Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC Prediction

Willoughby Community Park, Langley 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Vancouver FC Rest
6 days
HFX Wanderers FC Rest
4 days

Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC: result, form and history

Vancouver FC beat HFX Wanderers FC 2-1 in the Canadian Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: HFX Wanderers FC had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Vancouver FC.

HFX Wanderers FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.88
X
26%3.56
2
24%3.44
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
50%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.50
No
41%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.15 = 2.81
Over 1.5
79%1.16
Over 2.5
57%1.57
Over 3.5
36%2.44
Under 1.5
21%4.44
Under 2.5
43%2.22
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'Penalty cancelledelage bah
24'elage bah
44'Lucas Olguin
45'elage bah INAboubacar Traore out
45'Liam MacKenzie INA. Reid out
53'Isak SsewankamboFoul
64'Ilan Ahmed Hassan INFrancesco Troisi out
66'Terran Campbell INLys Mousset out
69'A. ReidFoul
71'Isak Ssewankambo INMarcello Polisi out
72'Emrick Fotsing INBenjamin Lee out
76'Matteo.CampagnaAssist: Aboubacar Traore
81'Miguel Arilla Guinot INTavio Ciccarelli out
81'S. Zitman INAndre Rampersad out
84'Luis Toomey INNicolás Mezquida out
88'Lucas Olguin INJabu Deng out

Lineups

Vancouver FC
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Nash
HFX Wanderers FC
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Sartini
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.40
C. Irving6.91C. Irving
M. Doner6.73M. Doner
M. Campagna7.85M. Campagna
Thomas Geoffrey Field6.830T. Geoffrey Field
K. Proctor7.123K. Proctor
I. Ssewankambo6.24I. Ssewankambo
L. Toomey6.78L. Toomey
T. Bah7.77T. Bah
Emrick Fotsing6.617E. Fotsing
M. Amissi6.410M. Amissi
T. Campbell5.914T. Campbell
M. Carducci6.41M. Carducci
Jefferson Alphonse6.421J. Alphonse
T. Meilleur-Giguère6.526T. Meilleur-Giguère
Kareem Sow6.716K. Sow
I. A. Hassan6.233I. A. Hassan
S. Zitman6.822S. Zitman
L. Olguin8.25L. Olguin
Liam Mackenzie5.925L. Mackenzie
Miguel Arilla6.023M. Arilla
I. Johnston6.98I. Johnston
J. Bahamboula6.314J. Bahamboula

Vancouver FC Substitutes

21M. Polisi71'for Isak Ssewankambo6.1
9L. Mousset66'for Terran Campbell6.5
20N. Mezquida84'for Luis Toomey6.3
16Benjamin Lee72'for Emrick Fotsing6.3
2P. Gee
33Henrik Regitnig
11A. Traore45'for elage bah6.9

HFX Wanderers FC Substitutes

12S. Astridge
20Tavio Ciccarelli81'for Miguel Arilla Guinot6.3
4Jabu Deng88'replaced by Lucas Olguin
18A. Rampersad81'for S. Zitman6.1
11A. Reid45'for Liam MacKenzie69'6.0
37Caden Trestrail
17F. Troisi64'for Ilan Ahmed Hassan6.1

Match Stats

Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
10Fouls12
1Goalkeeper Saves2
397Total Passes527
330Passes Accurate462
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Vancouver FCVancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
1463Elo Rating 1428
1.44Attack 1.92
1.52Defense 0.44
23%Hit Rate 0%
10.3Shots per Game 10.1
3.3Shots on Target 2.7
3.6Corners per Game 4.9
1.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vancouver FCVancouver FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Vancouver FCVancouver FC2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC7Wins · 70%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League22/08/2026
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
10
Canadian Premier League30/05/2026
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
10
Canadian Premier League05/04/2026
Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
01
Canadian Premier League29/09/2025
Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
31
Canadian Premier League04/08/2025
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
12
Canadian Premier League21/06/2025
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
10
Canadian Premier League18/05/2025
Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
02
Canadian Premier League05/10/2024
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
11
Canadian Premier League05/08/2024
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
32
Canadian Premier League24/06/2024
Vancouver FCHFX Wanderers FC
04

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC in the Canadian Premier League table

Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC are close in the Canadian Premier League table, 5th and 7th, with 9 points between them. League goal record so far: Vancouver FC 39-37, HFX Wanderers FC 44-50. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.