Peterborough vs Burton Albion Prediction

League OneEngland England · Regular Season - 11
Peterborough
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Burton Albion
ABAX Stadium, Peterborough 17/10/2026
PeterboroughPeterborough
2-2
Finished
Burton AlbionBurton Albion

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap-6.6%
Peterborough Rest
6 days
Burton Albion Rest
6 days

Peterborough vs Burton Albion: result, form and history

Peterborough and Burton Albion drew 2-2 in the League One on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Peterborough tend to win more corners, 8.7 a game to 6.3 for Burton Albion.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.85
X
24%3.92
2
27%3.70
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
51%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.57
No
40%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.17 = 2.55
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.57
Over 3.5
35%2.38
Under 1.5
21%5.00
Under 2.5
43%2.31
Under 3.5
65%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.5 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.35
Over 9.5
58%1.62
Over 10.5
47%2.01
Under 8.5
30%2.82
Under 9.5
42%2.18
Under 10.5
53%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

2'Owura EdwardsAssist: Harry Leonard
30'Charlie WebsterAssist: Kgagelo Chauke
45'Matthew Dennis INGbemi Arubi out
60'F. Delap INSulyman Krubally out
66'Harry Ashfield INBrandon·Singh Khela out
69'Owura Edwards INMatthew Garbett out
77'Carl JohnstonFoul
78'Raphael Borges RodriguesFoul
79'Brandon·Singh KhelaFoul
81'Harry Leonard IND. Ormerod out
82'Bolu Shofowoke INVernon Masara out
82'Raphael Borges Rodrigues INEmeka Adeile out
82'Caylon Vickers INM. O’Mahony out
89'Gbemi Arubi
90+6'Matthew Garbett

Lineups

Peterborough
4-2-3-1Coach: Robert William Savage
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Bowyer
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.54
A. Bass6.31A. Bass
C. Johnston6.02C. Johnston
Lucca Mendonça6.518L. Mendonça
Joshua Feeney6.512J. Feeney
Harley Mills5.714H. Mills
L. Kelly6.74L. Kelly
Harry Ashfield6.245H. Ashfield
Bolu Shofowoke6.119B. Shofowoke
Ethan Williams6.210E. Williams
O. Edwards7.511O. Edwards
H. Leonard7.79H. Leonard
C. Addai6.934C. Addai
T. Sibbick5.96T. Sibbick
F. Delap5.826F. Delap
C. Tilt6.216C. Tilt
R. Borges Rodrigues6.217R. Borges Rodrigues
K. Chauke6.54K. Chauke
G. Evans6.412G. Evans
Harvey Araujo6.324H. Araujo
1818C. Vickers
C. Webster7.98C. Webster
M. Dennis6.619M. Dennis

Peterborough Substitutes

26D. Okagbue
8B. Khela66'for Harry Ashfield79'6.1
28M. Garbett69'for Owura Edwards90+6'7.6
7Harrison Jones
27D. Ormerod81'replaced by Harry Leonard
23C. Andeng Ndi
17Vernon Masara82'for Bolu Shofowoke6.4

Burton Albion Substitutes

20J. Sraha
9G. Arubi45'for Matthew Dennis89'8.2
14W. Collar
32J. Kean
41Sulyman Krubally60'for F. Delap6.3
10Mark O’Mahony82'replaced by Caylon Vickers6.8
23Emeka Adeile82'for Raphael Borges Rodrigues6.0

Match Stats

PeterboroughBurton Albion
55%Ball Possession45%
8Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal7
15Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots3
11Fouls10
5Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves4
472Total Passes389
355Passes Accurate274
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

PeterboroughPeterborough
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
1544Elo Rating 1557
1.95Attack 0.93
1.12Defense 2.18
31%Hit Rate 27%
17.8Shots per Game 15.4
4.1Shots on Target 4.7
8.7Corners per Game 6.3
1.4Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PeterboroughPeterborough
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PeterboroughPeterborough4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Burton AlbionBurton Albion2Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

League One19/04/2026
PeterboroughBurton Albion
11
League One18/10/2025
Burton AlbionPeterborough
01
League One01/01/2025
Burton AlbionPeterborough
22
League One04/12/2024
PeterboroughBurton Albion
01
League One09/03/2024
Burton AlbionPeterborough
13
League One25/11/2023
PeterboroughBurton Albion
40
League One14/03/2023
Burton AlbionPeterborough
25
League One08/10/2022
PeterboroughBurton Albion
11
League One06/03/2021
Burton AlbionPeterborough
21
League One27/10/2020
PeterboroughBurton Albion
22

Recent Form

PeterboroughPeterborough
4W2D4L
10/10/2026
LeicesterPeterborough
13
W
06/10/2026
PeterboroughIpswich Town U21
41
W
26/09/2026
Stockport CountyPeterborough
10
L
22/09/2026
PeterboroughColchester
31
W
19/09/2026
PeterboroughDoncaster
02
L15/09/2026
PeterboroughBarnsley
7363
W
12/09/2026
Milton Keynes DonsPeterborough
11
D
05/09/2026
PeterboroughSheffield Wednesday
12
L
01/09/2026
PeterboroughStevenage
00
D
29/08/2026
BlackpoolPeterborough
40
L
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
3W2D5L
10/10/2026
DoncasterBurton Albion
10
L
06/10/2026
GrimsbyBurton Albion
2040
W
03/10/2026
Burton AlbionHuddersfield
13
L26/09/2026
PlymouthBurton Albion
01
W
22/09/2026
Burton AlbionNottingham Forest U21
3141
L
19/09/2026
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
22
D12/09/2026
Oxford UnitedBurton Albion
30
L
05/09/2026
Burton AlbionCambridge United
22
D
02/09/2026
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
41
W
29/08/2026
Notts CountyBurton Albion
21
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1274124:11+1325WWWDW
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
4BradfordBradford1264210:5+522DDWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1371521:19+222WLLWW
6ReadingReading1263325:13+1221WWLWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1356221:18+321DLDWW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
13StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
15WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1242616:14+214LLWDL
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1224:1125
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
4BradfordBradford1210:522
5PlymouthPlymouth1321:1922
6ReadingReading1225:1321
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1321:1821
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
13StevenageStevenage1115:1115
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
15WycombeWycombe1219:2315
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1216:1414
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

Explore more predictions

This match

More League One matches

All predictions

About the Peterborough vs Burton Albion forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Peterborough and Burton Albion in the League One table

In the League One table, Burton Albion are 12th and Peterborough 21st, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Peterborough 11-21, Burton Albion 18-19. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.