Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce Prediction

Stadion Widzewa Łódź, Lodz·Karol Arys, Poland 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.15
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Widzew Łódź Rest
6 days
Korona Kielce Rest
7 days

Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce: the result in context

Korona Kielce beat Widzew Łódź 2-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 15 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Widzew Łódź had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Korona Kielce.

Korona Kielce have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee Karol Arys averages 3.09 cards a game, 1.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.95
X
26%3.25
2
30%3.80
Double Chance
1X
70%1.25
X2
56%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.91
No
42%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.23 = 2.72
Over 1.5
78%1.36
Over 2.5
54%2.15
Over 3.5
30%3.80
Under 1.5
22%2.96
Under 2.5
46%1.67
Under 3.5
70%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
64%1.61
Over 9.5
53%2.00
Over 10.5
43%2.56
Under 8.5
36%2.15
Under 9.5
47%1.74
Under 10.5
57%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

8'S. KapuadiAssist: J. Shehu
22'M. FassbenderAssist: W. Dlugosz
26'S. BergierUnsportsmanlike conduct
26'M. FassbenderAssist: M. Pieczek
44'J. Gazibegovic INM. Krajewski out
46'M. Fornalczyk INA. Baena Perez out
64'M. Remacle INNono out
71'E. Kornvig INS. Akere out
79'S. Davidovic INH. Zwozny out
79'M. Stepinski IND. Bak out
84'W. DlugoszUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'M. Garcia INPaulinho Boia out
84'F. Alvarez INL. Selahi out
89'M. Fassbender INA. Mosor out
89'W. Dlugosz INN. Barczak out
90'Paulinho BoiaFoul

Lineups

Widzew Łódź
Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic
Korona Kielce
Coach: Jacek Zielinski

Widzew Łódź Starting XI

1B. Dragowski
70J. Gazibegovic44'replaced by M. Krajewski
25P. Wisniewski
3S. Kapuadi8'
40M. Garcia84'replaced by Paulinho Boia
6J. Shehu
7M. Fornalczyk46'replaced by A. Baena Perez
8E. Kornvig71'replaced by S. Akere
10F. Alvarez84'replaced by L. Selahi
28K. Swiderski
99S. Bergier26'

Korona Kielce Starting XI

1X. Dziekonski
71W. Dlugosz84'89'replaced by N. Barczak
23S. Rubezic
44K. Sotiriou
6M. Pieczek
18P. Hellebrand
35K. Jakubczyk
9S. Davidovic79'replaced by H. Zwozny
8M. Remacle64'replaced by Nono
22M. Fassbender22'26'89'replaced by A. Mosor
14M. Stepinski79'replaced by D. Bak

Widzew Łódź Substitutes

30V. Ilic
4M. Zyro
14R. Visus
91M. Krajewski44'for J. Gazibegovic
98Paulinho Boia84'for M. Garcia90'
18L. Selahi84'for F. Alvarez
20A. Klukowski
77A. Baena Perez46'for M. Fornalczyk
57S. Akere71'for E. Kornvig

Korona Kielce Substitutes

87R. Mamla
12M. Mikielewicz
24B. Smolarczyk
2A. Mosor89'for M. Fassbender
67N. Barczak89'for W. Dlugosz
10Nono64'for M. Remacle
11K. Matuszewski
37H. Zwozny79'for S. Davidovic
21K. Ciszek
20K. Minuczyc
99D. Bak79'for M. Stepinski

Team Comparison

Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
1519Elo Rating 1549
0.94Attack 1.12
1.87Defense 0.68
0%Hit Rate 37%
13.4Shots per Game 17.1
3.7Shots on Target 6.1
6.6Corners per Game 7.6
2.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Korona KielceKorona Kielce7Wins · 70%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa15/05/2026
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
10
Ekstraklasa23/11/2025
Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce
13
Ekstraklasa11/04/2025
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
21
Cup04/12/2024
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
10
Ekstraklasa04/10/2024
Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce
01
Ekstraklasa01/04/2024
Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce
31
Ekstraklasa22/09/2023
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
11
Ekstraklasa27/05/2023
Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce
03
Ekstraklasa12/11/2022
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
01
I Liga26/04/2022
Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce
12

Recent Form

Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
6W3D1L
09/08/2026
JagielloniaWidzew Łódź
02
W
31/07/2026
Wisla PlockWidzew Łódź
00
D
26/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźMotor Lublin
22
D
19/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźPuszcza Niepołomice
20
W
10/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźBeşiktaş
20
W
04/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźDunajska Streda
00
D
27/06/2026
Widzew ŁódźStal Rzeszów
40
W
23/05/2026
Widzew ŁódźPiast Gliwice
21
W
15/05/2026
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
10
L
09/05/2026
Widzew ŁódźLechia Gdansk
31
W
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
2W5D3L
08/08/2026
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
11
D
25/07/2026
JagielloniaKorona Kielce
10
L
17/07/2026
Korona KielceNieciecza
02
L
14/07/2026
Korona KielceStal Rzeszów
00
D
09/07/2026
Korona KielceOmonia Nicosia
00
D
04/07/2026
Korona KielceZemplín Michalovce
40
W
23/05/2026
Cracovia KrakowKorona Kielce
11
D
15/05/2026
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
10
W
08/05/2026
Raków CzęstochowaKorona Kielce
20
L
01/05/2026
Korona KielcePiast Gliwice
11
D

Referee Profile

Karol Arys126 matches

3.09Cards per match
2.90Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Karol Arys3.09
Other referees4.40

3.09 cards a match, 1.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.40).

Cards come from 70 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan12101132:11+2131WWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1384121:11+1028DDDWD
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1366123:11+1224DLDWW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1364316:15+122WDWLL
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1370625:19+621WLLWW
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1363424:20+421DWDWL
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1363420:18+221LWDLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1260617:18-118WWLLL
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1353514:19-518LWLLW
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1344519:22-316WDWWD
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1243512:18-615DLWLW
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1333715:21-612LLDWL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1318417:19-211LDDLD
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1332815:29-1411WLLLL
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1323817:25-89LWLLL
17Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1322917:26-98LLLLW
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1232:1131
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1321:1128
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1323:1124
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1316:1522
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1325:1921
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1324:2021
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1320:1821
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1217:1818
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1314:1918
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1319:2216
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1212:1815
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1315:2112
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1317:1911
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1315:2911
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1317:259
17Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1317:268
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

About the Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Widzew Łódź and Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Korona Kielce are 10th and Widzew Łódź 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Widzew Łódź 17-19, Korona Kielce 14-19. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.