Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow Prediction

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin·Damian Kos, Poland 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Pogon Szczecin Rest
15 days
Wisla Krakow Rest
7 days

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow: the result in context

Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow drew 2-2 in the Ekstraklasa on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 5 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Wisla Krakow tend to win more corners, 4.7 a game to 2.7 for Pogon Szczecin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.06
X
23%3.55
2
26%3.20
Double Chance
1X
74%1.33
X2
50%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.50
No
45%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.07 = 2.60
Over 1.5
75%1.17
Over 2.5
49%1.61
Over 3.5
26%2.50
Under 1.5
25%4.50
Under 2.5
51%2.25
Under 3.5
74%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
64%1.30
Over 9.5
53%1.51
Over 10.5
41%1.85
Under 8.5
36%3.05
Under 9.5
47%2.32
Under 10.5
59%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
65%1.56
Over 4.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
35%2.22
Under 4.5
55%1.60

Match Events

3'M. JuwaraAssist: M. Wojciechowski
11'Jordi SánchezFoul
14'Dimitrios KeramitsisOff the ball foul
20'M. JuwaraOG
24'L. Wahlqvist
33'E. Youan
46'L. Wahlqvist INH. Ali out
60'M. Juwara IND. Churlinov out
60'J. Nsame INF. Cuic out
72'P. Mukairu INK. Grosicki out
72'D. Grujcic INM. Maisonneuve out
72'E. Youan INA. Rodado out
73'Maxence MaisonneuveFoul
81'J. Sanchez INJ. Guillemenot out
81'J. Ertlthaler INM. Kuziemka out
83'M. Wojciechowski INK. Acosta out
86'Patryk DziczekFoul
89'Kamil GrosickiFoul

Lineups

Pogon Szczecin
4-1-4-1Coach: Oscar Garcia Junyent
Wisla Krakow
4-2-3-1Coach: Mariusz Jop
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.69
V. Cojocaru6.377V. Cojocaru
L. WahlqvistC6.628L. Wahlqvist
D. Keramitsis6.513D. Keramitsis
L. Willen6.229L. Willen
Leo Borges6.74L. Borges
P. Dziczek7.516P. Dziczek
M. Juwara6.77M. Juwara
F. Ulvestad6.28F. Ulvestad
M. Wojciechowski7.335M. Wojciechowski
P. Mukairu6.218P. Mukairu
J. Nsame7.317J. Nsame
M. Lubik7.31M. Lubik
R. Giger6.634R. Giger
A. UrygaC6.36A. Uryga
D. Grujcic6.329D. Grujcic
J. Krzyzanowski6.352J. Krzyzanowski
J. Ertlthaler5.97J. Ertlthaler
J. Igbekeme6.312J. Igbekeme
E. Youan8.027E. Youan
K. Duda6.741K. Duda
M. Bozic6.917M. Bozic
J. Sanchez6.511J. Sanchez

Pogon Szczecin Substitutes

33A. Peskovic
15H. Ali46'for L. Wahlqvist7.0
23B. Mendy
41A. Szalai
75A. Ossowski
6J. Bieganski
3K. Acosta83'for M. Wojciechowski6.5
47N. Lawa
11K. Grosicki72'for P. Mukairu89'6.5
21D. Churlinov60'for M. Juwara6.6
10F. Cuic60'for J. Nsame6.7
30J. Czaplinski

Wisla Krakow Substitutes

28P. Letkiewicz
97W. Biedrzycki
4R. Mikulec
13M. Maisonneuve72'for D. Grujcic73'6.7
50M. Kutwa
32O. Plawinski
21J. Guillemenot81'for J. Sanchez6.7
51M. Kuziemka81'for J. Ertlthaler6.9
9A. Rodado72'for E. Youan6.9

Match Stats

Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots14
8Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots5
17Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
393Total Passes603
317Passes Accurate523
81%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
1634Elo Rating 1615
2.31Attack 1.15
2.03Defense 2.18
100%Hit Rate 58%
11.3Shots per Game 18.9
4.6Shots on Target 6.4
2.7Corners per Game 4.7
1.1Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Cup02/05/2024
Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow
1121
Ekstraklasa18/03/2022
Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow
41
Ekstraklasa26/09/2021
Wisla KrakowPogon Szczecin
01
Ekstraklasa19/02/2021
Wisla KrakowPogon Szczecin
21
Ekstraklasa13/09/2020
Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow
22

Recent Form

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
5W1D4L
08/08/2026
Pogon SzczecinMotor Lublin
31
W
03/08/2026
Cracovia KrakowPogon Szczecin
02
W
24/07/2026
Pogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
01
L
15/07/2026
Sturm GrazPogon Szczecin
10
L
11/07/2026
FenerbahçePogon Szczecin
40
L
08/07/2026
Pogon SzczecinChrobry Głogów
21
W
04/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
20
L
27/06/2026
BFC DynamoPogon Szczecin
03
W
23/05/2026
Pogon SzczecinGKS Katowice
11
D
15/05/2026
Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
01
W
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
4W2D4L
16/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeWisla Krakow
21
L
07/08/2026
Wisla KrakowWisla Plock
21
W
01/08/2026
Piast GliwiceWisla Krakow
43
L
26/07/2026
Wisla KrakowGKS Katowice
21
W
18/07/2026
Wisla KrakowArtis
22
D
12/07/2026
Wisla KrakowPodbeskidzie
01
L
11/07/2026
Wisla KrakowWrexham
00
D
04/07/2026
Wisla KrakowKarviná
20
W
01/07/2026
Wisla KrakowPuszcza Niepołomice
40
W
27/06/2026
Wisla KrakowNieciecza
34
L

Referee Profile

Damian Kos149 matches

4.64Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Damian Kos4.64
Other referees4.26

4.64 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.26).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan12101132:11+2131WWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1384121:11+1028DDDWD
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1366123:11+1224DLDWW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1273220:12+824LWWWW
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1364316:15+122WDWLL
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1370625:19+621WLLWW
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1363424:20+421DWDWL
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1363420:18+221LWDLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1260617:18-118WWLLL
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1353514:19-518LWLLW
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1344519:22-316WDWWD
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1243512:18-615DLWLW
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1333715:21-612LLDWL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1318417:19-211LDDLD
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1332815:29-1411WLLLL
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1323817:25-89LWLLL
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa13301019:29-109WLWLL
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1322917:26-98LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1232:1131
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1321:1128
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1323:1124
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1220:1224
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1316:1522
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1325:1921
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1324:2021
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1320:1821
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1217:1818
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1314:1918
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1319:2216
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1212:1815
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1315:2112
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1317:1911
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1315:2911
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1317:259
17Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1319:299
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1317:268
Relegation

About the Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Pogon Szczecin are 4th and Wisla Krakow 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Pogon Szczecin 20-12, Wisla Krakow 20-18. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.