AEL vs Aris Prediction

AEL
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Aris
Alphamega Stadium, Limassol·Ioannis Christodoulou 25/10/2026
AELAEL
1-3
Finished
ArisAris

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
AEL Rest
7 days
Aris Rest
7 days

AEL vs Aris: the result in context

Aris beat AEL 3-1 in the 1. Division on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: AEL had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Aris.

Aris have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.70
X
28%3.52
2
48%1.92
Double Chance
1X
52%1.82
X2
76%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.59
No
44%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 1.33 = 2.40
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.67
Over 3.5
32%2.63
Under 1.5
25%3.97
Under 2.5
47%2.10
Under 3.5
68%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Veljko Nikolić
25'junior rody effaghe
45+3'Luther Singh
47'Anderson Correia
60'dennis gaustad INGustavo Pajé out
61'kypros neofytou INIvan Milosavljevic out
61'giorgios papageorgiou INSergio Conceicao out
61'Tavares jair INFrançois Régis Mughe out
63'Gustavo Pajé
68'Joao Tavares
69'Joao Tavares INChinedu Geoffrey out
74'Gedeon Kalulu INDavid Lelle out
77'evagoras antoniou
80'David Lelle
81'Luther Singh INDanil Paroutis out
89'Stevan Jovetić(Penalty)

Lineups

AEL
Coach: Hugo Martins
Aris
Coach: A. Radkov

AEL Starting XI

33E. Antoniou77'
1S. Kapino
6D. Zdravkovski
80Jair Tavares61'replaced by François Régis Mughe
20João Tavares68'69'replaced by Chinedu Geoffrey
11L. Singh45+3'81'replaced by Danil Paroutis
23Diogo Gomes
30G. Papageorgiou61'replaced by Sergio Conceicao
10R. Oudin
22K. Neofytou61'replaced by Ivan Milosavljevic
9S. Jovetić89'

Aris Starting XI

7Anderson Correia47'
8C. Charalampous
11R. Effaghe25'
70C. El Allachi
29D. Gaustad60'replaced by Gustavo Pajé
24G. Kalulu74'replaced by David Lelle
17M. Matysik
22V. Nikolić23'
6A. Opoku
20S. Yago
91M. Zadro

AEL Substitutes

75Simonas Christofi
99G. Chinedu69'for Joao Tavares
2A. Karo
70kyriacos kyriacou
98P. Kyriakou
74Samy Merzouk
19I. Milosavljević61'for kypros neofytou
77F. Mughe61'for Tavares jair
17D. Paroutis81'for Luther Singh
35Sérgio Conceição61'for giorgios papageorgiou

Aris Substitutes

88C. Fi Akamba
21D. Galyata
30Gustavo Pajé60'for dennis gaustad63'
16Oriyomi Lebi
5D. Lelle74'for Gedeon Kalulu80'
3Lazar Maraš
78Denis Ovsyannikov
19Sane mamadou
18B. Szakos
1Vaná Alves
46G. Dimitriou
23Bernardo Folha

Team Comparison

AELAEL
ArisAris
1576Elo Rating 1590
1.72Attack 1.72
1.76Defense 2.54
86%Hit Rate 56%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AELAEL
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ArisAris
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AELAEL3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
ArisAris6Wins · 60%
2.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

1. Division01/02/2026
AELAris
21
Cup21/01/2026
ArisAEL
01
1. Division19/10/2025
ArisAEL
40
1. Division23/02/2025
ArisAEL
40
1. Division24/11/2024
AELAris
03
1. Division18/02/2024
ArisAEL
40
1. Division04/12/2023
AELAris
04
1. Division11/12/2022
AELAris
00
1. Division28/08/2022
ArisAEL
21
1. Division31/01/2022
ArisAEL
12

Recent Form

AELAEL
7W1D2L
18/10/2026
Omonia AradippouAEL
02
W
11/10/2026
AELOmonia 29is Maiou
21
W
18/09/2026
PafosAEL
02
W
11/09/2026
AELNea Salamis
21
W
06/09/2026
Apoel NicosiaAEL
60
L
30/08/2026
AELAnorthosis
20
W
19/08/2026
Krasava OdintsovoAEL
04
W
09/08/2026
Radomiak RadomAEL
11
D
15/05/2026
AkritasAEL
12
W
09/05/2026
AELOlympiakos
13
L
ArisAris
3W3D4L
18/10/2026
ArisAEK Larnaca
11
D
14/10/2026
ArisEthnikos Achna
40
W
11/10/2026
OlympiakosAris
12
W
03/10/2026
ArisRiga
12
L
20/09/2026
ArisKarmiotissa
00
D
14/09/2026
Krasava YpsonasAris
01
W
07/09/2026
ArisOmonia Nicosia
14
L
29/08/2026
ArisApollon Limassol
22
D
09/08/2026
Union BerlinAris
32
L
30/07/2026
AtromitosAris
10
L

Referee Profile

Ioannis Christodoulou84 matches

4.85Cards per match
4.69Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ioannis Christodoulou4.85
Other referees4.84

4.85 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.84).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca751113:5+816WDWWL
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol743019:8+1115WWWDD
3AELAEL750211:11015LWWWW
4Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia733113:6+712LDWWD
5PafosPafos73317:3+412DDWLW
6ArisAris733110:9+112WDWDW
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia732216:9+711WDWDL
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou722312:13-18LWLLD
9AnorthosisAnorthosis72056:13-76WLLLW
10OlympiakosOlympiakos706111:12-16DDLDD
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou71334:8-46LLLDD
12Nea SalamisNea Salamis712411:15-45DLLWL
13Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas71156:15-94DWLLL
14KarmiotissaKarmiotissa70344:16-123LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca713:516
2Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol719:815
3AELAEL711:1115
4Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia713:612
5PafosPafos77:312
6ArisAris710:912
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia716:911
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou712:138
9AnorthosisAnorthosis76:136
10OlympiakosOlympiakos711:126
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou74:86
12Nea SalamisNea Salamis711:155
13Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas76:154
14KarmiotissaKarmiotissa74:163
PromotionRelegation

About the AEL vs Aris forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AEL and Aris in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, AEL are 3rd and Aris 6th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: AEL 11-11, Aris 10-9. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aris have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.