Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano Prediction

Municipal de Collao, Concepción·Matias Assadi, Chile 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalHIGHModel40%SurpriseHighGap+10.2%
Universidad de Concepcion Rest
26 days
A. Italiano Rest
5 days

Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano: the result in context

A. Italiano beat Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 in the Primera División on 1 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: A. Italiano had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Universidad de Concepcion.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.50
X
23%3.30
2
27%2.70
Double Chance
1X
73%1.41
X2
50%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.25 = 2.51
Over 1.5
71%1.28
Over 2.5
48%1.90
Over 3.5
27%3.20
Under 1.5
29%3.40
Under 2.5
52%1.85
Under 3.5
73%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'G. ChiaveranoAssist: P. Guajardo
34'D. PinaSerious foul
37'B. SotoFoul
46'B. Soto INM. Ortiz out
61'P. GuajardoUnsportsmanlike conduct
61'J. EspejoFoul
62'J. Espejo INM. Barbieri out
62'C. Mesias INL. Rojas out
67'F. Mateos INM. Sandoval out
67'P. Guajardo IND. Pizarro out
74'I. GonzalezFoul
75'B. Saez INA. Diaz out
78'G. ChiaveranoFoul
82'G. Chiaverano INA. Uribe out
82'B. Ogaz IND. Sabando out
82'I. Gonzalez INH. Salgado out
87'F. Troyansky IND. Monreal out
90+3'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Mater

Lineups

Universidad de Concepcion
4-3-3Coach: Cristhian Duarte
A. Italiano
4-1-3-2Coach: Patricio Graff
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.90
José Sanhueza6.613J. Sanhueza
Jorge Espejo6.921J. Espejo
Benjamín Sáez6.732B. Sáez
Bastián Ubal7.26B. Ubal
Yerco Oyanedel7.015Y. Oyanedel
Facundo Mater7.78F. Mater
Bryan Ogaz6.916B. Ogaz
Cristhofer Mesías6.319C. Mesías
Jeison Fuentealba6.710J. Fuentealba
Cecilio WatermanC6.618C. Waterman
Iam González6.77I. González
Tomás Ahumada8.21T. Ahumada
Raimundo Rebolledo7.235R. Rebolledo
Enzo Ferrario7.013E. Ferrario
Daniel Piña5.54D. Piña
Oliver RojasC7.516O. Rojas
Bryan Soto6.332B. Soto
Paolo Guajardo6.97P. Guajardo
Federico Mateos7.028F. Mateos
César Pinares7.219C. Pinares
Franco Troyansky7.211F. Troyansky
Giovani Chiaverano7.521G. Chiaverano

Universidad de Concepcion Substitutes

3Miguel Barbieri62'for J. Espejo7.3
20Luis Rojas62'for C. Mesias7.2
11Antonio Díaz75'for B. Saez6.3
25Harol Salgado6.7
29Diego Antonio Sabando Sanhueza82'for B. Ogaz6.3
1Jorge Broun
23Patricio Romero
34Francisco Herrera
36Martin Suazo

A. Italiano Substitutes

29Marcelo Ortíz46'for B. Soto7.0
6Mario Sandoval67'replaced by F. Mateos6.6
22Damián Pizarro67'for P. Guajardo6.3
30Ariel Uribe82'for G. Chiaverano6.7
14Diego Monreal6.3
25Pedro Garrido
8Marco Collao
9Diego Coelho
27Michael Vadulli

Match Stats

Universidad de ConcepcionA. Italiano
66%Ball Possession34%
9Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
15Fouls8
2Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves6
475Total Passes250
385Passes Accurate162
81%Pass Accuracy65%

Team Comparison

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
1389Elo Rating 1579
0.75Attack 0.58
1.58Defense 2.50
14%Hit Rate 31%
11.0Shots per Game 13.3
3.3Shots on Target 3.9
4.5Corners per Game 5.7
4.6Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
A. ItalianoA. Italiano1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División07/02/2026
A. ItalianoUniversidad de Concepcion
30

Recent Form

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
2W3D5L
05/07/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionRangers de Talca
20
W
01/07/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionNublense
01
L
28/06/2026
Curico UnidoUniversidad de Concepcion
22
D
26/06/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
42
L
21/06/2026
Rangers de TalcaUniversidad de Concepcion
21
L
14/06/2026
U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion
51
L
07/06/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
21
L
30/05/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionUnion La Calera
00
D
23/05/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
22
D
16/05/2026
O'HigginsUniversidad de Concepcion
01
W
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
4W3D3L
26/07/2026
A. ItalianoUniversidad de Chile
12
L
11/07/2026
MagallanesA. Italiano
01
W
05/07/2026
Deportes Santa CruzA. Italiano
21
L
01/07/2026
A. ItalianoPalestino
32
W
27/06/2026
A. ItalianoMagallanes
21
W
24/06/2026
PalestinoA. Italiano
12
W
20/06/2026
A. ItalianoDeportes Santa Cruz
01
L
13/06/2026
A. ItalianoD. La Serena
11
D
07/06/2026
Universidad de ChileA. Italiano
22
D
01/06/2026
PalestinoA. Italiano
00
D

Referee Profile

Matias Assadi7 matches analysed

5.42Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 89% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica25134852:37+1543DLWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2579928:33-530DDWWL
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2552:3743
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2528:3330
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the Universidad de Concepcion vs A. Italiano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Universidad de Concepcion and A. Italiano in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, A. Italiano are 12th and Universidad de Concepcion 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Universidad de Concepcion 18-41, A. Italiano 28-33. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Universidad de Concepcion and A. Italiano have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.