Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Prediction
Poland · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.56
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Zaglebie Lubin Rest
8 days
Jagiellonia Rest
2 days
Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia: result, form and history
Zaglebie Lubin beat Jagiellonia 1-0 in the Ekstraklasa on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Jagiellonia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%2.50
X27%3.48
241%2.50
Double Chance
1X59%1.46
X268%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.59
No42%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.51 = 2.82
Over 1.578%1.22
Over 2.555%1.73
Over 3.533%2.78
Under 1.522%3.88
Under 2.545%2.05
Under 3.567%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.8 = 9.5
Over 8.559%1.47
Over 9.547%1.80
Over 10.536%2.29
Under 8.541%2.49
Under 9.553%1.93
Under 10.564%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.551%-
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.549%-
Match Events
15'Mateusz GrzybekFoul
45'Mateusz Grzybek INDavid Čolina out
45'Bartlomiej Wdowik INCezary Polak out
45'Kamil Jóźwiak INRodrigo Conceição out
62'Ousmane Sow INDimitris Rallis out
63'Filip Szymczak INJakub·Sypek out
69'Dušan Stojinović INJeremy Agbonifo out
72'Penalty confirmedMarcel Regula
77'Sebastian Kerk(Penalty)
79'Bernardo VitalArgument
83'Sebastian Kerk INMateusz Dziewiatowski out
88'Bernardo Vital INAleksandar·Cirkovic out
90+1'Jakub·SypekTime wasting
90+6'Josip Ćorluka INDamian Michalski out
Lineups
Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia
4-3-3Coach: A. SiemieniecAvg ratingAvg rating
33Z. Alomerović
5A. Ławniczak
25M. Nalepa
3R. Yakuba
13M. Grzybek
39F. Kocaba
8D. Dąbrowski
16J. Ćorluka
37S. Kerk
44M. Reguła
18F. Szymczak
50S. Abramowicz
3D. Stojinović
5B. Vital
4Y. Kobayashi
20B. Wdowik
30O. Sow
6T. Romanczuk
19A. Klynge
72K. Jóźwiak
11J. Imaz
7K. SzmytZaglebie Lubin Substitutes
6D. Čolina45'for Mateusz Grzybek
20M. Dziewiatowski83'for Sebastian Kerk
30D. Hładun
26J. Kolan
19S. Łyczko
4D. Michalski90+6'for Josip Ćorluka
88M. Mlinarić
31I. Orlikowski
99C. Popielec
7J. Sypek63'for Filip Szymczak90+1'
11A. Woźniak
Jagiellonia Substitutes
27Rodrigo Conceição45'for Kamil Jóźwiak
9Dimitris Rallis62'for Ousmane Sow
2C. Polak45'for Bartlomiej Wdowik
1M. Perchel
23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
70J. Kucharski
44A. Konstantopoulos
14H. Finndell
8D. Drachal
32A. Ćirković88'for Bernardo Vital
10J. Agbonifo69'for Dušan Stojinović
85Eryk Kozlowski
Match Stats
Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia 36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls13
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
270Total Passes512
180Passes Accurate406
13Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia1532Elo Rating 1616
1.39Attack 2.27
1.26Defense 2.11
37%Hit Rate 64%
12.3Shots per Game 14.1
4.5Shots on Target 3.2
3.0Corners per Game 4.6
2.8Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Zaglebie Lubin- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Jagiellonia- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Zaglebie Lubin1Wins · 10%Draws330%
Jagiellonia6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
23/05/2026JagielloniaZaglebie Lubin10
30/11/2025Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia00
21/04/2025JagielloniaZaglebie Lubin13
19/10/2024Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia13
20/04/2024Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia12
20/10/2023JagielloniaZaglebie Lubin30
18/03/2023JagielloniaZaglebie Lubin22
04/09/2022Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia11
03/04/2022JagielloniaZaglebie Lubin21
01/10/2021Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia01
Recent Form
Zaglebie Lubin4W3D3L
10/10/2026
Cracovia KrakowZaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
Wisla PlockZaglebie Lubin
GKS Katowice
Wieczysta KrakówZaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
Pogon SzczecinZaglebie Lubin
Slask Wroclaw
Cracovia KrakowZaglebie Lubin31
L03/10/2026Zaglebie Lubin
Miedz Legnica
20/09/2026Zaglebie LubinMiedz Legnica10
WZaglebie LubinWisla Plock02
L15/09/2026
Raków CzęstochowaZaglebie Lubin
12/09/2026Raków CzęstochowaZaglebie Lubin23
WZaglebie LubinGKS Katowice21
W07/09/2026Wieczysta KrakówZaglebie Lubin11
D01/09/2026
Siarka TarnobrzegZaglebie Lubin
29/08/2026Siarka TarnobrzegZaglebie Lubin32
LZaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin00
D23/08/2026
Radomiak RadomZaglebie Lubin
15/08/2026Radomiak RadomZaglebie Lubin00
DZaglebie LubinSlask Wroclaw21
WJagiellonia4W0D6L
15/10/2026Jagiellonia
Ararat-ArmeniaJagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
Olympiakos PiraeusJagiellonia
Wisla KrakowJagielloniaJagielloniaSlask Wroclaw
Lech PoznanJagielloniaRaków CzęstochowaJagiellonia
JagielloniaArarat-Armenia31
W10/10/2026Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
JagielloniaGornik Zabrze13
L03/10/2026Jagiellonia
Polonia Warszawa
JagielloniaPolonia Warszawa12
L29/09/2026Jagiellonia
Suduva Marijampole
20/09/2026JagielloniaSuduva Marijampole50
WJagielloniaLegia Warszawa13
L16/09/2026Olympiakos PiraeusJagiellonia21
L11/09/2026Wisla KrakowJagiellonia20
L06/09/2026JagielloniaSlask Wroclaw21
W03/09/2026Lech PoznanJagiellonia21
L30/08/2026Raków CzęstochowaJagiellonia25
WReferee Profile
4.33Cards per match
4.15Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.35).
Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32:11 | +21 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 28 | DDDWD |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23:11 | +12 | 24 | DLDWW |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 24 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 22 | WDWLL |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 21 | WLLWW |
| 7 |  Piast Gliwice | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | DWDWL |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LWDLW |
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 18 | LWLLW |
| 11 |  Motor Lublin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 16 | WDWWD |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 15 | DLWLW |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | LLDWL |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Raków Częstochowa | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 9 | WLWLL |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 8 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 32:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 21:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 13 | 23:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 20:12 | 24 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 13 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 25:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 13 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 13 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 12 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 14:19 | 18 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 13 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 12 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 13 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 13 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 13 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 13 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 17 | Raków Częstochowa | 13 | 19:29 | 9 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 13 | 17:26 | 8 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Ekstraklasa matches
- Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw 17/10/26
- GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin 17/10/26
- Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa 17/10/26
- Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice 18/10/26
- Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce 18/10/26
- Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom 19/10/26
- Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin 23/10/26
- Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze 23/10/26
About the Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia in the Ekstraklasa table
In the Ekstraklasa table, Zaglebie Lubin are 5th and Jagiellonia 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Zaglebie Lubin 16-15, Jagiellonia 17-18. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.