Viking vs Lillestrom Prediction

Viking
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Lillestrom
SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger·Stian Rovig Sletner 20/09/2026
VikingViking
3-0
Finished
LillestromLillestrom

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.29
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Viking Rest
7 days
Lillestrom Rest
2 days

Viking vs Lillestrom: result, form and history

Viking beat Lillestrom 3-0 in the Eliteserien on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Viking have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Viking tend to win more corners, 4.9 a game to 2.6 for Lillestrom.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.33
X
17%5.50
2
12%7.10
Double Chance
1X
88%1.09
X2
29%3.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.48
No
39%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.43 + 0.89 = 3.32
Over 1.5
88%1.07
Over 2.5
71%1.29
Over 3.5
50%1.75
Under 1.5
12%7.90
Under 2.5
29%3.50
Under 3.5
50%2.04
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.2 + 3.4 = 10.6
Over 8.5
66%1.16
Over 9.5
57%1.32
Over 10.5
45%1.57
Under 8.5
34%3.65
Under 9.5
43%2.90
Under 10.5
55%2.20
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.9 = 3.2
Over 3.5
39%-
Over 4.5
21%-
Under 3.5
61%-
Under 4.5
79%-

Match Events

8'Kristoffer HaugenAssist: Zlatko Tripić
43'Gianni Stensness
71'Joe BellFoul
76'Zlatko Tripić INSimen Kvia Egeskog out
76'Frederik Elkaer INWinston Robin Yaw Paintsil out
76'Eric Kitolano INYildren Ibrahimaj out
76'Joe Bell INTobias Moi out
79'Peter Christiansen(Penalty)
80'Daniel Bassi INHenrik Molvaer Melland out
80'Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim INGustav Nordh out
83'Kristoffer Askildsen INJakob Segadal Hansen out
83'Henrik Bjørdal INNiklas Fuglestad out
84'Felix VáFoul
87'Lars Ranger INSturla Ottesen out
88'Kristoffer Haugen INVetle Auklend out

Lineups

Viking
4-4-2Coach: B. Aarsheim
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1Coach: H. Ødegaard
Avg rating6.97
Avg rating6.25
A. Østbø7.61A. Østbø
H. Heggheim7.05H. Heggheim
G. Stensness7.76G. Stensness
H. Falchener7.025H. Falchener
K. Haugen7.928K. Haugen
H. Bjørdal6.516H. Bjørdal
J. Bell6.58J. Bell
K. Askildsen6.77K. Askildsen
Z. Tripić7.710Z. Tripić
P. Christiansen7.820P. Christiansen
E. Botheim6.922E. Botheim
P. Dahlberg6.612P. Dahlberg
L. Ranger6.42L. Ranger
R. Gabrielsen6.328R. Gabrielsen
S. Kristiansen6.547S. Kristiansen
F. Elkær6.111F. Elkær
F. Ottosson6.121F. Ottosson
E. Kitolano6.017E. Kitolano
D. Bassi6.822D. Bassi
G. Nyheim6.014G. Nyheim
Vá5.720Vá
T. Lehne Olsen6.410T. Lehne Olsen

Viking Substitutes

24Vetle Auklend88'for Kristoffer Haugen6.4
30Ľ. Belko
27J. Daland
23N. Fuglestad83'for Henrik Bjørdal6.7
33J. Hansen83'for Kristoffer Askildsen6.1
2H. Haugen
26S. Kvia-Egeskog76'for Zlatko Tripić6.6
29T. Moi76'for Joe Bell6.8
11R. Postema

Lillestrom Substitutes

16H. Melland80'for Daniel Bassi5.9
15G. Nordh80'for Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim7.1
3S. Ottesen87'for Lars Ranger5.6
26Y. Paintsil76'for Frederik Elkaer6.2
18K. Krygård
29Y. Ibrahimaj76'for Eric Kitolano6.3
1S. Hagerup
5S. Foss
25S. Akanji

Match Stats

VikingLillestrom
45%Ball Possession55%
7Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
23Total Shots15
9Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal7
16Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls10
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves6
420Total Passes527
349Passes Accurate441
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

VikingViking
LillestromLillestrom
1872Elo Rating 1685
2.34Attack 1.70
0.62Defense 0.96
39%Hit Rate 66%
11.7Shots per Game 12.2
4.4Shots on Target 4.2
4.9Corners per Game 2.6
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+187 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.32 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

VikingViking
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LillestromLillestrom
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

VikingViking7Wins · 78%
Draws00%
LillestromLillestrom2Wins · 22%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9

Previous meetings

Eliteserien22/07/2026
LillestromViking
12
Eliteserien29/09/2024
LillestromViking
14
Eliteserien16/05/2024
VikingLillestrom
14
Eliteserien13/08/2023
LillestromViking
13
Eliteserien15/04/2023
VikingLillestrom
20
Eliteserien09/10/2022
VikingLillestrom
03
Eliteserien10/07/2022
LillestromViking
01
Eliteserien23/10/2021
VikingLillestrom
51
Eliteserien24/05/2021
LillestromViking
13

Recent Form

LillestromLillestrom
4W2D4L
17/09/2026
LillestromTorreense
12
L
12/09/2026
LillestromValerenga
20
W
05/09/2026
BrannLillestrom
12
W
02/09/2026
Aurskog FinstadbruLillestrom
03
W
30/08/2026
LillestromFredrikstad
14
L
27/08/2026
LillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë
2111
W
20/08/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom
00
D
15/08/2026
KFUM OsloLillestrom
11
D
09/08/2026
LillestromRosenborg
02
L
31/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtLillestrom
40
L

Referee Profile

Stian Rovig Sletner105 matches

3.29Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.04Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Stian Rovig Sletner3.29
Other referees3.48

3.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.48).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Viking vs Lillestrom forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Viking and Lillestrom in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Viking are 1st and Lillestrom 6th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Viking 64-26, Lillestrom 35-33. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.