Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga Prediction

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague·Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua, Colombia 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Deportes Tolima Rest
3 days
Bucaramanga Rest
13 days

Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga: the result in context

Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga drew 0-0 in the Primera A on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.2 goals a game. Deportes Tolima tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 2.3 for Bucaramanga.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%2.30
X
27%2.97
2
21%3.27
Double Chance
1X
79%1.30
X2
48%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.92
No
44%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.86 = 2.38
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.29
Over 3.5
23%4.10
Under 1.5
28%2.67
Under 2.5
55%1.59
Under 3.5
77%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.72
Over 9.5
52%2.12
Over 10.5
35%2.74
Under 8.5
37%2.00
Under 9.5
48%1.64
Under 10.5
65%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3.1 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
66%1.36
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
34%2.65

Match Events

3'L. Flores
21'Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Ortiz
46'L. Flores INFabry out
57'S. Guzman
65'F. Charrupi INA. Zarate out
66'L. Pons INK. Londono out
66'S. Guzman INJ. Mosquera out
66'L. Sanchez INK. Florez out
76'J. Garcia
77'S. Aguayo INJ. Valencia out
80'F. Hinestroza INJ. Salazar out
80'N. Castrillon INA. Gutierrez out
90'J. Hernandez IND. Pedrozo out
90'H. E. Martinez Yepez
90+1'D. Pedrozo
90+1'S. Oliveros
90+2'A. Zarate
90+4'F. Sambueza

Match Stats

Deportes TolimaBucaramanga
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots2
13Fouls18
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
475Total Passes332
395Passes Accurate261
83%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
BucaramangaBucaramanga
1569Elo Rating 1600
1.01Attack 1.34
1.49Defense 2.00
0%Hit Rate 31%
12.8Shots per Game 9.3
4.9Shots on Target 3.1
5.5Corners per Game 2.3
3.3Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BucaramangaBucaramanga
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
BucaramangaBucaramanga2Wins · 20%
1.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A11/02/2026
BucaramangaDeportes Tolima
00
Primera A04/12/2025
BucaramangaDeportes Tolima
00
Primera A23/11/2025
Deportes TolimaBucaramanga
00
Primera A20/09/2025
BucaramangaDeportes Tolima
20
Primera A06/04/2025
Deportes TolimaBucaramanga
21
Primera A01/09/2024
BucaramangaDeportes Tolima
02
Primera A22/02/2024
Deportes TolimaBucaramanga
00
Primera A02/09/2023
Deportes TolimaBucaramanga
00
Primera A22/03/2023
BucaramangaDeportes Tolima
11
Primera A02/08/2022
BucaramangaDeportes Tolima
21

Recent Form

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
4W1D5L
BucaramangaBucaramanga
3W3D4L
09/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
23
W
04/08/2026
BucaramangaCucuta
11
D
31/07/2026
BucaramangaLlaneros
11
D
26/07/2026
MillonariosBucaramanga
01
W
24/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
21
L
21/05/2026
BucaramangaPopayan
23
L
12/05/2026
Deportivo CaliBucaramanga
20
L
08/05/2026
BucaramangaReal Santander
50
W
03/05/2026
Fortaleza FCBucaramanga
21
L
25/04/2026
BucaramangaJaguares
22
D

Referee Profile

Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua128 matches

5.93Cards per match
5.63Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua5.93
Other referees5.77

5.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.77).

Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WLWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WLDWL
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LWDLW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLWLD
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1672723:24-123WLDWL
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1653816:27-1118LWDLW
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1637621:24-316WLWWL
16ChicoChico1644813:26-1316WLWLD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1623:2423
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1616:2718
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1621:2416
16ChicoChico1613:2616
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Deportes Tolima are 6th and Bucaramanga 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportes Tolima 27-17, Bucaramanga 26-20. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bucaramanga have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.