Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

EkstraklasaPoland Poland · Regular Season - 3
Korona Kielce
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Legia Warszawa
Exbud Arena, Kielce·Jaroslaw Przybyl, Poland 08/08/2026
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
1-1
Finished
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 4.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Korona Kielce Rest
14 days
Legia Warszawa Rest
6 days

Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa: result, form and history

Korona Kielce and Legia Warszawa drew 1-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 8 Aug 2026. Legia Warszawa had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Korona Kielce.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Korona Kielce tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 3.7 for Legia Warszawa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%2.76
X
26%3.15
2
50%2.50
Double Chance
1X
50%1.47
X2
76%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.76
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.01 + 1.59 = 2.60
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.04
Over 3.5
23%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.15
Under 2.5
55%1.74
Under 3.5
77%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
62%1.50
Over 9.5
50%1.83
Over 10.5
39%2.32
Under 8.5
38%2.42
Under 9.5
50%1.89
Under 10.5
61%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 1.8 = 4.4
Over 3.5
62%1.44
Over 4.5
44%1.95
Under 3.5
38%2.47
Under 4.5
56%1.76

Match Events

28'L. ZjawinskiAssist: K. Piatkowski
51'Rafał AdamskiFoul
60'Kamil JakubczykFoul
63'A. Mosor INS. Davidovic out
67'W. Urbanski INJ. Zewlakow out
67'L. Zjawinski INM. Rajovic out
70'M. StepinskiAssist: W. Dlugosz
71'K. Jakubczyk INM. Remacle out
85'S. Gustafson INNono out
85'M. Stepinski IND. Bak out
87'B. Kapustka INH. Arreiol out
88'P. Wszolek INA. Reca out

Lineups

Korona Kielce
3-4-2-1Coach: Jacek Zielinski
Legia Warszawa
3-1-4-2Coach: Marek Papszun
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.70
X. Dziekonski6.61X. Dziekonski
S. Rubezic6.923S. Rubezic
K. Sotiriou6.944K. Sotiriou
A. Mosor7.22A. Mosor
W. Dlugosz7.371W. Dlugosz
P. Hellebrand7.918P. Hellebrand
K. Jakubczyk6.335K. Jakubczyk
M. Pieczek6.36M. Pieczek
S. Gustafson6.386S. Gustafson
M. Fassbender6.722M. Fassbender
M. StepinskiC7.314M. Stepinski
O. Hindrich6.689O. Hindrich
K. Piatkowski7.291K. Piatkowski
R. Augustyniak8.28R. Augustyniak
R. Deziel6.95R. Deziel
D. Szymanski7.24D. Szymanski
P. Wszolek6.322P. Wszolek
W. Urbanski6.253W. Urbanski
B. KapustkaC6.367B. Kapustka
R. Vinagre6.519R. Vinagre
L. Zjawinski7.279L. Zjawinski
R. Adamski6.39R. Adamski

Korona Kielce Substitutes

87R. Mamla
10Nono85'for S. Gustafson6.3
11K. Matuszewski
37H. Zwozny
24B. Smolarczyk
9S. Davidovic63'for A. Mosor6.2
21K. Ciszek
8M. Remacle71'for K. Jakubczyk6.5
99D. Bak85'for M. Stepinski6.7
67N. Barczak

Legia Warszawa Substitutes

59J. Bienduga
13A. Reca88'for P. Wszolek6.3
23M. Sevcik
6H. Arreiol87'for B. Kapustka6.7
20J. Zewlakow67'for W. Urbanski6.3
97E. Mikanovich
77F. Przybylko
11K. Chodyna
29M. Rajovic67'for L. Zjawinski6.3

Match Stats

Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots0
17Fouls19
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves2
558Total Passes348
465Passes Accurate276
83%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1560Elo Rating 1658
1.00Attack 1.90
0.62Defense 2.09
44%Hit Rate 56%
15.0Shots per Game 13.3
5.3Shots on Target 4.3
7.4Corners per Game 3.7
1.8Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Korona KielceKorona Kielce
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Korona KielceKorona Kielce1Wins · 11%
Draws445%
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa4Wins · 44%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa01/02/2026
Legia WarszawaKorona Kielce
12
Ekstraklasa27/07/2025
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
02
Ekstraklasa02/02/2025
Legia WarszawaKorona Kielce
11
Ekstraklasa28/07/2024
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
01
Ekstraklasa25/02/2024
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
33
Cup06/12/2023
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
2111
Ekstraklasa20/08/2023
Legia WarszawaKorona Kielce
10
Ekstraklasa29/01/2023
Legia WarszawaKorona Kielce
32
Ekstraklasa16/07/2022
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
11

Recent Form

Korona KielceKorona Kielce
2W5D3L
25/07/2026
JagielloniaKorona Kielce
10
L
17/07/2026
Korona KielceNieciecza
02
L
14/07/2026
Korona KielceStal Rzeszów
00
D
09/07/2026
Korona KielceOmonia Nicosia
00
D
04/07/2026
Korona KielceZemplín Michalovce
40
W
23/05/2026
Cracovia KrakowKorona Kielce
11
D
15/05/2026
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
10
W
08/05/2026
Raków CzęstochowaKorona Kielce
20
L
01/05/2026
Korona KielcePiast Gliwice
11
D
25/04/2026
Korona KielceGKS Katowice
11
D
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
8W1D1L
02/08/2026
Legia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin
31
W24/07/2026
Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
01
W
18/07/2026
Legia WarszawaAris
02
L
18/07/2026
Legia WarszawaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
21
W
14/07/2026
Legia WarszawaRadomiak Radom
31
W
10/07/2026
Legia WarszawaAS Trencin
10
W
07/07/2026
Legia WarszawaHapoel Beer Sheva
31
W
02/07/2026
1. FC NürnbergLegia Warszawa
22
D
27/06/2026
Bayern München IILegia Warszawa
02
W
23/05/2026
Legia WarszawaMotor Lublin
40
W

Referee Profile

Jaroslaw Przybyl169 matches

4.33Cards per match
4.15Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jaroslaw Przybyl4.37
Other referees4.35

4.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.35).

Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1191129:10+1928WWWWL
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1283121:11+1027DDWDW
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1265123:11+1223LDWWD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1263319:15+421WDLWW
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1262422:18+420WDWLW
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1254315:15019DWLLW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1260622:17+518LLWWW
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1253414:18-418WLLWL
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1150614:17-315WLLLL
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1142510:16-614LWLWW
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1234517:21-413DWWDL
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1233614:19-512LDWLL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1218315:16-111DDLDD
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1223716:22-69WLLLL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1222816:23-78LLLWD
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1222812:28-168LLLLL
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1129:1028
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1221:1127
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1223:1123
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1219:1521
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1222:1820
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1215:1519
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1222:1718
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1214:1818
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1114:1715
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1110:1614
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1217:2113
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1214:1912
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1215:1611
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1216:229
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1216:238
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1212:288
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

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About the Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Korona Kielce and Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Legia Warszawa are 4th and Korona Kielce 9th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Korona Kielce 14-18, Legia Warszawa 23-11. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Legia Warszawa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.