Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction

KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin·Paweł Raczkowski, Poland 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.28
SignalSTRONGModel42%SurpriseHighGap+3.7%
Zaglebie Lubin Rest
6 days
Pogon Szczecin Rest
6 days

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin: the result in context

Zaglebie Lubin and Pogon Szczecin drew 0-0 in the Ekstraklasa on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Pogon Szczecin have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Paweł Raczkowski averages 5.20 cards a game, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.52
X
29%3.30
2
31%2.62
Double Chance
1X
69%1.45
X2
60%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.26 = 2.69
Over 1.5
79%1.28
Over 2.5
52%1.89
Over 3.5
28%3.20
Under 1.5
21%3.46
Under 2.5
48%1.87
Under 3.5
72%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
59%1.36
Over 9.5
49%1.64
Over 10.5
38%2.00
Under 8.5
41%2.85
Under 9.5
51%2.15
Under 10.5
62%1.73
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Filip CuicViolent conduct
25'Valentin CojocaruDissent
25'Filip KocabaArgument
27'Michalis KosidisFoul
31'Kamil NowogonskiFoul
33'Kellyn AcostaFoul
44'Roman YakubaFoul
45'Darko Churlinov INBenjamin Mendy out
45'Kamil Nowogonski INSebastian Kerk out
47'Benjamin MendyFoul
52'Óscar García JunyentDissent
63'Kellyn Acosta INFredrik Ulvestad out
69'Michalis Kosidis INFilip Szymczak out
69'Mihael Mlinarić INJakub·Sypek out
74'Maciej Wojciechowski INJan Bieganski out
84'Mateusz Grzybek INSzymon Lyczko out
90+2'Paul Omo Mukairu INMusa Juwara out

Lineups

Zaglebie Lubin
3-4-2-1Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski
Pogon Szczecin
4-2-3-1Coach: Óscar García
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.41
Z. Alomerović7.033Z. Alomerović
A. Ławniczak8.05A. Ławniczak
D. Michalski7.14D. Michalski
R. Yakuba6.13R. Yakuba
M. Grzybek6.513M. Grzybek
J. Kolan7.226J. Kolan
F. Kocaba6.939F. Kocaba
M. Mlinarić6.388M. Mlinarić
M. Reguła6.644M. Reguła
K. Nowogoński6.471K. Nowogoński
M. Kosidis6.39M. Kosidis
V. Cojocaru7.577V. Cojocaru
Hussein Ali6.715H. Ali
D. Keramitsis6.213D. Keramitsis
A. Szalai6.341A. Szalai
Léo Borges6.24L. Borges
K. Acosta6.33K. Acosta
P. Dziczek6.616P. Dziczek
P. Mukairu6.418P. Mukairu
M. Wojciechowski6.035M. Wojciechowski
D. Churlinov6.721D. Churlinov
F. Čuić5.610F. Čuić

Zaglebie Lubin Substitutes

8D. Dąbrowski
1J. Burić
20M. Dziewiatowski
38S. Karasiński
37S. Kerk45'for Kamil Nowogonski7.1
19S. Łyczko84'for Mateusz Grzybek6.5
25M. Nalepa
31I. Orlikowski
99C. Popielec
7J. Sypek69'for Mihael Mlinarić6.4
18F. Szymczak69'for Michalis Kosidis6.0
94M. Urbanski

Pogon Szczecin Substitutes

30J. Czaplinski
29L. Willen
8F. Ulvestad63'for Kellyn Acosta6.5
33Pascal Enguehard
75A. Ossowski
17J. Nsame
23B. Mendy45'for Darko Churlinov47'6.1
47N. Lawa
7M. Juwara90+2'for Paul Omo Mukairu
11K. Grosicki
6J. Biegański74'for Maciej Wojciechowski6.8

Match Stats

Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
63%Ball Possession37%
2Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots2
13Fouls16
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
463Total Passes271
386Passes Accurate180
83%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
1532Elo Rating 1634
1.39Attack 2.31
1.26Defense 2.03
37%Hit Rate 100%
12.3Shots per Game 11.3
4.5Shots on Target 4.6
3.0Corners per Game 2.7
2.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin6Wins · 60%
2.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs04/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
20
Ekstraklasa15/05/2026
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
01
Ekstraklasa24/11/2025
Pogon SzczecinZaglebie Lubin
51
Ekstraklasa01/02/2025
Pogon SzczecinZaglebie Lubin
10
Cup04/12/2024
Pogon SzczecinZaglebie Lubin
43
Ekstraklasa28/07/2024
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
22
Ekstraklasa10/03/2024
Pogon SzczecinZaglebie Lubin
02
Ekstraklasa03/09/2023
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
10
Ekstraklasa11/03/2023
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
01
Ekstraklasa27/08/2022
Pogon SzczecinZaglebie Lubin
30

Recent Form

Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
6W1D3L
23/08/2026
Radomiak RadomZaglebie Lubin
00
D
15/08/2026
Zaglebie LubinSlask Wroclaw
21
W
02/08/2026
Legia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin
31
L
27/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinPiast Gliwice
20
W
18/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinChrobry Głogów
30
W
17/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinBohemians 1905
02
L
08/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinBaník Ostrava
02
L
04/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
20
W
01/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinPodbrezová
32
W
26/06/2026
Zaglebie LubinMiedz Legnica
30
W
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
4W2D4L
23/08/2026
Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow
22
D
08/08/2026
Pogon SzczecinMotor Lublin
31
W
03/08/2026
Cracovia KrakowPogon Szczecin
02
W
24/07/2026
Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
01
L
15/07/2026
Sturm GrazPogon Szczecin
10
L
11/07/2026
FenerbahçePogon Szczecin
40
L
08/07/2026
Pogon SzczecinChrobry Głogów
21
W
04/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
20
L
27/06/2026
BFC DynamoPogon Szczecin
03
W
23/05/2026
Pogon SzczecinGKS Katowice
11
D

Referee Profile

Paweł Raczkowski220 matches

5.20Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paweł Raczkowski5.20
Other referees4.31

5.20 cards a match, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan12101132:11+2131WWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1384121:11+1028DDDWD
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1366123:11+1224DLDWW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1273220:12+824LWWWW
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1364316:15+122WDWLL
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1370625:19+621WLLWW
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1363424:20+421DWDWL
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1363420:18+221LWDLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1260617:18-118WWLLL
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1353514:19-518LWLLW
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1344519:22-316WDWWD
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1243512:18-615DLWLW
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1333715:21-612LLDWL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1318417:19-211LDDLD
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1332815:29-1411WLLLL
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1323817:25-89LWLLL
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa13301019:29-109WLWLL
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1322917:26-98LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1232:1131
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1321:1128
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1323:1124
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1220:1224
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1316:1522
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1325:1921
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1324:2021
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1320:1821
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1217:1818
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1314:1918
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1319:2216
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1212:1815
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1315:2112
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1317:1911
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1315:2911
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1317:259
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1319:299
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1317:268
Relegation

About the Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Zaglebie Lubin and Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa table

Pogon Szczecin and Zaglebie Lubin are close in the Ekstraklasa table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Zaglebie Lubin 16-15, Pogon Szczecin 20-12. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.