Stockport County vs Barnsley Prediction

Stockport County
3-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Barnsley
Edgeley Park, Stockport·Martin Coy 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+0.9%
Stockport County Rest
3 days
Barnsley Rest
3 days

Stockport County vs Barnsley: result, form and history

Stockport County beat Barnsley 3-1 in the League One on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Stockport County had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Barnsley.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Martin Coy averages 3.11 cards a game, 0.69 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.42
X
19%4.85
2
11%6.09
Double Chance
1X
89%1.10
X2
30%2.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.55
No
43%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.79 = 2.47
Over 1.5
80%1.10
Over 2.5
60%1.39
Over 3.5
39%2.02
Under 1.5
20%6.50
Under 2.5
40%2.77
Under 3.5
61%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4 = 10.4
Over 8.5
70%1.25
Over 9.5
58%1.44
Over 10.5
47%1.73
Under 8.5
30%3.30
Under 9.5
42%2.57
Under 10.5
53%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.3 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

13'Patrick Kelly
25'Cameron McGeehanFoul
45'Lewis Bate INLewis Fiorini out
61'Kyle WoottonAssist: Oliver Norwood
63'Harry WoodFoul
63'Tyrese Noslin INJubril Okedina out
66'Harry Wood INJason Adigun out
70'Royce Brownlie INJonathan Bland out
70'Connor O'Riordan INS. Gale out
73'Kyle WoottonAssist: Jason Adigun
82'Vimal Yoganathan INO'Rian Andrew Reid out
83'Jack ShepherdFoul
86'Ryan Glover INJosh Cogley out
86'Jack Diamond INMikael Mandron out
90'Mikael MandronAssist: Jason Adigun
90+5'Ben Osborn INMamadou Jobe out

Lineups

Stockport County
3-4-3Coach: J. McNulty
Barnsley
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Stendel
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.04
Oliver Whatmuff7.41O. Whatmuff
Kyron Silveria Gordon6.624K. Silveria Gordon
E. O'Connell7.06E. O'Connell
E. Pye6.85E. Pye
R. Glover6.715R. Glover
L. Bate6.54L. Bate
O. Norwood7.710O. Norwood
B. Osborn6.423B. Osborn
J. Diamond6.07J. Diamond
K. Wootton9.119K. Wootton
H. Wood6.316H. Wood
Rogan Ravenhill5.725R. Ravenhill
T. Noslin5.811T. Noslin
C. O'Riordan6.36C. O'Riordan
J. Shepherd5.75J. Shepherd
A. Kay6.12A. Kay
C. McGeehan5.88C. McGeehan
Vimal Yoganathan6.245V. Yoganathan
Amani Richards6.317A. Richards
Patrick Kelly6.822P. Kelly
R. Cleary5.519R. Cleary
3232R. Brownlie

Stockport County Substitutes

18L. Fiorini45'for Lewis Bate6.3
30Ethan Ennis
2J. Dacres-Cogley86'for Ryan Glover6.4
9B. Andrésson
20J. Adigun66'for Harry Wood7.0
25M. Jobe90+5'for Ben Osborn
22M. Mandron86'for Jack Diamond90'7.4

Barnsley Substitutes

36L. Alker
30Jonathan Bland70'replaced by Royce Brownlie6.0
51Kieren Flavell
4S. Gale70'for Connor O'Riordan6.0
12J. Okedina63'for Tyrese Noslin5.9
46O'Rian Andrew Reid82'replaced by Vimal Yoganathan
13C. Taylor

Match Stats

Stockport CountyBarnsley
57%Ball Possession43%
11Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots4
5Fouls12
1Offsides3
7Goalkeeper Saves1
444Total Passes338
342Passes Accurate238
10Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

Stockport CountyStockport County
BarnsleyBarnsley
1673Elo Rating 1477
1.21Attack 1.00
2.36Defense 0.55
50%Hit Rate 0%
18.2Shots per Game 17.9
4.7Shots on Target 5.7
7.6Corners per Game 7.8
1.4Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+197 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Stockport CountyStockport County
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BarnsleyBarnsley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Stockport CountyStockport County2Wins · 50%
Draws250%
BarnsleyBarnsley0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League One02/05/2026
BarnsleyStockport County
13
League One29/11/2025
Stockport CountyBarnsley
11
League One08/02/2025
Stockport CountyBarnsley
21
League One28/09/2024
BarnsleyStockport County
11

Recent Form

Stockport CountyStockport County
6W1D3L
06/10/2026
ShrewsburyStockport County
02
W
26/09/2026
Stockport CountyPeterborough
10
W
19/09/2026
Sheffield WednesdayStockport County
00
D
12/09/2026
Stockport CountyLeicester
34
L
05/09/2026
WiganStockport County
04
W
02/09/2026
LutonStockport County
20
L
29/08/2026
Stockport CountyWycombe
51
W
22/08/2026
Stockport CountyBlackpool
12
L
18/08/2026
Stockport CountyEverton U21
63
W
15/08/2026
PlymouthStockport County
13
W
BarnsleyBarnsley
3W2D5L
06/10/2026
Fleetwood TownBarnsley
41
L
22/09/2026
BarnsleyLeeds United U21
34
L
19/09/2026
BarnsleyLeicester
11
D
15/09/2026
PeterboroughBarnsley
7363
L
12/09/2026
PlymouthBarnsley
30
L
05/09/2026
BarnsleyStevenage
15
L
02/09/2026
BarnsleyBlackpool
21
W
29/08/2026
Leyton OrientBarnsley
13
W
25/08/2026
BarnsleyCrewe
32
W
22/08/2026
DoncasterBarnsley
00
D

Referee Profile

Martin Coy157 matches

3.11Cards per match
2.99Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Coy3.11
Other referees3.80

3.11 cards a match, 0.69 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.80).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1482426:14+1226WLDWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1265120:11+923DWDWD
4LutonLuton1372426:20+623WWWWL
5PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
6ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
7BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10LeicesterLeicester1354422:19+319DWLWW
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1346322:20+218WWWLW
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1253420:18+218LWWDW
13WycombeWycombe1346321:23-218WDDWL
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1445518:21-317LWDDL
16StevenageStevenage1244417:13+416DLWLW
17Notts CountyNotts County1235413:14-114WDWLL
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon133469:21-1213LDLLL
19DoncasterDoncaster1333714:22-812LLWLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21WiganWigan1331911:22-1110WLLLW
22PeterboroughPeterborough1324711:23-1210LDLDW
23BarnsleyBarnsley1223712:22-109DLLLL
24BromleyBromley1323813:33-209LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1426:1426
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1220:1123
4LutonLuton1326:2023
5PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
6ReadingReading1325:1322
7BradfordBradford1310:822
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10LeicesterLeicester1322:1919
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1322:2018
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1220:1818
13WycombeWycombe1321:2318
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1418:2117
16StevenageStevenage1217:1316
17Notts CountyNotts County1213:1414
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon139:2113
19DoncasterDoncaster1314:2212
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21WiganWigan1311:2210
22PeterboroughPeterborough1311:2310
23BarnsleyBarnsley1212:229
24BromleyBromley1313:339
PromotionRelegation

About the Stockport County vs Barnsley forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stockport County and Barnsley in the League One table

The table shows a wide gap: Stockport County are 2nd in the League One, while Barnsley sit 23rd, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Stockport County 26-14, Barnsley 12-22. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barnsley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.