carvallo76'for Janpol Morales6.7
37Martín Espinoza76'for Steffan Pino6.3
44Camilo Sepúlveda
23Guillermo Pacheco
6Esteban Valencia
3Benjamín Villarroel

Match Stats

D. La SerenaCobresal
55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots21
10Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box12
5Blocked Shots7
15Fouls10
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves8
405Total Passes329
328Passes Accurate247
81%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
CobresalCobresal
1537Elo Rating 1467
1.74Attack 1.36
1.29Defense 1.61
58%Hit Rate 34%
12.2Shots per Game 16.4
5.4Shots on Target 6.2
4.9Corners per Game 6.9
3.4Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CobresalCobresal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

D. La SerenaD. La Serena4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
CobresalCobresal3Wins · 30%
2.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa Chile02/07/2026
CobresalD. La Serena
01
Copa Chile24/06/2026
D. La SerenaCobresal
00
Primera División27/02/2026
CobresalD. La Serena
01
Primera División26/07/2025
D. La SerenaCobresal
02
Copa Chile11/05/2025
D. La SerenaCobresal
11
Primera División23/02/2025
CobresalD. La Serena
31
Copa Chile27/01/2025
CobresalD. La Serena
12
Primera División06/08/2022
CobresalD. La Serena
11
Primera División11/03/2022
D. La SerenaCobresal
23
Primera División10/10/2021
D. La SerenaCobresal
21

Recent Form

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
3W3D4L
15/08/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena
02
W
08/08/2026
Coquimbo UnidoD. La Serena
11
D
02/08/2026
D. La SerenaO'Higgins
12
L
26/07/2026
U. CatolicaD. La Serena
33
D
12/07/2026
CobreloaD. La Serena
10
L
05/07/2026
D. La SerenaAntofagasta
24
L
02/07/2026
CobresalD. La Serena
01
W
28/06/2026
D. La SerenaCobreloa
21
W
24/06/2026
D. La SerenaCobresal
00
D
21/06/2026
AntofagastaD. La Serena
42
L
CobresalCobresal
1W3D6L
16/08/2026
CobresalConcepción
02
L
08/08/2026
U. CatolicaCobresal
20
L
01/08/2026
CobresalUnion La Calera
40
W
25/07/2026
HuachipatoCobresal
33
D
12/07/2026
AntofagastaCobresal
10
L
05/07/2026
CobresalCobreloa
22
D
02/07/2026
CobresalD. La Serena
01
L
28/06/2026
CobresalAntofagasta
01
L
24/06/2026
D. La SerenaCobresal
00
D
20/06/2026
CobreloaCobresal
20
L

Referee Profile

Piero Maza190 matches

5.66Cards per match
5.26Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Piero Maza5.66
Other referees5.34

5.66 cards a match, 0.32 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.34).

Cards come from 167 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo26184457:29+2858WDLDD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile26146645:21+2448LWWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica26144853:37+1646WDLWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido251051038:35+335WLWLL
8NublenseNublense2698930:39-935LWLLL
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena26810839:42-334DWLLW
10HuachipatoHuachipato25961034:40-633DDWWW
11ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins26941330:39-931WDLLW
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2579928:33-530DDWWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion26651519:47-2823LLDLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera26561523:43-2021LWDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2657:2958
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2645:2148
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2653:3746
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2538:3535
8NublenseNublense2630:3935
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2639:4234
10HuachipatoHuachipato2534:4033
11ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2630:3931
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2528:3330
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2619:4723
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2623:4321

About the D. La Serena vs Cobresal forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

D. La Serena and Cobresal in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, D. La Serena are 9th and Cobresal 14th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: D. La Serena 39-42, Cobresal 36-46. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.