Oxford United vs Cambridge United Prediction

Kassam Stadium, Oxford 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Oxford United Rest
7 days
Cambridge United Rest
7 days

Oxford United vs Cambridge United: the result in context

Oxford United and Cambridge United drew 1-1 in the League One on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Cambridge United tend to win more corners, 11.1 a game to 6.2 for Oxford United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.10
X
29%3.40
2
31%3.38
Double Chance
1X
69%1.30
X2
59%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.73
No
44%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.2 = 2.72
Over 1.5
80%1.29
Over 2.5
56%1.91
Over 3.5
33%3.15
Under 1.5
20%3.30
Under 2.5
44%1.86
Under 3.5
67%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.35
Over 9.5
45%1.60
Over 10.5
39%2.00
Under 8.5
43%2.88
Under 9.5
55%2.19
Under 10.5
61%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

9'Jamie McDonnell INLouie Sibley out
15'Siriki DembeleAssist: Mark Harris
45'Callum Perry INZak·Bradshaw out
45+8'Cameron BrannaganDissent
50'Sam CurtisFoul
55'Owen Moxon INShayne Lavery out
57'Ben KnightAssist: Dominic Ball
58'Kai Andrews INGatlin O Donkor out
58'Mo Missanga INLuka Lynch out
63'Ben KnightFoul
66'Shayne LaveryFoul
70'Mark Harris INTyler Goodrham out
70'Peter Kioso INBrodie Spencer out
71'Cathal Séan Heffernan AndrewsFoul
76'Sullay Kaikai INIsaac Heath out
86'Ben Knight INRaees Bangura-Williams out
86'Gassan Ahadme INLouis Appere out
87'Kelland WattsFoul

Lineups

Oxford United
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Ramsey
Cambridge United
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Harris
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.45
S. Eastwood6.713S. Eastwood
P. Kioso6.630P. Kioso
M. Helik6.16M. Helik
C. Brown6.33C. Brown
J. Currie6.426J. Currie
C. Brannagan6.68C. Brannagan
Jamie Carson McDonnell6.818J. Carson McDonnell
M. Missanga6.257M. Missanga
Kai Andrews6.04K. Andrews
S. Dembélé8.223S. Dembélé
M. Harris7.29M. Harris
J. Eastwood6.81J. Eastwood
S. Curtis6.029S. Curtis
K. Watts5.86K. Watts
1515C. Séan Heffernan Andrews
Callum Perry6.43C. Perry
O. Moxon6.18O. Moxon
D. Ball7.14D. Ball
B. Knight8.210B. Knight
P. Mpanzu6.317P. Mpanzu
S. Kaikai6.711S. Kaikai
G. Yahyai6.614G. Yahyai

Oxford United Substitutes

19G. O'Donkor58'for Kai Andrews6.7
20L. Lynch58'for Mo Missanga6.5
2S. Long
11T. Goodrham70'for Mark Harris6.9
1J. Cumming
32L. Sibley9'for Jamie McDonnell6.4
15B. Spencer70'for Peter Kioso6.5

Cambridge United Substitutes

9L. Appéré86'for Gassan Ahadme6.5
44Raees Bangura-Williams86'for Ben Knight6.2
22Z. Bradshaw45'for Callum Perry6.4
13G. Breeze
7Isaac Heath76'for Sullay Kaikai6.5
33D. Herd
19S. Lavery55'for Owen Moxon66'6.2

Match Stats

Oxford UnitedCambridge United
66%Ball Possession34%
5Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards5
10Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box3
0Blocked Shots9
11Fouls14
0Goalkeeper Saves3
510Total Passes247
418Passes Accurate162
13Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Oxford UnitedOxford United
Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
1611Elo Rating 1649
1.27Attack 1.83
2.13Defense 1.40
39%Hit Rate 50%
16.0Shots per Game 16.2
3.9Shots on Target 5.8
6.2Corners per Game 11.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.7

Game State Tendencies

Oxford UnitedOxford United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Oxford UnitedOxford United3Wins · 50%
Draws117%
Cambridge UnitedCambridge United2Wins · 33%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

League One26/12/2023
Oxford UnitedCambridge United
21
League One05/08/2023
Cambridge UnitedOxford United
20
League One18/02/2023
Cambridge UnitedOxford United
10
League One06/08/2022
Oxford UnitedCambridge United
10
League One26/02/2022
Oxford UnitedCambridge United
42
League One07/08/2021
Cambridge UnitedOxford United
11

Recent Form

Oxford UnitedOxford United
7W1D2L
12/09/2026
Oxford UnitedBurton Albion
30
W
05/09/2026
LeicesterOxford United
04
W
01/09/2026
HuddersfieldOxford United
31
L
22/08/2026
StevenageOxford United
12
W
15/08/2026
Oxford UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
22
D
08/08/2026
Leyton OrientOxford United
20
L
01/08/2026
Oxford UnitedIpswich
20
W
28/07/2026
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town
31
W
25/07/2026
BarnetOxford United
12
W
21/07/2026
Aldershot TownOxford United
13
W
Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
4W4D2L
12/09/2026
Cambridge UnitedReading
21
W
05/09/2026
Burton AlbionCambridge United
22
D
01/09/2026
BradfordCambridge United
12
W
29/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedHuddersfield
12
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
L
22/08/2026
BromleyCambridge United
11
D
15/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedWigan
32
W
08/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedBarnet
21
W
04/08/2026
NorwichCambridge United
00
D
28/07/2026
Cambridge UnitedNorthampton
00
D

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1274124:11+1325WWWDW
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
4BradfordBradford1264210:5+522DDWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1371521:19+222WLLWW
6ReadingReading1263325:13+1221WWLWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1356221:18+321DLDWW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
13StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
15WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1242616:14+214LLWDL
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1224:1125
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
4BradfordBradford1210:522
5PlymouthPlymouth1321:1922
6ReadingReading1225:1321
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1321:1821
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
13StevenageStevenage1115:1115
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
15WycombeWycombe1219:2315
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1216:1414
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

About the Oxford United vs Cambridge United forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Oxford United and Cambridge United in the League One table

In the League One table, Oxford United are 3rd and Cambridge United 7th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Oxford United 19-10, Cambridge United 21-18. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oxford United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.