Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova·Marian Barbu, Romania 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Universitatea Craiova Rest
3 days
Petrolul Ploiesti Rest
8 days

Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti: the result in context

Universitatea Craiova beat Petrolul Ploiesti 4-0 in the Liga I on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Universitatea Craiova have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.49
X
10%3.90
2
13%6.60
Double Chance
1X
87%1.10
X2
23%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.20
No
45%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.42 + 0.91 = 3.33
Over 1.5
80%1.34
Over 2.5
57%2.08
Over 3.5
29%3.70
Under 1.5
20%3.00
Under 2.5
43%1.73
Under 3.5
71%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'S. NsimbaAssist: C. Mora
18'S. NsimbaFoul
18'S. NsimbaAssist: S. Baiaram
46'C. Huseynov IND. Israel out
46'P. Papp INM. Ionita out
46'S. Nsimba INS. Elisor out
48'S. BaiaramAssist: C. Mora
61'D. Matei INL. Basceanu out
61'S. Baiaram INM. Etim out
64'B. Malula INR. Martins out
64'D. Paraschiv INR. Jerdea out
65'S. ElisorAssist: A. Mekvabishvili
69'N. Bancu INA. Cicaldau out
75'A. Mekvabishvili INA. Cretu out
79'L. ZimaUnsportsmanlike conduct
83'L. Santos Teixeira INM. Tutu out
87'D. N'LunduluFoul

Match Stats

Universitatea CraiovaPetrolul Ploiesti
62%Ball Possession38%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots8
11Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal4
19Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
15Fouls9
3Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves7
578Total Passes345
502Passes Accurate274
87%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
1766Elo Rating 1565
2.47Attack 2.95
2.39Defense 2.08
59%Hit Rate 64%
18.1Shots per Game 13.7
8.0Shots on Target 5.0
4.0Corners per Game 3.4
1.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+201 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga I19/01/2026
Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea Craiova
04
Cupa României04/12/2025
Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea Craiova
04
Liga I24/08/2025
Universitatea CraiovaPetrolul Ploiesti
20
Liga I07/12/2024
Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea Craiova
11
Cupa României04/12/2024
Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea Craiova
02
Liga I04/08/2024
Universitatea CraiovaPetrolul Ploiesti
00
Liga I29/02/2024
Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea Craiova
23
Liga I22/10/2023
Universitatea CraiovaPetrolul Ploiesti
13
Liga I05/03/2023
Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea Craiova
01
Liga I15/10/2022
Universitatea CraiovaPetrolul Ploiesti
21

Recent Form

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
5W3D2L
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
3W3D4L
24/07/2026
Arges PitestiPetrolul Ploiesti
10
L
19/07/2026
Petrolul PloiestiDinamo Bucuresti
10
W
10/07/2026
Petrolul PloiestiASA Targu Mures
11
D
03/07/2026
Arka GdyniaPetrolul Ploiesti
20
L
02/07/2026
Chojniczanka ChojnicePetrolul Ploiesti
14
W
30/06/2026
Olimpia GrudziądzPetrolul Ploiesti
41
L
27/06/2026
Lechia GdanskPetrolul Ploiesti
05
W
18/05/2026
Petrolul PloiestiOţelul
15
L
10/05/2026
FC BotosaniPetrolul Ploiesti
11
D
03/05/2026
Petrolul PloiestiUta Arad
11
D

Referee Profile

Marian Barbu162 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marian Barbu4.58
Other referees4.60

4.58 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).

Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti14103131:9+2233WDWWW
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova14102234:10+2432WWWWW
3RapidRapid1493223:13+1030WLWWW
4Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1481526:20+625WWDLW
5Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1473419:18+124DWDLW
6Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1465323:21+223WWLWL
7FCSBFCSB1463520:20021LWWWL
8Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1454516:16019WLLWW
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1453620:21-118DDLWL
10Uta AradUta Arad1453616:19-318LWWLW
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe143659:19-1015DLDLL
12FC BotosaniFC Botosani1435618:19-114LLLWL
13OţelulOţelul1426616:22-612DLDLL
14Arges PitestiArges Pitesti143388:16-812LLDLL
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari14221014:31-178LLLLL
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda1412119:28-195LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1431:933
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1434:1032
3RapidRapid1423:1330
4Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1426:2025
5Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1419:1824
6Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1423:2123
7FCSBFCSB1420:2021
8Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1416:1619
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1420:2118
10Uta AradUta Arad1416:1918
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe149:1915
12FC BotosaniFC Botosani1418:1914
13OţelulOţelul1416:2212
14Arges PitestiArges Pitesti148:1612
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1414:318
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda149:285
PromotionRelegation

About the Universitatea Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti forecast

The forecasts for this Liga I match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Universitatea Craiova and Petrolul Ploiesti in the Liga I table

In the Liga I table, Universitatea Craiova are 2nd and Petrolul Ploiesti 5th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Universitatea Craiova 34-10, Petrolul Ploiesti 19-18. The full standings are on the Liga I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Universitatea Craiova have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.