Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares Prediction

Águilas Doradas
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Jaguares
Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellin·Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Águilas Doradas Rest
5 days
Jaguares Rest
5 days

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares: result, form and history

Águilas Doradas beat Jaguares 2-0 in the Primera A on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa averages 6.94 cards a game, 0.84 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.50
X
24%4.10
2
14%6.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
39%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.91
No
50%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 0.9 = 2.56
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.84
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.93
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4.2 = 10.5
Over 8.5
65%1.50
Over 9.5
55%1.86
Over 10.5
47%2.36
Under 8.5
35%2.36
Under 9.5
45%1.84
Under 10.5
53%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.9 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
64%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
36%-

Match Events

35'Ricardo MarquezFoul
45'Duvan Rodriguez INSantiago Cubides out
45'Juan Esteban Franco INJonathan Lovera out
59'Darwin Lopez INJohar Mejia out
59'Diego MartínezTime wasting
59'Cristian Alvarez INJohan Beltrán out
60'Andrés RenteríaDissent
62'Rafael BustamanteFoul
67'Iván Rojas INEduar Arízalas out
67'Dylan Lozano INJhon Meléndez out
67'Matías Ramírez INJuan Esteban·Avalo Trejos out
68'Jhon MeléndezFoul
77'Luis Jimenez INCarlos Cantillo out
81'Fabián Suárez INAnthony Vásquez out
84'Andres Mosquera INNicolás Lara Vásquez out
85'Diego Martínez
90'Ricardo Marquez(Penalty)
90+3'Juan Esteban·Avalo TrejosFoul
90+4'Andres RicaurteFoul
90+4'Jonathan LoveraArgument
90+7'Eduar Arízalas

Lineups

Águilas Doradas
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Robatto
Jaguares
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Bodhert
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.15
J. Soto6.71J. Soto
D. Lozano6.826D. Lozano
A. Mosquera7.54A. Mosquera
J. Ontaneda7.33J. Ontaneda
J. Mena7.132J. Mena
F. Lozano6.519F. Lozano
I. Rojas6.66I. Rojas
F. Suárez6.815F. Suárez
A. Ricaurte7.18A. Ricaurte
M. Ramírez6.916M. Ramírez
R. Márquez7.521R. Márquez
D. Martínez6.61D. Martínez
J. Franco5.94J. Franco
J. Malagón6.73J. Malagón
C. Henao5.429C. Henao
L. Jiménez5.618L. Jiménez
R. Colpa6.55R. Colpa
R. Bustamante6.521R. Bustamante
D. Rodríguez5.98D. Rodríguez
C. Álvarez6.210C. Álvarez
D. López6.017D. López
A. Rentería6.111A. Rentería

Águilas Doradas Substitutes

29T. Blandon
7Eduar Arízalas67'replaced by Iván Rojas90+7'
20Alberto Higgins
12Juan Hurtado
30N. Lara84'for Andres Mosquera6.5
13J. Melendez67'for Dylan Lozano68'6.4
10Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
9A. Vásquez81'for Fabián Suárez6.6
24J. Ávalo67'for Matías Ramírez90+3'6.4

Jaguares Substitutes

9J. Mejia59'for Darwin Lopez6.3
6J. Lovera45'for Juan Esteban Franco90+4'6.1
7W. De La Rosa
24S. Cubides45'for Duvan Rodriguez6.3
19C. Cantillo77'for Luis Jimenez6.0
16E. Beltrán59'for Cristian Alvarez6.4
12F. Mosquera

Match Stats

Águilas DoradasJaguares
60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
26Total Shots4
8Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal2
19Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots2
11Fouls7
2Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves5
436Total Passes297
376Passes Accurate219
7Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
JaguaresJaguares
1568Elo Rating 1434
1.38Attack 1.01
2.13Defense 1.40
46%Hit Rate 37%
10.8Shots per Game 12.3
3.7Shots on Target 3.3
4.6Corners per Game 4.9
2.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
JaguaresJaguares
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
JaguaresJaguares2Wins · 20%
1.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa Colombia10/05/2026
Águilas DoradasJaguares
00
Primera A24/03/2026
JaguaresÁguilas Doradas
11
Primera A14/08/2024
Águilas DoradasJaguares
10
Primera A10/02/2024
JaguaresÁguilas Doradas
10
Primera A09/11/2023
JaguaresÁguilas Doradas
01
Primera A18/05/2023
Águilas DoradasJaguares
30
Primera A27/09/2022
JaguaresÁguilas Doradas
00
Primera A03/04/2022
Águilas DoradasJaguares
11
Primera A22/08/2021
Águilas DoradasJaguares
12
Primera A20/03/2021
JaguaresÁguilas Doradas
02

Referee Profile

Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa32 matches

6.94Cards per match
6.22Yellow cards per match
0.72Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa6.94
Other referees6.10

6.94 cards a match, 0.84 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.10).

Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WWWDW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WWLWW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434WDLWW
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033WLWLD
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031WLDWW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DDLWW
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427LDWWL
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWLDW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LLWLW
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LWLLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDWDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LWDDL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LWLDL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LLWDL
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional17113333:14+1936WWWDW
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali16104231:12+1934WLWLD
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1796226:10+1633LDWWL
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1778226:17+929LWLLL
5Santa FeSanta Fe1684423:17+628DDLWW
6MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1782725:25026WWLDW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1767422:20+225LLWLW
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1765621:20+123WLDWW
11CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13LlanerosLlaneros1762919:23-420LDWDD
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1753917:29-1218LLWDL
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1738613:22-917LDLLL
16JuniorJunior1737723:27-416WWLWW
17ChicoChico1744913:28-1516LWLWL
18JaguaresJaguares1634917:29-1213LWLDL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1719717:25-812LWDDL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto16331011:24-1312WDLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1733:1436
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1631:1234
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1726:1033
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1726:1729
5Santa FeSanta Fe1623:1728
6MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1725:2526
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1722:2025
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1721:2023
11CucutaCucuta1618:2421
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13LlanerosLlaneros1719:2320
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1717:2918
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1713:2217
16JuniorJunior1723:2716
17ChicoChico1713:2816
18JaguaresJaguares1617:2913
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1717:2512
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1611:2412

About the Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Águilas Doradas and Jaguares in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Águilas Doradas are 12th and Jaguares 16th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Águilas Doradas 20-25, Jaguares 20-33. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.