Reading vs Notts County Prediction

Reading
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Notts County
Madejski Stadium, Reading 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Reading Rest
3 days
Notts County Rest
7 days

Reading vs Notts County: the result in context

Reading beat Notts County 2-0 in the League One on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Reading had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Notts County.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.76
X
28%3.65
2
28%4.33
Double Chance
1X
72%1.19
X2
56%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.73
No
44%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.17 = 2.53
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
30%2.95
Under 1.5
25%3.50
Under 2.5
47%1.95
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.73
Over 9.5
54%2.17
Over 10.5
41%2.88
Under 8.5
37%2.00
Under 9.5
46%1.58
Under 10.5
59%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%-
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
46%-
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

24'Hindolo MustaphaFoul
49'Jack MarriottAssist: Haydon Roberts
59'Darius Lipsiuc INRosaire Longelo out
59'Jack Evans INMatt Palmer out
59'Hindolo Mustapha INConor·Grant out
59'D. Kanu INLuka Smyth out
72'Jack MarriottAssist: Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
76'Haydon Roberts INRandell Williams out
76'Oliver Cooper INCallum Roberts out
76'Jack Marriott INJacob Brown out
90+1'Kyreece Joshua LisbieFoul
90+3'Kyreece Joshua Lisbie INDaniel·Kyerewaa out
90+4'George Earthy INCharlie Savage out
90+5'P. LaneTime wasting

Lineups

Reading
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Richardson
Notts County
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Paterson
Avg rating7.23
Avg rating6.34
Joel Pereira7.31J. Pereira
U. Godwin-Malife6.42U. Godwin-Malife
P. O'Connor7.515P. O'Connor
Benn David Ward8.016B. David Ward
H. Roberts7.65H. Roberts
L. Wing6.710L. Wing
A. Rinomhota6.84A. Rinomhota
Kyreece Lisbie7.419K. Lisbie
George Earthy6.717G. Earthy
P. Lane7.232P. Lane
J. Marriott9.17J. Marriott
J. Gibbons6.91J. Gibbons
J. Gibbons6.92J. Gibbons
L. Ness6.712L. Ness
J. Bedeau6.94J. Bedeau
N. Tsaroulla6.525N. Tsaroulla
R. Finneran6.327R. Finneran
J. Evans6.315J. Evans
D. Lipsiuc6.014D. Lipsiuc
H. Mustapha6.142H. Mustapha
O. Cooper6.38O. Cooper
D. Kanu5.99D. Kanu

Reading Substitutes

9J. Reid
8C. Savage90+4'for George Earthy
14R. Williams76'for Haydon Roberts6.6
25J. Stevens
18J. Brown76'for Jack Marriott6.9
11D. Kyerewaa90+3'for Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
23C. Masterson

Notts County Substitutes

10R. Longelo-Mbule59'for Darius Lipsiuc6.2
3R. McDonald
18M. Palmer59'for Jack Evans6.5
7C. Roberts76'for Oliver Cooper6.4
19L. Smyth59'for D. Kanu5.8
21H. Griffiths
11C. Grant59'for Hindolo Mustapha6.2

Match Stats

ReadingNotts County
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box9
7Blocked Shots4
13Fouls12
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
374Total Passes413
295Passes Accurate317
11Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

ReadingReading
Notts CountyNotts County
1626Elo Rating 1604
1.47Attack 1.70
2.06Defense 1.89
64%Hit Rate 39%
12.3Shots per Game 12.8
4.2Shots on Target 4.1
5.1Corners per Game 5.2
1.3Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

ReadingReading
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Notts CountyNotts County
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

ReadingReading
6W1D3L
15/09/2026
ReadingBrentford
12
L
12/09/2026
Cambridge UnitedReading
21
L
05/09/2026
ReadingBlackpool
31
W
02/09/2026
ReadingMansfield Town
50
W
25/08/2026
StevenageReading
03
W
22/08/2026
AFC WimbledonReading
00
D
18/08/2026
ReadingWycombe
3111
W
15/08/2026
ReadingLuton
34
L
08/08/2026
BromleyReading
4151
W
01/08/2026
ReadingCharlton
30
W
Notts CountyNotts County
1W5D4L
12/09/2026
Notts CountyBradford
01
L
05/09/2026
HuddersfieldNotts County
11
D
01/09/2026
DoncasterNotts County
11
D
29/08/2026
Notts CountyBurton Albion
21
W
22/08/2026
LutonNotts County
22
D
15/08/2026
Notts CountyLeicester
11
D
08/08/2026
BurnleyNotts County
4131
L
01/08/2026
WalsallNotts County
00
D
18/07/2026
Notts CountyNottingham Forest
02
L
14/07/2026
Randers FCNotts County
31
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1274124:11+1325WWWDW
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
4BradfordBradford1264210:5+522DDWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1371521:19+222WLLWW
6ReadingReading1263325:13+1221WWLWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1356221:18+321DLDWW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
13StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
15WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1242616:14+214LLWDL
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1224:1125
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
4BradfordBradford1210:522
5PlymouthPlymouth1321:1922
6ReadingReading1225:1321
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1321:1821
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
13StevenageStevenage1115:1115
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
15WycombeWycombe1219:2315
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1216:1414
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

About the Reading vs Notts County forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Reading and Notts County in the League One table

In the League One table, Reading are 6th and Notts County 19th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Reading 25-13, Notts County 11-14. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Notts County have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Reading and Notts County have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.