Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction

Abbey Stadium, Cambridge 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Cambridge United Rest
3 days
AFC Wimbledon Rest
8 days

Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon: the result in context

Cambridge United and AFC Wimbledon drew 1-1 in the League One on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Cambridge United tend to win more corners, 11.9 a game to 6.9 for AFC Wimbledon.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.85
X
26%3.50
2
21%4.28
Double Chance
1X
79%1.21
X2
47%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.85
No
51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 0.79 = 2.35
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.02
Over 3.5
25%3.45
Under 1.5
30%3.08
Under 2.5
54%1.76
Under 3.5
75%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.9 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.38
Over 9.5
52%1.65
Over 10.5
40%2.10
Under 8.5
37%2.77
Under 9.5
48%2.11
Under 10.5
60%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.3
Over 3.5
43%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
57%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

30'Jayden StockleyAssist: Andy Yiadom
36'Dujuan Richards INZack Nelson out
45'Glenn McConnell INShayne Lavery out
52'Andy YiadomDissent
59'Pelly Ruddock MpanzuFoul
62'Kelland Watts
74'Callum Maycock INDonnell McNeilly out
79'Owen Moxon INGeorge Hoddle out
79'Gassan Ahadme INLouis Appere out
90+1'Zak·BradshawAssist: Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
90+2'Aron Sasu INRiley Horan out
90+5'Steve SeddonFoul

Lineups

Cambridge United
3-4-2-1Coach: N. Harris
AFC Wimbledon
5-4-1Coach: J. Jackson
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating6.71
J. Eastwood6.41J. Eastwood
1515C. Séan Heffernan Andrews
K. Watts6.16K. Watts
Z. Bradshaw6.922Z. Bradshaw
O. Moxon6.38O. Moxon
D. Ball6.64D. Ball
P. Mpanzu6.517P. Mpanzu
Isaac Heath5.87I. Heath
B. Knight7.210B. Knight
G. McConnell5.727G. McConnell
G. Yahyai6.014G. Yahyai
J. Bursik6.639J. Bursik
A. Yiadom6.517A. Yiadom
I. Ogundere6.933I. Ogundere
D. Sweeney6.326D. Sweeney
S. Seddon6.13S. Seddon
A. Sasu7.029A. Sasu
D. Richards6.831D. Richards
O. Harrison6.75O. Harrison
A. Smith7.112A. Smith
C. Maycock6.38C. Maycock
J. Stockley7.79J. Stockley

Cambridge United Substitutes

30L. McDougald
9L. Appéré79'for Gassan Ahadme6.6
13G. Breeze
32D. Efobi
33D. Herd
38G. Hoddle79'for Owen Moxon6.2
19S. Lavery45'for Glenn McConnell6.3

AFC Wimbledon Substitutes

37Robin Ashamu
20J. McDonnell
19Donnell McNeilly74'for Callum Maycock6.5
10Z. Nelson36'for Dujuan Richards6.9
22R. Horan90+2'for Aron Sasu

Match Stats

Cambridge UnitedAFC Wimbledon
63%Ball Possession37%
8Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
8Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
479Total Passes293
363Passes Accurate196
10Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
1648Elo Rating 1462
1.59Attack 0.64
1.49Defense 0.54
31%Hit Rate 0%
17.3Shots per Game 12.9
6.8Shots on Target 3.2
11.9Corners per Game 6.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+185 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Cambridge UnitedCambridge United2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

League One26/03/2022
AFC WimbledonCambridge United
01
League One30/10/2021
Cambridge UnitedAFC Wimbledon
10

Recent Form

Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
5W3D2L
22/09/2026
GillinghamCambridge United
14
W
19/09/2026
Oxford UnitedCambridge United
11
D
12/09/2026
Cambridge UnitedReading
21
W
05/09/2026
Burton AlbionCambridge United
22
D
01/09/2026
BradfordCambridge United
12
W
29/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedHuddersfield
12
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
L
22/08/2026
BromleyCambridge United
11
D
15/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedWigan
32
W
08/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedBarnet
21
W
AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
4W2D4L
17/09/2026
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
00
D
12/09/2026
AFC WimbledonDoncaster
10
W
07/09/2026
BromleyAFC Wimbledon
02
W
02/09/2026
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
41
L
30/08/2026
AFC WimbledonWigan
10
W
27/08/2026
FulhamAFC Wimbledon
30
L
22/08/2026
AFC WimbledonReading
00
D
18/08/2026
Leyton OrientAFC Wimbledon
6151
L
15/08/2026
HuddersfieldAFC Wimbledon
30
L
08/08/2026
AFC WimbledonNewport County
5141
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
4ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
5Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
6BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
13Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
14StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
15Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
16WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
4ReadingReading1325:1322
5Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
6BradfordBradford1310:822
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
13Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
14StevenageStevenage1115:1115
15Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
16WycombeWycombe1219:2315
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

About the Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cambridge United and AFC Wimbledon in the League One table

In the League One table, Cambridge United are 7th and AFC Wimbledon 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Cambridge United 21-21, AFC Wimbledon 8-19. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cambridge United and AFC Wimbledon have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.