Jagiellonia vs Widzew Łódź Prediction

Jagiellonia
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Widzew Łódź
Chorten Arena, Bialystok·Damian Kos, Poland 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Jagiellonia Rest
3 days
Widzew Łódź Rest
9 days

Jagiellonia vs Widzew Łódź: the result in context

Widzew Łódź beat Jagiellonia 2-0 in the Ekstraklasa on 9 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Jagiellonia had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Widzew Łódź.

Jagiellonia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Widzew Łódź tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.6 for Jagiellonia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%2.31
X
24%3.23
2
20%2.98
Double Chance
1X
80%1.35
X2
44%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.89 = 2.70
Over 1.5
74%1.32
Over 2.5
48%2.00
Over 3.5
24%3.50
Under 1.5
26%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.76
Under 3.5
76%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.6 = 9.4
Over 8.5
62%1.52
Over 9.5
50%1.89
Over 10.5
39%2.37
Under 8.5
38%2.33
Under 9.5
50%1.83
Under 10.5
61%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.8
Over 3.5
62%1.41
Over 4.5
44%1.90
Under 3.5
38%2.57
Under 4.5
56%1.82

Match Events

20'M. FornalczykFoul
24'E. KornvigFoul
36'S. KapuadiFoul
45'J. AgbonifoFoul
46'J. Agbonifo INR. Conceicao out
46'Y. Kobayashi INA. Konstantopoulos out
52'S. BergierAssist: M. Garcia
54'F. Alvarez
58'Y. Sylla INN. Prelec out
62'A. KonstantopoulosFoul
67'E. Kozlowski INS. Lozano out
67'M. Krajewski INJ. Gazibegovic out
78'S. Bergier INL. Selahi out
78'P. Wisniewski INM. Zyro out
78'M. Fornalczyk INA. Baena Perez out
79'N. Wojtuszek INZ. Zalewski out
90+2'N. PrelecUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+3'M. Garcia INR. Visus out
90+8'G. MontoiaFoul

Lineups

Jagiellonia
4-3-3Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
Widzew Łódź
4-4-2Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.96
Sławomir Abramowicz6.550S. Abramowicz
Norbert Wojtuszek6.715N. Wojtuszek
Bernardo Vital6.35B. Vital
Yuki Kobayashi6.54Y. Kobayashi
Guilherme Montóia6.923G. Montóia
Jesús ImazC6.011J. Imaz
Eryk Kozłowski7.085E. Kozłowski
Ferslev Anders Klynge6.919F. Anders Klynge
Jeremy Agbonifo6.310J. Agbonifo
Youssuf Sylla7.217Y. Sylla
Kajetan Szmyt7.57K. Szmyt
Bartłomiej Drągowski7.71B. Drągowski
Marcel Krajewski6.591M. Krajewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski6.925P. Wiśniewski
Steve Kapuadi6.93S. Kapuadi
Mario Garcia7.940M. Garcia
Fran Álvarez8.010F. Álvarez
Juljan ShehuC6.96J. Shehu
Emil Kornvig6.68E. Kornvig
Mariusz Fornalczyk6.37M. Fornalczyk
Karol Świderski7.328K. Świderski
Sebastian Bergier7.399S. Bergier

Jagiellonia Substitutes

44Apostolos Konstantopoulos46'for Y. Kobayashi62'6.3
27Rodrigo Conceição46'for J. Agbonifo6.3
99Nik Prelec58'for Y. Sylla90+2'6.2
1Michał Perchel
61Bartlomiej Krasiewicz
8Dawid Drachal
2Cezary Polak
6Taras Romanczuk
21Sergio Lozano67'for E. Kozlowski7.2
9Dimitris Rallis
90Maciej Kuczynski
80Zachary Zalewski79'for N. Wojtuszek7.0

Widzew Łódź Substitutes

30Veljko Ilić
33Jan Krzywański
70Jusuf Gazibegović67'for M. Krajewski6.2
4Mateusz Żyro78'for P. Wisniewski6.7
14Ricardo Visus90+3'for M. Garcia
57Samuel Akere
18Lindon Selahi78'for S. Bergier6.9
77Ángel Baena78'for M. Fornalczyk6.3
20Antoni Klukowski

