Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.94
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
Fortaleza FC Rest
14 days
Atletico Nacional Rest
13 days
Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional: the result in context
Atletico Nacional beat Fortaleza FC 2-1 in the Primera A on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atletico Nacional had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Fortaleza FC.
Atletico Nacional have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
122%4.30
X32%3.34
246%1.83
Double Chance
1X54%1.91
X278%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.86
No50%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 0.98 = 1.94
Over 1.560%1.33
Over 2.529%2.03
Over 3.512%3.58
Under 1.540%3.10
Under 2.571%1.74
Under 3.588%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.5 = 8.9
Over 8.546%1.67
Over 9.531%1.95
Over 10.520%2.54
Under 8.554%2.11
Under 9.569%1.78
Under 10.580%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3.2 = 5.9
Over 3.582%-
Over 4.566%-
Under 3.518%-
Under 4.534%-
Match Events
31'N. Rodriguez INM. Moreno out
43'A. CopeteAssist: S. Navarro
45+1'M. Casco
46'C. Arango INA. Morelos out
46'J. Rengifo INE. Cardona out
46'A. Sarmiento INI. Poveda out
70'M. Casco INS. Velasquez out
71'S. Navarro INJ. Blanco out
71'J. Solis INJ. Velasquez out
77'A. MorelosAssist: I. Poveda
79'J. Herrera INT. Wilke out
79'R. D. Rivas Torres INA. Batioja out
85'E. Cardona
89'A. Copete
89'E. Cardona(Penalty)
90+2'J. Cajares
90+6'S. Velasquez
90+8'Goal Disallowed - offside
Lineups
Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional
Coach: Lucas GonzalezFortaleza FC Starting XI
1Williams Barlasina
16Joan Cajares90+2'
6Yesid Díaz
2Andres Copete43'89'
23Juan Castillo
30Jhon Solis71'replaced by J. Velasquez
14Leonardo PicoC
28Santiago Vivas
26Richardson Rivas79'replaced by A. Batioja
9Sebastian Herrera79'replaced by T. Wilke
8Sebastián Navarro71'replaced by J. Blanco
Avg rating
Atletico Nacional Starting XI
34Franco ArmaniC
6Andrés Román
28Robinson García
16William Tesillo
20Milton Casco45+1'70'replaced by S. Velasquez
80Juan Zapata
21Jorman Campuzano
13Nicolás Rodríguez31'replaced by M. Moreno
19Juan Manuel Rengifo46'replaced by E. Cardona
29Andrés Sarmiento46'replaced by I. Poveda
17Cristian Arango46'replaced by A. Morelos
Avg rating
Fortaleza FC Substitutes
10Jhon Velásquez71'for J. Solis
20Jhonier Blanco71'for S. Navarro
11Andy Duvan Batioja79'for R. D. Rivas Torres
29Teun Wilke79'for J. Herrera
12Cristian Santander
3David Ramírez
4Edwin Cabezas
7Italo Montaño Cortes
5Jeferson Medina
Atletico Nacional Substitutes
7Marlos Moreno31'for N. Rodriguez
10Edwin Cardona46'for J. Rengifo85'89'
99Ian Poveda46'for A. Sarmiento
9Alfredo Morelos46'for C. Arango77'
33Samuel Velásquez70'for M. Casco90+6'
44Edimer Zea
26Andres Marin
4César Haydar
30Kevin Parra
Match Stats
Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional 34%Ball Possession66%
4Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
7Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots4
14Fouls12
6Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
213Total Passes410
156Passes Accurate350
73%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional1470Elo Rating 1735
1.20Attack 2.08
1.53Defense 2.24
0%Hit Rate 63%
16.8Shots per Game 16.2
4.2Shots on Target 6.4
4.5Corners per Game 5.3
3.5Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Fortaleza FC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Fortaleza FC1Wins · 20%Draws120%
Atletico Nacional3Wins · 60%
3Wins · 60%3.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5
Previous meetings
13/02/2026Atletico NacionalFortaleza FC41
17/08/2025Atletico NacionalFortaleza FC22
05/03/2025Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional15
27/10/2024Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional01
06/04/2024Atletico NacionalFortaleza FC12
Recent Form
Fortaleza FC3W4D3L
08/08/2026Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
LlanerosFortaleza FCFortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
Fortaleza FCCucuta20
W04/08/2026LlanerosFortaleza FC31
L01/08/2026Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pereira00
D27/07/2026Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC11
D29/05/2026CucutaFortaleza FC
CucutaFortaleza FC00
D20/05/2026Fortaleza FC
Orsomarso
Fortaleza FCOrsomarso11
D11/05/2026
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC10
L08/05/2026Fortaleza FC
Leones FC
Fortaleza FCLeones FC41
W03/05/2026Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FCBucaramanga21
W26/04/2026Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC10
LAtletico Nacional8W0D2L
10/08/2026
America de CaliAtletico Nacional
JaguaresAtletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Junior
America de CaliAtletico Nacional10
L02/08/2026JaguaresAtletico Nacional03
W29/07/2026
Tigres FCAtletico Nacional
Tigres FCAtletico Nacional02
W21/07/2026Atletico NacionalTigres FC
09/06/2026Atletico NacionalTigres FC20
WAtletico NacionalJunior10
W03/06/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional30
L24/05/2026Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima31
W17/05/2026Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional01
W13/05/2026Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota71
W09/05/2026Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional12
WReferee Profile
6.32Cards per match
5.88Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.09).
Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WLWWL |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | WDDLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | 35 | WWDWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 | LWDLW |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 17 | Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 12 | WDDLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 16 | 21:24 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 16 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios 22/08/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga 22/08/26
- Santa Fe vs America de Cali 23/08/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta 23/08/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros 23/08/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Internacional de Bogota 24/08/26
- Junior vs Once Caldas 24/08/26
- Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar 26/08/26
About the Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fortaleza FC and Atletico Nacional in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Atletico Nacional are 1st and Fortaleza FC 15th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza FC 22-27, Atletico Nacional 35-15. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.