Mansfield Town vs Oxford United Prediction

Field Mill, Mansfield 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Mansfield Town Rest
5 days
Oxford United Rest
5 days

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United: result, form and history

Mansfield Town and Oxford United drew 1-1 in the League One on 15 Oct 2026. Oxford United had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Mansfield Town.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.25
X
28%3.51
2
32%2.91
Double Chance
1X
68%1.36
X2
60%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.19 = 2.54
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.75
Over 3.5
31%2.75
Under 1.5
25%3.75
Under 2.5
47%2.05
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.34
Over 9.5
47%1.60
Over 10.5
37%2.00
Under 8.5
42%2.94
Under 9.5
53%2.18
Under 10.5
63%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.83
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%1.83
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

14'Nathan Daniel Moriah-WelshFoul
22'Peter KiosoFoul
34'Luka LynchAssist: Siriki Dembele
45'George Abbott INStephen McLaughlin out
54'Jonathan RussellFoul
59'Louie Sibley INGatlin O Donkor out
59'Luka Lynch INMo Missanga out
61'Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh INTyler Roberts out
72'Gatlin O DonkorTime wasting
73'Jonathan Russell INRegan·Hendry out
73'Ryan Sweeney INFrazer Blake-Tracy out
75'Peter Kioso
77'Mark Harris INJack Currie out
79'Elliott Hewitt INGeorge Maris out
80'Siriki Dembele INSam Long out
82'Michael Smith
84'Gatlin O Donkor

Lineups

Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2Coach: N. Clough
Oxford United
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Ramsey
Avg rating6.50
Avg rating6.60
L. Roberts5.91L. Roberts
E. Hewitt6.54E. Hewitt
A. Oshilaja6.223A. Oshilaja
R. Sweeney6.55R. Sweeney
L. Reed7.225L. Reed
N. Moriah-Welsh6.322N. Moriah-Welsh
J. Russell6.113J. Russell
G. Abbott6.033G. Abbott
L. Thompson6.016L. Thompson
M. Smith7.814M. Smith
R. Oates6.618R. Oates
J. Cumming6.01J. Cumming
P. Kioso5.830P. Kioso
M. Helik6.96M. Helik
C. Brown7.43C. Brown
B. Spencer6.815B. Spencer
C. Brannagan6.98C. Brannagan
L. Sibley5.832L. Sibley
L. Lynch7.520L. Lynch
Kai Andrews6.74K. Andrews
S. Dembélé7.223S. Dembélé
M. Harris6.59M. Harris

Mansfield Town Substitutes

19T. Roberts61'for Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh6.7
3S. McLaughlin45'for George Abbott7.2
10G. Maris79'for Elliott Hewitt6.4
20F. Blake-Tracy73'for Ryan Sweeney6.2
2K. Knoyle
24R. Hendry73'for Jonathan Russell6.3
9J. Bowery

Oxford United Substitutes

26J. Currie77'for Mark Harris6.5
13S. Eastwood
11T. Goodrham
57M. Missanga59'for Luka Lynch6.8
19G. O'Donkor59'for Louie Sibley72'84'5.7
27L. Snowden
2S. Long80'for Siriki Dembele6.7

Match Stats

Mansfield TownOxford United
51%Ball Possession49%
11Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards2
24Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal2
20Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box4
9Blocked Shots2
13Fouls12
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
362Total Passes380
264Passes Accurate280
11Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Mansfield TownMansfield Town
Oxford UnitedOxford United
1594Elo Rating 1611
2.29Attack 1.27
2.09Defense 2.13
66%Hit Rate 39%
17.1Shots per Game 16.0
4.9Shots on Target 3.9
7.0Corners per Game 6.2
1.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Mansfield TownMansfield Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Oxford UnitedOxford United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Mansfield TownMansfield Town
3W2D5L
10/10/2026
Mansfield TownBromley
21
W
06/10/2026
Port ValeMansfield Town
20
L
19/09/2026
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
22
D
12/09/2026
Mansfield TownHuddersfield
00
D
05/09/2026
BradfordMansfield Town
10
L
02/09/2026
ReadingMansfield Town
50
L
30/08/2026
Mansfield TownLuton
52
W
22/08/2026
PeterboroughMansfield Town
21
L
19/08/2026
Mansfield TownManchester City U21
14
L
15/08/2026
Mansfield TownDoncaster
21
W
Oxford UnitedOxford United
5W2D3L
10/10/2026
Notts CountyOxford United
12
W
06/10/2026
Exeter CityOxford United
4232
L
19/09/2026
Oxford UnitedCambridge United
11
D
12/09/2026
Oxford UnitedBurton Albion
30
W
05/09/2026
LeicesterOxford United
04
W
01/09/2026
HuddersfieldOxford United
31
L
22/08/2026
StevenageOxford United
12
W
15/08/2026
Oxford UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
22
D
08/08/2026
Leyton OrientOxford United
20
L
01/08/2026
Oxford UnitedIpswich
20
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1274124:11+1325WWWDW
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
4BradfordBradford1264210:5+522DDWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1371521:19+222WLLWW
6ReadingReading1263325:13+1221WWLWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1356221:18+321DLDWW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
13StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
15WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1242616:14+214LLWDL
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1224:1125
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
4BradfordBradford1210:522
5PlymouthPlymouth1321:1922
6ReadingReading1225:1321
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1321:1821
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
13StevenageStevenage1115:1115
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
15WycombeWycombe1219:2315
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1216:1414
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
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About the Mansfield Town vs Oxford United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mansfield Town and Oxford United in the League One table

In the League One table, Oxford United are 3rd and Mansfield Town 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Mansfield Town 20-16, Oxford United 19-10. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oxford United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Mansfield Town and Oxford United have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.