A. Italiano vs Union La Calera Prediction

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago·Mario Salvo Sepulveda, Chile 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.72
SignalGOODModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+13.4%
A. Italiano Rest
6 days
Union La Calera Rest
5 days

A. Italiano vs Union La Calera: result, form and history

A. Italiano and Union La Calera drew 0-0 in the Primera División on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Union La Calera have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Referee Mario Salvo Sepulveda averages 6.00 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.88
X
25%3.35
2
19%3.90
Double Chance
1X
81%1.22
X2
44%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.85
No
40%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.1 = 2.73
Over 1.5
76%1.33
Over 2.5
55%2.05
Over 3.5
34%3.70
Under 1.5
24%3.10
Under 2.5
45%1.73
Under 3.5
66%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.35
Over 9.5
46%1.59
Over 10.5
33%2.01
Under 8.5
43%2.89
Under 9.5
54%2.17
Under 10.5
67%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

26'J. SotoFoul
27'C. PinaresFoul
36'B. Oyarzo MunozFoul
42'K. MendezFoul
46'P. Guajardo ING. Chiaverano out
59'K. Mendez INF. Pozzo out
59'Y. W. Andia Leon INY. Leiva out
64'M. Collao INA. Uribe out
67'V. LavinFoul
70'J. Soto INC. Villanueva out
70'B. Ferreyra INM. Campos out
72'F. MateosFoul
76'C. Pinares INM. Sandoval out
76'M. Fuentes INF. Loyola out
79'F. LoyolaFoul
81'F. Troyansky IND. Coelho out
90+3'R. RebolledoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

A. Italiano
Coach: Patricio Graff
Union La Calera
Coach: Martin Cicotello

A. Italiano Starting XI

1T. Ahumada
35R. Rebolledo90+3'
13E. Ferrario
29M. Ortiz
3F. Salomoni
8M. Collao64'replaced by A. Uribe
7P. Guajardo46'replaced by G. Chiaverano
28F. Mateos72'
19C. Pinares27'76'replaced by M. Sandoval
27M. Fuentes76'replaced by F. Loyola
11F. Troyansky81'replaced by D. Coelho

Union La Calera Starting XI

1N. Avellaneda
25C. Diaz
15J. Salomoni
6V. Lavin67'
4C. Gutierrez
23R. Perez
10K. Mendez42'59'replaced by F. Pozzo
2Y. W. Andia Leon59'replaced by Y. Leiva
29J. Soto26'70'replaced by C. Villanueva
7B. Oyarzo Munoz36'
32B. Ferreyra70'replaced by M. Campos

A. Italiano Substitutes

25P. Garrido
4D. Pina
6M. Sandoval76'for C. Pinares
2V. Zenteno
30A. Uribe64'for M. Collao
22D. Pizarro
17F. Loyola76'for M. Fuentes79'
21G. Chiaverano46'for P. Guajardo
9D. Coelho81'for F. Troyansky

Union La Calera Substitutes

12N. Espinoza
27D. Gutierrez
8Y. Leiva59'for Y. W. Andia Leon
5C. Moya
20J. Cruz
14C. Villanueva70'for J. Soto
9F. Pozzo59'for K. Mendez
17M. Hiriart
19M. Campos70'for B. Ferreyra

Match Stats

A. ItalianoUnion La Calera
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks8
4Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots10
1Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots2
11Fouls15
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
389Total Passes358
306Passes Accurate251
79%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
1585Elo Rating 1544
0.64Attack 1.02
2.31Defense 2.17
14%Hit Rate 23%
13.1Shots per Game 9.7
3.7Shots on Target 3.0
5.2Corners per Game 5.9
5.5Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

A. ItalianoA. Italiano2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera6Wins · 60%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División28/02/2026
Union La CaleraA. Italiano
30
Primera División17/10/2025
A. ItalianoUnion La Calera
43
Primera División26/04/2025
Union La CaleraA. Italiano
10
Primera División02/09/2024
Union La CaleraA. Italiano
21
Primera División15/04/2024
A. ItalianoUnion La Calera
22
Primera División25/09/2023
A. ItalianoUnion La Calera
21
Primera División19/03/2023
Union La CaleraA. Italiano
00
Primera División10/10/2022
A. ItalianoUnion La Calera
02
Primera División10/05/2022
Union La CaleraA. Italiano
10
Primera División12/09/2021
A. ItalianoUnion La Calera
23

Recent Form

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
5W2D3L
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
3W2D5L
16/08/2026
NublenseUnion La Calera
21
L
09/08/2026
Union La CaleraColo Colo
12
L
06/08/2026
Santiago WanderersUnion La Calera
04
W
01/08/2026
CobresalUnion La Calera
40
L
28/07/2026
Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
11
D
12/07/2026
Coquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera
5041
L
09/07/2026
Union La CaleraCoquimbo Unido
01
L
04/07/2026
Union San FelipeUnion La Calera
11
D
02/07/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
01
W
28/06/2026
Union La CaleraSantiago Wanderers
40
W

Referee Profile

Mario Salvo Sepulveda46 matches

6.00Cards per match
5.64Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mario Salvo Sepulveda6.00
Other referees5.50

6.00 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.50).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo26184457:29+2858WDLDD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile26146645:21+2448LWWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica26144853:37+1646WDLWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina26117843:33+1040DLWWL
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WWDLW
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido251051038:35+335WLWLL
8NublenseNublense2698930:39-935LWLLL
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena26810839:42-334DWLLW
10HuachipatoHuachipato25961034:40-633DDWWW
11ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins26941330:39-931WDLLW
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2579928:33-530LDDWW
14CobresalCobresal26761338:48-1027DDDWL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion26651519:47-2823LLDLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera26561523:43-2021LWDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2657:2958
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2645:2148
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2653:3746
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2643:3340
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2538:3535
8NublenseNublense2630:3935
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2639:4234
10HuachipatoHuachipato2534:4033
11ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2630:3931
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2528:3330
14CobresalCobresal2638:4827
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2619:4723
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2623:4321

About the A. Italiano vs Union La Calera forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

A. Italiano and Union La Calera in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, A. Italiano are 13th and Union La Calera 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: A. Italiano 28-33, Union La Calera 23-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.