Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina Prediction

Municipal Nicolas Chahuan, La Calera·Matias Assadi, Chile 28/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseHighGap+3.8%
Union La Calera Rest
15 days
Everton de Vina Rest
16 days

Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina: the result in context

Union La Calera and Everton de Vina drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 28 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Union La Calera have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.38
X
28%3.15
2
28%2.92
Double Chance
1X
72%1.36
X2
56%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.82
No
47%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.16 = 2.40
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
48%2.11
Over 3.5
26%3.85
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
52%1.69
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'N. MontielFoul
35'H. MagallanesFoul
45+2'J. SalomoniFoul
52'N. Montiel
54'N. PalmaFoul
59'N. Palma INF. Pozzo out
63'C. VillanuevaFoul
68'N. Montiel INC. Palacios out
69'J. Ovalle ING. Charrupi out
69'Y. W. Andia Leon INY. Leiva out
74'B. Martinez INE. M. Ramos Aviles out
74'B. Berrios INA. Arroyo out
84'C. Moya INR. Perez out
84'B. Oyarzo Munoz INA. Encinas out
84'C. Villanueva INJ. Cruz out
89'L. Soto INR. Gonzalez out
90'A. ArroyoFoul
90+1'F. PozzoAssist: C. Diaz

Lineups

Union La Calera
4-5-1Coach: Martin Cicotello
Everton de Vina
4-4-2Coach: Davis Gonzalez
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.77
Nicolás Avellaneda7.31N. Avellaneda
Christopher DíazC8.025C. Díaz
Nicolás Palma6.73N. Palma
Juan Salomoni6.315J. Salomoni
Daniel Gutiérrez6.627D. Gutiérrez
Bayron Oyarzo6.07B. Oyarzo
Yonathan Andía6.32Y. Andía
Carlo Villanueva6.914C. Villanueva
Camilo Moya7.35C. Moya
Cristián Gutiérrez6.94C. Gutiérrez
Matías Campos López6.319M. Campos López
Ignacio González6.91I. González
Lucas Soto6.98L. Soto
Hugo Magallanes6.34H. Magallanes
Diego OyarzúnC7.224D. Oyarzún
Vicente Fernández6.915V. Fernández
Josué Ovalle6.720J. Ovalle
Benjamín Berríos6.721B. Berríos
Joaquín Moya6.97J. Moya
Braian Martínez6.929B. Martínez
Alan Medina7.210A. Medina
Nicolás Montiel6.640N. Montiel

Union La Calera Substitutes

9Francisco Jose Pozzo59'for N. Palma90+1'6.9
8Yerko Leiva69'for Y. W. Andia Leon6.9
12Nelson Espinoza
26Michael Maturana
6Vicente Lavín
18Axel Encinas6.5
20Joan Cruz84'for C. Villanueva6.7
23Rodrigo Pérez84'for C. Moya6.7
30Maximiliano Fernandez

Everton de Vina Substitutes

30Cristian Palacios68'for N. Montiel6.3
6Gustavo Charrupi69'for J. Ovalle6.9
25Esteban Kirkman
37Valentín Vidal
5Ramiro González89'for L. Soto
14Nicolás Baeza
13Andrés Arroyo74'for B. Berrios90'6.5
11Emiliano Ramos74'for B. Martinez6.7
9Julián Alfaro

Match Stats

Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
65%Ball Possession35%
9Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
14Fouls10
1Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
514Total Passes281
442Passes Accurate197
86%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
1544Elo Rating 1625
1.02Attack 1.65
2.17Defense 0.96
23%Hit Rate 39%
9.7Shots per Game 13.5
3.0Shots on Target 6.0
5.9Corners per Game 5.9
2.3Cards per Game 2.7

Game State Tendencies

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2Wins · 20%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División02/02/2026
Everton de VinaUnion La Calera
01
Primera División13/09/2025
Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
10
Primera División20/04/2025
Everton de VinaUnion La Calera
11
Copa Chile05/04/2025
Everton de VinaUnion La Calera
20
Copa Chile01/02/2025
Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
10
Primera División13/10/2024
Everton de VinaUnion La Calera
01
Primera División20/04/2024
Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
01
CONMEBOL Sudamericana06/03/2024
Everton de VinaUnion La Calera
01
Primera División16/07/2023
Everton de VinaUnion La Calera
12
Primera División28/01/2023
Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
32

Recent Form

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
3W4D3L
12/07/2026
Coquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera
5041
L
09/07/2026
Union La CaleraCoquimbo Unido
01
L
04/07/2026
Union San FelipeUnion La Calera
11
D
02/07/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
01
W
28/06/2026
Union La CaleraSantiago Wanderers
40
W
25/06/2026
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
33
D
21/06/2026
Union La CaleraUnion San Felipe
02
L
14/06/2026
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
22
D
07/06/2026
D. La SerenaUnion La Calera
02
W
30/05/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionUnion La Calera
00
D
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
4W3D3L
11/07/2026
Deportes CopiapoEverton de Vina
01
W
04/07/2026
San LuisEverton de Vina
22
D
01/07/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
21
L
27/06/2026
Everton de VinaDeportes Copiapo
30
W
24/06/2026
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
13
L
21/06/2026
Everton de VinaSan Luis
22
D
13/06/2026
Everton de VinaPalestino
12
L
08/06/2026
Deportes LimacheEverton de Vina
01
W
31/05/2026
O'HigginsEverton de Vina
23
W
22/05/2026
Everton de VinaCoquimbo Unido
11
D

Referee Profile

Matias Assadi7 matches analysed

5.42Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 89% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo26184457:29+2858WDLDD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile26146645:21+2448LWWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica26144853:37+1646WDLWW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache261241048:37+1140WWDLW
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina26117843:33+1040DLWWL
6PalestinoPalestino261151039:37+238LDDLW
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido251051038:35+335WLWLL
8ConcepciónConcepción261051128:30-235WLDDL
9NublenseNublense2698930:39-935LWLLL
10D. La SerenaD. La Serena26810839:42-334DWLLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato25961034:40-633DDWWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins26941330:39-931WDLLW
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano26791028:35-730LDDWW
14CobresalCobresal26761338:48-1027DDDWL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion26651519:47-2823LLDLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera26561523:43-2021LWDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2657:2958
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2645:2148
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2653:3746
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2648:3740
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2643:3340
6PalestinoPalestino2639:3738
7Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2538:3535
8ConcepciónConcepción2628:3035
9NublenseNublense2630:3935
10D. La SerenaD. La Serena2639:4234
11HuachipatoHuachipato2534:4033
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2630:3931
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2628:3530
14CobresalCobresal2638:4827
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2619:4723
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2623:4321

About the Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union La Calera and Everton de Vina in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Everton de Vina are 5th and Union La Calera 16th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Union La Calera 23-43, Everton de Vina 43-33. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.