Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 10
Estadio Atanasio Girardot 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+8.4%
Atletico Nacional Rest
5 days
Águilas Doradas Rest
7 days
Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas: result, form and history
Atletico Nacional beat Águilas Doradas 2-0 in the Primera A on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atletico Nacional had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Águilas Doradas.
Atletico Nacional have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
164%1.37
X21%4.40
215%8.50
Double Chance
1X86%1.07
X236%2.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%2.00
No43%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 0.84 = 2.75
Over 1.579%1.22
Over 2.558%1.74
Over 3.535%2.81
Under 1.521%3.92
Under 2.542%2.04
Under 3.565%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.3 = 9.1
Over 8.558%1.50
Over 9.545%1.86
Over 10.534%2.39
Under 8.542%2.37
Under 9.555%1.85
Under 10.566%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5
Over 3.573%-
Over 4.556%-
Under 3.527%-
Under 4.544%-
Match Events
45'Ricardo Marquez INAnthony Vásquez out
45'Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos INMatías Ramírez out
57'Juan Rengifo INEdwin Cardona out
58'Simón Alejandro Rojas Merchan INElías Lautaro Cabrera out
58'Marlos Moreno INIan Carlo Poveda out
65'Penalty confirmedIan Carlo Poveda
66'Nicolás Lara VásquezFoul
68'Edwin Cardona(Penalty)
69'Nicolás Lara Vásquez INJunior Noguera out
71'William TesilloFoul
78'Juan Zapata INXavi Eshayth Rios Blanquicet out
79'Eduar Arley Arízalas Tenorio INFabián Suárez out
80'Alfredo Morelos INChicho Arango out
83'Ian Carlo Poveda
86'Jhon Meléndez INLucho Vásquez Diaz out
90+3'Milton CascoFoul
Lineups
Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas
4-2-3-1Coach: F. RobattoAvg ratingAvg rating
34F. Armani
6A. Román
3N. Parra
16W. Tesillo
20M. Casco
80J. Zapata2828S. Alejandro Rojas Merchan
29A. Sarmiento
19J. Rengifo
7M. Moreno
9A. Morelos
1J. Soto
13J. Melendez
4A. Mosquera
3J. Ontaneda
32J. Mena
30N. Lara
19F. Lozano
24J. Ávalo
8A. Ricaurte
7E. Arízalas
21R. MárquezAtletico Nacional Substitutes
33S. Velásquez
10E. Cardona57'for Juan Rengifo68'
22E. Cabrera58'replaced by Simón Alejandro Rojas Merchan
17C. Arango80'for Alfredo Morelos
25L. Marquinez
30K. Parra
99I. Poveda58'for Marlos Moreno83'
15A. Reyes
31X. Rios78'for Juan Zapata
Águilas Doradas Substitutes
17E. Betancur
14A. Romero
10Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca69'for Nicolás Lara Vásquez
16M. Ramírez45'for Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
6I. Rojas
15F. Suárez79'for Eduar Arley Arízalas Tenorio
9A. Vásquez45'for Ricardo Marquez
12H. Arango
5L. Vásquez86'for Jhon Meléndez
Match Stats
Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas 61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots2
13Fouls8
2Offsides5
2Goalkeeper Saves4
423Total Passes262
350Passes Accurate205
8Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas1759Elo Rating 1568
2.15Attack 1.38
2.46Defense 2.13
83%Hit Rate 46%
11.8Shots per Game 10.8
4.9Shots on Target 3.7
3.7Corners per Game 4.6
2.2Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+190 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Águilas Doradas- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Nacional7Wins · 70%Draws110%
Águilas Doradas2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
07/03/2026Águilas DoradasAtletico Nacional12
09/11/2025Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas21
18/05/2025Águilas DoradasAtletico Nacional21
06/08/2024Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas11
05/02/2024Águilas DoradasAtletico Nacional03
05/10/2023Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas21
28/09/2023Águilas DoradasAtletico Nacional03
31/08/2023Águilas DoradasAtletico Nacional20
05/06/2023Águilas DoradasAtletico Nacional01
02/06/2023Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas10
Recent Form
Atletico Nacional8W0D2L
08/09/2026Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali
Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional
Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional
America de CaliAtletico Nacional
JaguaresAtletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali30
W30/08/2026Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional15
W27/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
23/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali21
WFortaleza FCAtletico Nacional12
W10/08/2026America de CaliAtletico Nacional10
L02/08/2026JaguaresAtletico Nacional03
W29/07/2026
Tigres FCAtletico Nacional
Tigres FCAtletico Nacional02
W21/07/2026Atletico NacionalTigres FC
09/06/2026Atletico NacionalTigres FC20
WAtletico NacionalJunior10
W03/06/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional30
LÁguilas Doradas3W7D0L
06/09/2026
Internacional de BogotaÁguilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
ChicoÁguilas Doradas
MillonariosÁguilas Doradas
Llaneros
Deportivo PastoÁguilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
Santa Fe
Internacional de BogotaÁguilas Doradas22
D30/08/2026Águilas DoradasChico22
D22/08/2026Águilas DoradasMillonarios11
D19/08/2026Águilas DoradasLlaneros11
D01/08/2026Deportivo PastoÁguilas Doradas12
W26/07/2026Águilas DoradasSanta Fe21
W26/05/2026
Real SoachaÁguilas Doradas
Real SoachaÁguilas Doradas22
D21/05/2026Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pereira
Águilas DoradasDeportivo Pereira11
D18/05/2026
Ind. YumboÁguilas Doradas
Ind. YumboÁguilas Doradas14
W10/05/2026Águilas DoradasJaguares
Águilas DoradasJaguares00
DLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LLWLW |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:14 | +19 | 36 | WWWDW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26:17 | +9 | 29 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 25 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:20 | +1 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 17 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 12 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 33:14 | 36 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 21:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 17:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 13:22 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima 12/09/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Llaneros 12/09/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Junior 13/09/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga 13/09/26
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali 14/09/26
- Cucuta vs Millonarios 14/09/26
- America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto 15/09/26
- Chico vs Alianza Valledupar 16/09/26
About the Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Nacional and Águilas Doradas in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Atletico Nacional are 1st and Águilas Doradas 12th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Nacional 35-15, Águilas Doradas 20-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.