Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.64
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Deportes Tolima Rest
4 days
Internacional de Bogota Rest
3 days
Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota: the result in context
Deportes Tolima beat Internacional de Bogota 2-1 in the Primera A on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Deportes Tolima have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. Referee Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa averages 6.88 cards a game, 0.78 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.64
X23%3.62
217%5.32
Double Chance
1X83%1.14
X240%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.95
No53%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 0.78 = 2.43
Over 1.571%1.30
Over 2.548%2.01
Over 3.526%3.50
Under 1.529%3.20
Under 2.552%1.75
Under 3.574%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.84
Over 9.545%2.37
Over 10.529%3.25
Under 8.543%1.85
Under 9.555%1.50
Under 10.571%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.538%-
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.562%-
Match Events
12'A. Parra OsorioAssist: J. Hurtado
24'J. Hurtado
35'J. Hurtado INH. E. Martinez Yepez out
45+1'A. Parra Osorio
51'E. ValenciaAssist: A. Parra Osorio
53'Y. A. Gomez Mosquera
59'D. Duarte INJ. Caballero out
61'F. SanguinettiAssist: C. Dajome
68'J. Hernandez INJ. Mosquera out
68'K. Florez INJ. Valencia out
68'S. Guzman INL. Sandoval out
80'L. Sanchez INV. Reyes out
85'D. Quinones INR. Manjarres out
87'F. Sanguinetti INY. Garces out
87'C. Dajome INY. Garcia out
90+2'R. Valino
Lineups
Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota
4-4-2Coach: Ricardo ValinoAvg ratingAvg rating
13M. Ortega
17C. Arrieta
3J. Ángulo
71Y. Osorio
20J. Hernández
8E. Valencia
C32S. Guzmán
7J. Hurtado
10L. Sánchez
18K. Florez
24A. Parra
1W. Faríñez
25R. Julio
2C. Vivas
26A. Irazoque
16Y. Gómez
11C. Dájome
15D. Quiñonez
C5L. Vásquez
7F. Sanguinetti
10F. Boné
9D. DuarteDeportes Tolima Substitutes
14Homer Martinez35'for J. Hurtado
33Jherson Mosquera68'for J. Hernandez
11Jader Valencia68'for K. Florez
9Luis Sandoval68'for S. Guzman
16Victor Reyes80'for L. Sanchez
23Gali Balanta
4Daniel Pedrozo
28Edwar López
21Anderson Ibargüen
Internacional de Bogota Substitutes
23Johan Caballero59'for D. Duarte
24Ruben Manjarres85'for D. Quinones
21Yojan Garcés87'for F. Sanguinetti
19Yeider Garcia87'for C. Dajome
33Kevin Cataño
13Miguel Pernia
4Mateo Rodas
Match Stats
Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota 59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots2
8Fouls8
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
514Total Passes341
434Passes Accurate271
84%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota1569Elo Rating 1535
1.01Attack 2.01
1.49Defense 1.95
0%Hit Rate 50%
12.8Shots per Game 13.8
4.9Shots on Target 2.9
5.5Corners per Game 3.8
3.3Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportes Tolima- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Internacional de Bogota- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Deportes Tolima6Wins · 60%Draws440%
Internacional de Bogota0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
03/02/2026Internacional de BogotaDeportes Tolima00
21/10/2025Internacional de BogotaDeportes Tolima02
27/04/2025Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota21
11/08/2024Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota51
24/05/2024Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota30
19/05/2024Internacional de BogotaDeportes Tolima23
10/02/2024Internacional de BogotaDeportes Tolima11
27/08/2023Internacional de BogotaDeportes Tolima00
15/03/2023Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota10
22/08/2022Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota11
Recent Form
Deportes Tolima4W1D5L
05/08/2026Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin
Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima
QuindioDeportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
Junior
Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin23
L01/08/2026Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima12
W29/07/2026QuindioDeportes Tolima4221
L26/07/2026Deportes TolimaJunior21
W22/07/2026Deportes TolimaQuindio
Deportes TolimaQuindio21
W27/05/2026
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima00
D24/05/2026
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima31
L20/05/2026
Coquimbo UnidoDeportes Tolima
Coquimbo UnidoDeportes Tolima30
L17/05/2026Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional01
L14/05/2026
Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima
Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima02
WInternacional de Bogota5W0D5L
06/08/2026Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
Internacional PalmiraInternacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota
America de CaliInternacional de BogotaInternacional Palmira
Internacional de BogotaJaguares10
W30/07/2026Internacional PalmiraInternacional de Bogota12
W26/07/2026Internacional de BogotaAmerica de Cali02
L22/07/2026Internacional de BogotaInternacional Palmira10
W13/05/2026Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota71
L09/05/2026Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional12
L03/05/2026
Santa FeInternacional de Bogota
Santa FeInternacional de Bogota31
L27/04/2026Internacional de Bogota
Chico
Internacional de BogotaChico40
W21/04/2026
Once CaldasInternacional de Bogota
Once CaldasInternacional de Bogota21
L13/04/2026Internacional de BogotaAlianza Valledupar
Internacional de BogotaAlianza Valledupar21
WReferee Profile
6.88Cards per match
6.16Yellow cards per match
0.72Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.88 cards a match, 0.78 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.10).
Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | WDDLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | 35 | WWDWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 | LWDLW |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 16 | Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 12 | WDDLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 16 | 21:24 | 16 |
| 16 | Chico | 16 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Internacional de Bogota vs Jaguares 06/08/26
- Once Caldas vs America de Cali 06/08/26
- Santa Fe vs Chico 08/08/26
- Fortaleza FC vs Cucuta 08/08/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali 09/08/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Bucaramanga 09/08/26
- Jaguares vs Once Caldas 10/08/26
- America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional 10/08/26
About the Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportes Tolima and Internacional de Bogota in the Primera A table
Deportes Tolima and Internacional de Bogota are close in the Primera A table, 6th and 8th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Deportes Tolima 27-17, Internacional de Bogota 26-26. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.