Stevenage vs Wigan Prediction

Stevenage
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Wigan
Broadhall Way, Stevenage·Abigail Byrne 10/10/2026
StevenageStevenage
1-0
Finished
WiganWigan

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+2.9%
Stevenage Rest
3 days
Wigan Rest
17 days

Stevenage vs Wigan: the result in context

Stevenage beat Wigan 1-0 in the League One on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Stevenage had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Wigan.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.10
X
29%3.22
2
24%3.50
Double Chance
1X
76%1.27
X2
53%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.89
No
48%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 0.99 = 2.70
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.17
Over 3.5
27%3.76
Under 1.5
30%2.85
Under 2.5
54%1.65
Under 3.5
73%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.49
Over 9.5
56%1.86
Over 10.5
46%2.39
Under 8.5
33%2.36
Under 9.5
44%1.83
Under 10.5
54%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

28'Finley BurnsFoul
53'Charlie GrayFoul
60'Wanya MarcalAssist: Josh Magennis
64'Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen INFraser Murray out
64'Bradley Burrowes INReggie Walsh out
66'O. Sanderson INBen Broggio out
66'Matthew Smith INLouis Thompson out
69'Reggie WalshDissent
79'Wanya Marcal INPhoenix Patterson out
79'Josh Magennis INMichael Mellon out
85'Jensen Weir INArchie Harris out
85'Jon Mellish INSonny Tufail Perkins out
90+4'James CarragherFoul

Lineups

Stevenage
3-4-1-2Coach: A. Revell
Wigan
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Caldwell
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.41
T. Setford6.41T. Setford
T. Vancooten7.015T. Vancooten
L. James-Wildin6.92L. James-Wildin
C. Piergianni7.15C. Piergianni
Wanya Marçal8.225W. Marçal
D. Phillips6.58D. Phillips
M. Smith6.224M. Smith
S. Earley7.014S. Earley
D. Kemp6.710D. Kemp
O. Sanderson6.318O. Sanderson
J. Magennis7.19J. Magennis
J. Whitworth7.641J. Whitworth
J. Carragher6.023J. Carragher
F. Burns6.85F. Burns
J. Chilokoa-Mullen6.74J. Chilokoa-Mullen
C. Barrett6.02C. Barrett
Charlie Gray6.218C. Gray
M. Power6.48M. Power
J. Mellish5.922J. Mellish
J. Weir6.26J. Weir
B. Burrows6.627B. Burrows
S. Hogan6.425S. Hogan

Stevenage Substitutes

44P. Patterson79'for Wanya Marcal6.6
4J. Houghton
16K. Casey
27B. Broggio66'for O. Sanderson6.6
12D. Barden
28M. Mellon79'for Josh Magennis6.8
23L. Thompson66'for Matthew Smith6.8

Wigan Substitutes

16Archie Harris85'for Jensen Weir6.5
21K'Marni Miller
7F. Murray64'for Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen6.3
38C. Saydee
9S. Perkins85'for Jon Mellish6.3
1J. Walsh
10R. Walsh64'for Bradley Burrowes69'6.1

Match Stats

StevenageWigan
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots6
6Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls12
2Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
323Total Passes496
229Passes Accurate396
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

StevenageStevenage
WiganWigan
1608Elo Rating 1516
1.13Attack 1.12
2.20Defense 1.56
54%Hit Rate 34%
12.7Shots per Game 9.0
3.9Shots on Target 2.8
4.7Corners per Game 3.9
1.0Cards per Game 3.3

Game State Tendencies

StevenageStevenage
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
WiganWigan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

StevenageStevenage3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
WiganWigan1Wins · 17%
1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

League One02/05/2026
StevenageWigan
10
League One29/11/2025
WiganStevenage
00
League One18/01/2025
StevenageWigan
12
League One24/09/2024
WiganStevenage
00
League One27/01/2024
WiganStevenage
23
League One07/10/2023
StevenageWigan
10

Recent Form

StevenageStevenage
4W3D3L
06/10/2026
StevenageLeicester
21
W
22/09/2026
WalsallStevenage
16
W
19/09/2026
Leyton OrientStevenage
10
L
10/09/2026
StevenageLuton
21
W
05/09/2026
BarnsleyStevenage
15
W
01/09/2026
PeterboroughStevenage
00
D
29/08/2026
StevenageDoncaster
22
D
25/08/2026
StevenageReading
03
L
22/08/2026
StevenageOxford United
12
L
15/08/2026
Burton AlbionStevenage
11
D
WiganWigan
3W1D6L
22/09/2026
WiganBlackpool
32
W
19/09/2026
WiganWycombe
01
L
12/09/2026
Sheffield WednesdayWigan
00
D
05/09/2026
WiganStockport County
04
L
02/09/2026
WiganMilton Keynes Dons
31
W
30/08/2026
AFC WimbledonWigan
10
L
22/08/2026
WiganLeyton Orient
02
L
18/08/2026
WiganAston Villa U21
32
W
15/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedWigan
32
L
08/08/2026
BarnsleyWigan
6151
L

Referee Profile

Abigail Byrne82 matches

3.55Cards per match
3.45Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
21.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abigail Byrne3.55
Other referees3.76

3.55 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.76).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1274124:11+1325WWWDW
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
4BradfordBradford1264210:5+522DDWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1371521:19+222WLLWW
6ReadingReading1263325:13+1221WWLWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1356221:18+321DLDWW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
13StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
15WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1242616:14+214LLWDL
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1224:1125
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
4BradfordBradford1210:522
5PlymouthPlymouth1321:1922
6ReadingReading1225:1321
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1321:1821
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
13StevenageStevenage1115:1115
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
15WycombeWycombe1219:2315
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1216:1414
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

About the Stevenage vs Wigan forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stevenage and Wigan in the League One table

In the League One table, Stevenage are 13th and Wigan 24th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Stevenage 15-11, Wigan 8-20. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.