AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town Prediction

Plough Lane, Wimbledon 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
AFC Wimbledon Rest
3 days
Mansfield Town Rest
4 days

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: result, form and history

Mansfield Town beat AFC Wimbledon 3-0 in the League One on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 6 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.36
X
27%3.42
2
45%2.10
Double Chance
1X
55%1.69
X2
72%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.62
No
43%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.44 = 2.54
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
31%2.83
Under 1.5
25%3.74
Under 2.5
47%1.99
Under 3.5
69%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5.2 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.37
Over 9.5
56%1.67
Over 10.5
45%2.06
Under 8.5
32%2.70
Under 9.5
44%2.08
Under 10.5
55%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

22'Michael SmithAssist: Stephen McLaughlin
27'Michael SmithAssist: Stephen McLaughlin
42'Adedeji OshilajaFoul
45'Callum Maycock INJames Tilley out
45'George Abbott INRhys Oates out
45'Andy Yiadom INHarry Cornick out
45+1'Andy YiadomFoul
61'Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh INKyle Knoyle out
69'Ryan JohnsonFoul
73'Jonathan RussellAssist: Michael Smith
74'Freddie Simmonds INOllie Harrison out
74'Stephen McLaughlin INFrazer Blake-Tracy out
81'Zack Nelson INSteven Sessegnon out
81'Liam Thompson INRegan·Hendry out
82'Louis Reed INGeorge Maris out

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon
5-4-1Coach: J. Jackson
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2Coach: N. Clough
Avg rating6.10
Avg rating7.17
J. Bursik6.039J. Bursik
A. Yiadom5.517A. Yiadom
F. Simmonds5.815F. Simmonds
R. Johnson5.66R. Johnson
S. Seddon5.73S. Seddon
A. Sasu5.929A. Sasu
C. Maycock5.98C. Maycock
Z. Nelson6.410Z. Nelson
A. Smith6.512A. Smith
M. Hippolyte5.621M. Hippolyte
J. Stockley6.29J. Stockley
L. Roberts6.81L. Roberts
J. Bowery7.09J. Bowery
A. Oshilaja6.823A. Oshilaja
R. Sweeney7.35R. Sweeney
L. Reed6.925L. Reed
N. Moriah-Welsh6.622N. Moriah-Welsh
G. Abbott6.633G. Abbott
L. Thompson6.516L. Thompson
S. McLaughlin7.93S. McLaughlin
M. Smith9.714M. Smith
J. Russell8.213J. Russell

AFC Wimbledon Substitutes

23H. Cornick45'for Andy Yiadom6.9
5O. Harrison74'for Freddie Simmonds6.3
20J. McDonnell
2S. Sessegnon81'for Zack Nelson6.1
7J. Tilley45'for Callum Maycock7.2
25S. Goma
22R. Horan

Mansfield Town Substitutes

19T. Roberts
18R. Oates45'for George Abbott6.3
10G. Maris82'for Louis Reed6.7
2K. Knoyle61'for Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh7.2
24R. Hendry81'for Liam Thompson6.9
8L. Bolton
20F. Blake-Tracy74'for Stephen McLaughlin7.3

Match Stats

AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box11
9Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls11
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
402Total Passes357
311Passes Accurate271
10Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1462Elo Rating 1594
0.64Attack 2.29
0.54Defense 2.09
0%Hit Rate 66%
12.9Shots per Game 17.1
3.2Shots on Target 4.9
6.9Corners per Game 7.0
1.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
Mansfield TownMansfield Town2Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

League One28/02/2026
Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
22
League One13/12/2025
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
00
League Two27/01/2024
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
21
League Two07/10/2023
Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
00
League Two04/03/2023
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
13
League Two16/08/2022
Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
52

Recent Form

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
3W2D5L
17/10/2026
Sheffield WednesdayAFC Wimbledon
50
L
10/10/2026
PlymouthAFC Wimbledon
21
L
06/10/2026
AFC WimbledonBarnet
7080
L
26/09/2026
Cambridge UnitedAFC Wimbledon
11
D
17/09/2026
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
00
D
12/09/2026
AFC WimbledonDoncaster
10
W
07/09/2026
BromleyAFC Wimbledon
02
W
02/09/2026
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
41
L
30/08/2026
AFC WimbledonWigan
10
W
27/08/2026
FulhamAFC Wimbledon
30
L
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
2W3D5L
15/10/2026
Mansfield TownOxford United
11
D
10/10/2026
Mansfield TownBromley
21
W
06/10/2026
Port ValeMansfield Town
20
L
19/09/2026
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
22
D
12/09/2026
Mansfield TownHuddersfield
00
D
05/09/2026
BradfordMansfield Town
10
L
02/09/2026
ReadingMansfield Town
50
L
30/08/2026
Mansfield TownLuton
52
W
22/08/2026
PeterboroughMansfield Town
21
L
19/08/2026
Mansfield TownManchester City U21
14
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1482426:14+1226WLDWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1265120:11+923DWDWD
4LutonLuton1372426:20+623WWWWL
5PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
6ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
7BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10LeicesterLeicester1354422:19+319DWLWW
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1346322:20+218WWWLW
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1253420:18+218LWWDW
13WycombeWycombe1346321:23-218WDDWL
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1445518:21-317LWDDL
16StevenageStevenage1244417:13+416DLWLW
17Notts CountyNotts County1235413:14-114WDWLL
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon133469:21-1213LDLLL
19DoncasterDoncaster1333714:22-812LLWLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21WiganWigan1331911:22-1110WLLLW
22PeterboroughPeterborough1324711:23-1210LDLDW
23BarnsleyBarnsley1223712:22-109DLLLL
24BromleyBromley1323813:33-209LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1426:1426
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1220:1123
4LutonLuton1326:2023
5PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
6ReadingReading1325:1322
7BradfordBradford1310:822
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10LeicesterLeicester1322:1919
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1322:2018
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1220:1818
13WycombeWycombe1321:2318
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1418:2117
16StevenageStevenage1217:1316
17Notts CountyNotts County1213:1414
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon139:2113
19DoncasterDoncaster1314:2212
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21WiganWigan1311:2210
22PeterboroughPeterborough1311:2310
23BarnsleyBarnsley1212:229
24BromleyBromley1313:339
PromotionRelegation

About the AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AFC Wimbledon and Mansfield Town in the League One table

In the League One table, Mansfield Town are 12th and AFC Wimbledon 18th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: AFC Wimbledon 9-21, Mansfield Town 20-18. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.