Barnsley vs Leicester Prediction

Barnsley
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Leicester
Oakwell Ground, Barnsley 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Barnsley Rest
3 days
Leicester Rest
6 days

Barnsley vs Leicester: the result in context

Barnsley and Leicester drew 1-1 in the League One on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.20
X
29%3.75
2
38%2.05
Double Chance
1X
62%1.73
X2
67%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.41
No
44%2.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.27 = 2.49
Over 1.5
75%1.12
Over 2.5
52%1.44
Over 3.5
28%2.12
Under 1.5
25%6.00
Under 2.5
48%2.55
Under 3.5
72%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.32
Over 9.5
54%1.59
Over 10.5
41%1.99
Under 8.5
37%2.92
Under 9.5
46%2.21
Under 10.5
59%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

7'Liam CullenAssist: Luke Thomas
11'Olabade AlukoFoul
26'Luca ConnellSerious foul
34'A. Richards INTyrese Noslin out
45'Olabade Aluko INWoyo Coulibaly out
46'William Thomas-AlvesFoul
54'Ben Hamed Touré INJonathan Bland out
56'Samuel Charles BraybrookeFoul
61'Reyes ClearyAssist: Arley Kay
62'Liam Cullen INWes Burns out
62'Samuel Charles Braybrooke INTom Watson out
63'Louis PageFoul
67'Cameron McGeehan INVimal Yoganathan out
67'S. Gale INClayton Taylor out
71'Patrick KellyFoul
81'Louis Page INHarry Howell out
86'William Thomas-Alves INBobby Reid out
89'Arley KayTime wasting
90+1'Jonathan BlandFoul
90+6'Clayton TaylorFoul

Lineups

Barnsley
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Stendel
Leicester
4-1-4-1Coach: Russell Martin
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.96
Rogan Ravenhill7.325R. Ravenhill
S. Gale6.34S. Gale
C. O'Riordan6.46C. O'Riordan
J. Shepherd6.25J. Shepherd
A. Kay6.72A. Kay
Patrick Kelly6.122P. Kelly
L. Connell5.648L. Connell
Amani Richards6.217A. Richards
C. McGeehan6.38C. McGeehan
R. Cleary8.219R. Cleary
B. Touré6.510B. Touré
A. McCarthy7.729A. McCarthy
O. Aluko6.532O. Aluko
W. O'Hora6.816W. O'Hora
W. Faes6.93W. Faes
L. Thomas8.033L. Thomas
L. Page6.725L. Page
L. Cullen7.711L. Cullen
S. Braybrooke6.836S. Braybrooke
J. Lundstram7.26J. Lundstram
W. Alves7.137W. Alves
E. Riis6.417E. Riis

Barnsley Substitutes

36L. Alker
30Jonathan Bland54'for Ben Hamed Touré90+1'6.0
51Kieren Flavell
9M. Kirk
11T. Noslin34'for A. Richards7.1
13C. Taylor67'for S. Gale90+6'6.8
45Vimal Yoganathan67'for Cameron McGeehan6.4

Leicester Substitutes

20H. Howell81'for Louis Page6.5
14B. De Cordova-Reid86'for William Thomas-Alves6.6
26W. Coulibaly45'for Olabade Aluko6.9
7W. Burns62'for Liam Cullen6.6
15H. Souttar
21F. Ravizzoli
23T. Watson62'for Samuel Charles Braybrooke7.2

Match Stats

BarnsleyLeicester
21%Ball Possession79%
5Corner Kicks12
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal8
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots5
19Fouls12
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves4
165Total Passes676
101Passes Accurate606
12Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

BarnsleyBarnsley
LeicesterLeicester
1477Elo Rating 1613
1.00Attack 2.29
0.55Defense 1.95
0%Hit Rate 63%
17.9Shots per Game 14.3
5.7Shots on Target 6.0
7.8Corners per Game 6.6
1.5Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarnsleyBarnsley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LeicesterLeicester
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

BarnsleyBarnsley
4W2D4L
15/09/2026
PeterboroughBarnsley
7363
L
12/09/2026
PlymouthBarnsley
30
L
05/09/2026
BarnsleyStevenage
15
L
02/09/2026
BarnsleyBlackpool
21
W
29/08/2026
Leyton OrientBarnsley
13
W
25/08/2026
BarnsleyCrewe
32
W
22/08/2026
DoncasterBarnsley
00
D
15/08/2026
BarnsleyBromley
01
L
08/08/2026
BarnsleyWigan
6151
W
02/08/2026
Guiseley AFCBarnsley
11
D
LeicesterLeicester
3W3D4L
12/09/2026
Stockport CountyLeicester
34
W
05/09/2026
LeicesterOxford United
04
L
01/09/2026
LeicesterPlymouth
20
W
29/08/2026
Milton Keynes DonsLeicester
00
D
25/08/2026
IpswichLeicester
31
L
22/08/2026
LeicesterBurton Albion
12
L
15/08/2026
Notts CountyLeicester
11
D
08/08/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
10
W
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
L
25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
33
D

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
4ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
5Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
6BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
13Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
14StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
15Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
16WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
4ReadingReading1325:1322
5Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
6BradfordBradford1310:822
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
13Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
14StevenageStevenage1115:1115
15Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
16WycombeWycombe1219:2315
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

About the Barnsley vs Leicester forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barnsley and Leicester in the League One table

In the League One table, Leicester are 11th and Barnsley 23rd, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Barnsley 11-21, Leicester 20-17. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barnsley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Leicester have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Barnsley and Leicester have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.