Match Stats

JagielloniaWidzew Łódź
61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box12
10Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots5
19Fouls14
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
458Total Passes299
355Passes Accurate206
78%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

JagielloniaJagiellonia
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
1616Elo Rating 1519
2.27Attack 0.94
2.11Defense 1.87
64%Hit Rate 0%
14.1Shots per Game 13.4
3.2Shots on Target 3.7
4.6Corners per Game 6.6
2.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JagielloniaJagiellonia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

JagielloniaJagiellonia6Wins · 75%
Draws113%
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1Wins · 12%
2.8Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa31/01/2026
Widzew ŁódźJagiellonia
13
Ekstraklasa27/07/2025
JagielloniaWidzew Łódź
32
Ekstraklasa09/03/2025
Widzew ŁódźJagiellonia
01
Ekstraklasa01/09/2024
JagielloniaWidzew Łódź
10
Ekstraklasa11/02/2024
Widzew ŁódźJagiellonia
13
Ekstraklasa04/08/2023
JagielloniaWidzew Łódź
21
Ekstraklasa03/02/2023
Widzew ŁódźJagiellonia
11
Ekstraklasa22/07/2022
JagielloniaWidzew Łódź
02

Recent Form

JagielloniaJagiellonia
8W2D0L
06/08/2026
JagielloniaRangers
21
W
31/07/2026
Motor LublinJagiellonia
12
W
25/07/2026
JagielloniaKorona Kielce
10
W
17/07/2026
FC NordsjaellandJagiellonia
12
W
16/07/2026
JagielloniaSparta Praha
10
W
12/07/2026
JagielloniaPafos
10
W
09/07/2026
PolessyaJagiellonia
00
D
04/07/2026
JagielloniaPogoń Siedlce
41
W
23/05/2026
JagielloniaZaglebie Lubin
10
W
17/05/2026
GKS KatowiceJagiellonia
22
D
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
5W3D2L
31/07/2026
Wisla PlockWidzew Łódź
00
D
26/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźMotor Lublin
22
D
19/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźPuszcza Niepołomice
20
W
10/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźBeşiktaş
20
W
04/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźDunajska Streda
00
D
27/06/2026
Widzew ŁódźStal Rzeszów
40
W
23/05/2026
Widzew ŁódźPiast Gliwice
21
W
15/05/2026
Korona KielceWidzew Łódź
10
L
09/05/2026
Widzew ŁódźLechia Gdansk
31
W
01/05/2026
Legia WarszawaWidzew Łódź
10
L

Referee Profile

Damian Kos149 matches

4.64Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Damian Kos4.64
Other referees4.26

4.64 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.26).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan12101132:11+2131WWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1384121:11+1028DDDWD
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1366123:11+1224DLDWW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1273220:12+824LWWWW
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1364316:15+122WDWLL
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1370625:19+621WLLWW
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1363424:20+421DWDWL
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1363420:18+221LWDLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1260617:18-118WWLLL
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1353514:19-518LWLLW
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1344519:22-316WDWWD
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1243512:18-615DLWLW
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1333715:21-612LLDWL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1318417:19-211LDDLD
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1332815:29-1411WLLLL
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1323817:25-89LWLLL
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa13301019:29-109WLWLL
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1322917:26-98LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1232:1131
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1321:1128
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1323:1124
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1220:1224
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1316:1522
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1325:1921
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1324:2021
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1320:1821
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1217:1818
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1314:1918
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1319:2216
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1212:1815
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1315:2112
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1317:1911
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1315:2911
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1317:259
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1319:299
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1317:268
Relegation

About the Jagiellonia vs Widzew Łódź forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Jagiellonia and Widzew Łódź in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Jagiellonia are 9th and Widzew Łódź 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Jagiellonia 17-18, Widzew Łódź 17-19. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.