Concepción vs U. Catolica Prediction

Concepción
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
U. Catolica
Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción·D. Flores 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseHighGap+4.8%
Concepción Rest
6 days
U. Catolica Rest
7 days

Concepción vs U. Catolica: the result in context

Concepción beat U. Catolica 3-0 in the Primera División on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee D. Flores averages 6.65 cards a game, 0.81 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.35
X
27%3.48
2
49%2.00
Double Chance
1X
51%1.73
X2
76%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.70
No
47%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.25 = 2.34
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
48%1.83
Over 3.5
26%3.10
Under 1.5
28%3.60
Under 2.5
52%1.92
Under 3.5
74%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'B. CerezoFoul
10'J. Montecinos
26'Y. RodriguezUnsportsmanlike conduct
30'J. ValenciaFoul
32'J. LarriveyAssist: J. Montecinos
42'D. GarneroUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'C. Cuevas INM. Palavecino out
55'F. GrilloDelay of game
66'B. AmpueroFoul
67'J. Montecinos INF. Romero out
69'N. RodriguezAssist: J. Henriquez
69'D. Corral INM. Gomez out
69'J. Giani INJ. Rossel out
69'Y. Rodriguez INF. Martinez out
79'J. Henriquez INC. Riquelme out
79'J. Larrivey IND. Acosta out
85'E. Espinoza INM. Cavalleri out
85'B. Cerezo INA. Farias out
85'J. Valencia INI. Perez out
87'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Romero
90+3'J. DiazHandling

Lineups

Concepción
4-2-3-1Coach: Patricio Almendra
U. Catolica
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.39
Nicolás Araya8.225N. Araya
Ariel Cáceres7.34A. Cáceres
Norman Rodríguez8.721N. Rodríguez
Fausto Grillo7.337F. Grillo
Dilan Varas6.929D. Varas
Yonathan Rodríguez6.518Y. Rodríguez
Mario Sandoval7.316M. Sandoval
Joaquín Montecinos8.015J. Montecinos
Jorge Henríquez7.220J. Henríquez
Ethan Espinoza7.330E. Espinoza
Joaquín LarriveyC7.332J. Larrivey
Darío Melo5.727D. Melo
Bernardo Cerezo6.028B. Cerezo
Branco Ampuero5.919B. Ampuero
Juan Ignacio Díaz5.926J. Ignacio Díaz
Eugenio Mena6.23E. Mena
Fernando Zuqui7.08F. Zuqui
Jhojan Valencia6.520J. Valencia
Diego Corral6.725D. Corral
Cristián Cuevas6.215C. Cuevas
Justo Giani6.57J. Giani
Fernando ZampedriC6.59F. Zampedri

Concepción Substitutes

7Fernando Romero67'for J. Montecinos6.2
8Fernando Martinez69'for Y. Rodriguez6.6
23Cristian Riquelme79'for J. Henriquez6.7
27Diego Acosta79'for J. Larrivey6.9
24Matías Cavalleri85'replaced by E. Espinoza6.3
12Nery Veloso
3Diego Carrasco
19Aldrix Jara
9Carlos Escobar

U. Catolica Substitutes

10Matías Palavecino46'for C. Cuevas6.5
22Martín Gómez69'for D. Corral6.3
18Juan Francisco Rossel69'for J. Giani6.9
4Ignacio Pérez85'for J. Valencia6.9
5Agustín Farías85'for B. Cerezo6.5
12Francisco Valdés
39Nicolás L'Huiller
14Jimmy Martínez
13Alfred Canales

Match Stats

ConcepciónU. Catolica
37%Ball Possession63%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
10Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
10Fouls13
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves0
279Total Passes474
202Passes Accurate378
72%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

ConcepciónConcepción
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
1580Elo Rating 1661
0.78Attack 1.09
1.41Defense 1.60
14%Hit Rate 14%
9.4Shots per Game 13.9
3.3Shots on Target 4.1
3.5Corners per Game 4.7
3.0Cards per Game 3.2

Game State Tendencies

ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

ConcepciónConcepción0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
U. CatolicaU. Catolica1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División09/02/2026
U. CatolicaConcepción
20

Recent Form

ConcepciónConcepción
6W1D3L
27/07/2026
ConcepciónO'Higgins
20
W
12/07/2026
ConcepciónD. Puerto Montt
20
W
07/07/2026
ConcepciónDeportes Temuco
20
W
03/07/2026
HuachipatoConcepción
12
W
29/06/2026
D. Puerto MonttConcepción
20
L
25/06/2026
ConcepciónHuachipato
32
W
21/06/2026
Deportes TemucoConcepción
11
D
14/06/2026
ConcepciónDeportes Limache
32
W
06/06/2026
ConcepciónCoquimbo Unido
12
L
30/05/2026
Universidad de ChileConcepción
21
L
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
8W1D1L
26/07/2026
U. CatolicaD. La Serena
33
D
11/07/2026
San LuisU. Catolica
40
L
05/07/2026
U. CatolicaDeportes Copiapo
21
W
01/07/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
21
W
28/06/2026
U. CatolicaSan Luis
42
W
24/06/2026
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
13
W
20/06/2026
Deportes CopiapoU. Catolica
03
W
14/06/2026
U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion
51
W
07/06/2026
U. CatolicaCobresal
51
W
31/05/2026
HuachipatoU. Catolica
03
W

Referee Profile

D. Flores134 matches

6.65Cards per match
6.05Yellow cards per match
0.60Red cards per match
21.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Flores6.65
Other referees5.84

6.65 cards a match, 0.81 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.84).

Cards come from 60 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica25134852:37+1543DLWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2579928:33-530DDWWL
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2552:3743
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2528:3330
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the Concepción vs U. Catolica forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Concepción and U. Catolica in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, U. Catolica are 3rd and Concepción 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Concepción 27-30, U. Catolica 52-37. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Concepción and U. Catolica have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.