Vardar Skopje vs Riga Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.41
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.41
SignalSTRONGModel39%SurpriseHighGap+13.4%
Vardar Skopje Rest
8 days
Riga Rest
4 days
Vardar Skopje vs Riga: the result in context
Riga beat Vardar Skopje 3-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%3.10
X21%3.40
241%2.15
Double Chance
1X59%1.64
X262%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.57
No53%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.17 = 2.63
Over 1.571%1.21
Over 2.552%1.70
Over 3.523%2.62
Under 1.529%3.92
Under 2.548%2.08
Under 3.577%1.41
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
15'Mislav MatićFoul
20'Baba MusahFoul
21'Orlando GaloFoul
28'D. Castaneda
35'O. GaloAssist: R. Jurkovskis
39'Iago SiqueiraAssist: O. Galo
43'Raivis JurkovskisFoul
52'Salah Oulad M'HandFoul
57'S. Oulad M'Hand INCaio Ferreira out
59'Miguel Pires ING. Zakaric out
59'B. Nikolov INN. Bosancic out
66'G. RodriguesAssist: G. Zakaric
67'M. Badamosi INReginaldo Ramires out
67'R. Aouani INPaulo Eduardo out
81'Iago SiqueiraAssist: A. Salazar
87'O. Galo INK. Wassom out
90+1'Filip NajdovskiFoul
Lineups
Vardar SkopjeRiga
3-5-2Coach: Adrian Gula
95D. Taleski
21G. Jankulov
5F. Najdovski
4M. Matić
3M. Manevski
8B. Nikolov
6D. Babunski
32D. Castañeda
71M. Pires
9A. Omeragikj
7G. Rodrigues
91F. Orols
13R. Jurkovskis
21B. Musah
34A. Černomordijs
4O. Galo
18S. Oulad M'Hand
40A. Ankrah
8I. Siqueira Augusto
17A. Salazar
19M. Badamosi
7R. AouaniVardar Skopje Substitutes
88Nemanja Bosančić59'for B. Nikolov
10Goran Zakarić59'for Miguel Pires
1Daniel Dikovski
18Nenad Miskovski
27Filip Cvetkovski
22Dimitar Todorovski
23Filip Duranski
34Ian Puleio
17Ediz Spahiu
49Dimitar Danev
31Ivo Markovski
Riga Substitutes
99Caio Ferreira57'for S. Oulad M'Hand
33Paulo67'for R. Aouani
10Reginaldo Ramires67'for M. Badamosi
5Karl Gameni Wassom87'for O. Galo
31Athanasios Papadoudis
44Marcis Kazainis
3Abner
23Maksims Tonisevs
11Brian Peña
22Meïssa Diop
25Abdulrahman Taiwo
Team Comparison
Vardar SkopjeRiga1707Elo Rating 1760
1.37Attack 1.39
2.38Defense 2.31
59%Hit Rate 54%
-Shots per Game 16.9
-Shots on Target 6.1
-Corners per Game 4.8
-Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Vardar Skopje- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Riga- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
Recent Form
Vardar Skopje8W1D1L
14/07/2026
KuPSVardar Skopje
07/07/2026KuPSVardar Skopje2032
WVardar SkopjeKuPS02
L30/06/2026
VirtusVardar Skopje
VirtusVardar Skopje23
W27/06/2026
La FioritaVardar Skopje
La FioritaVardar Skopje11
D23/05/2026Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
Vardar SkopjeShkendija30
W15/05/2026
StrugaVardar Skopje
StrugaVardar Skopje01
W09/05/2026Vardar Skopje
Sileks
Vardar SkopjeSileks21
W02/05/2026
Bashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje
Bashkimi KumanovoVardar Skopje02
W26/04/2026Vardar Skopje
Tikveš
Vardar SkopjeTikveš70
W18/04/2026
Shkupi 1927Vardar Skopje
Shkupi 1927Vardar Skopje07
WRiga8W1D1L
18/07/2026Riga
Tukums
14/07/2026RigaTukums31
WRiga
Ararat-Armenia32
W10/07/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga
07/07/2026Leevon / PPKRiga23
WArarat-ArmeniaRiga20
L03/07/2026Riga
FS Jelgava
29/06/2026RigaFS Jelgava30
W
AudaRiga02
W25/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRiga00
D21/06/2026Riga
FK Liepaja40
W17/06/2026Riga
Rīgas FS21
W13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
Ogre UnitedRiga14
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LarneBrighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
Hradec KrálovéSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafe
TromsoHNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagInter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FFTwenteFC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
BaşakşehirVardar SkopjeRiga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
GaisFC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea ClujBrann
FC Vaduz
FCSBAuda
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
Aluminij
VojvodinaAjax
PolessyaFC Copenhagen
PaksPanathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
LudogoretsBorac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ CherkasyGentFC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriExplore more predictions
This match
- Vardar Skopje Predictions
- Riga Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Vardar Skopje vs Riga forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Vardar Skopje and Riga have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.