Bucaramanga vs Cucuta Prediction

Bucaramanga
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Cucuta
Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga·Alejandro Moncada Sanchez, Colombia 04/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.69
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Bucaramanga Rest
4 days
Cucuta Rest
7 days

Bucaramanga vs Cucuta: the result in context

Bucaramanga and Cucuta drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 4 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.57
X
26%3.73
2
23%5.86
Double Chance
1X
77%1.11
X2
49%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.10
No
53%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 0.97 = 2.11
Over 1.5
67%1.35
Over 2.5
35%2.10
Over 3.5
14%3.75
Under 1.5
33%3.00
Under 2.5
65%1.69
Under 3.5
86%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.8 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.51
Over 9.5
45%1.91
Over 10.5
29%2.40
Under 8.5
43%2.35
Under 9.5
55%1.79
Under 10.5
71%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
51%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
49%-

Match Events

13'J. PeraltaAssist: M. B. Carabali Lopez
15'E. BatallaAssist: L. Pons
20'G. Torres
22'F. Sambueza
27'C. Romana
29'L. Berdugo(Penalty missed)
35'V. Mejia
40'M. B. Carabali Lopez
46'V. Mejia INNeneco out
53'G. Torres INY. Abonia out
53'S. Tamara
56'E. M. Duarte Barajas
60'M. B. Carabali Lopez INB. Montano out
60'L. Berdugo INL. Rios out
61'F. Hinestroza
67'Fabry INJ. Salazar out
67'A. Gutierrez INF. Charrupi out
67'S. Tamara INS. Mayo out
75'R. Paez
75'F. Hinestroza INB. Caicedo out
76'J. Peralta
80'L. Flores INA. Zarate out
90+5'Goal Disallowed - handballL. Pons
90+8'L. Pons
90+9'J. Salazar

Lineups

Bucaramanga
5-4-1Coach: Leonel Alvarez
Cucuta
4-2-3-1Coach: Richard Paez
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.64
Cristopher Fiermarín7.525C. Fiermarín
Aldair Gutiérrez6.719A. Gutiérrez
Carlos Romaña6.923C. Romaña
José Ortiz6.724J. Ortiz
José García7.64J. García
Freddy Hinestroza6.38F. Hinestroza
Fabry CastroC6.322F. Castro
Leonardo Flores7.028L. Flores
Fabián Sambueza7.310F. Sambueza
Emerson Batalla8.317E. Batalla
Luciano Pons6.327L. Pons
Federico Abadía7.212F. Abadía
Sebastián Tamara6.233S. Tamara
Diego Calcaterra6.73D. Calcaterra
Leison Ochoa6.617L. Ochoa
Mauricio DuarteC5.227M. Duarte
Victor Mejia6.65V. Mejia
Juan Ceballos6.68J. Ceballos
Gustavo Torres6.511G. Torres
Leider Berdugo6.010L. Berdugo
2121M. Carabali
Jaime Peralta7.59J. Peralta

Bucaramanga Substitutes

11Fredy Salazar67'for Fabry90+9'6.3
21Felix Charrupí67'for A. Gutierrez6.9
9Brandon Caicedo75'for F. Hinestroza6.3
20Aldair Zárate80'for L. Flores6.6
12Diego Novoa
13Keyson Quinto
18Emmanuel Largacha
30Víctor Cantillo
5Adrián Murillo

Cucuta Substitutes

77Carlos Rentería46'for V. Mejia7.5
26Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez53'for G. Torres6.7
30Brayan Montaño60'replaced by M. B. Carabali Lopez6.6
29Lucas Ríos60'for L. Berdugo6.5
23Samir Mayo67'for S. Tamara6.9
1Juan David Ramírez
2Hernán Lópes
32Jhonatan Agudelo

Match Stats

BucaramangaCucuta
64%Ball Possession36%
3Corner Kicks1
5Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
25Total Shots8
9Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots1
12Fouls16
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves8
411Total Passes235
327Passes Accurate164
80%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

BucaramangaBucaramanga
CucutaCucuta
1600Elo Rating 1518
1.34Attack 1.61
2.00Defense 2.41
31%Hit Rate 86%
9.3Shots per Game 8.3
3.1Shots on Target 3.1
2.3Corners per Game 2.7
3.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BucaramangaBucaramanga
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CucutaCucuta
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

BucaramangaBucaramanga0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
CucutaCucuta0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera A27/01/2026
CucutaBucaramanga
22

Recent Form

BucaramangaBucaramanga
3W2D5L
31/07/2026
BucaramangaLlaneros
11
D
26/07/2026
MillonariosBucaramanga
01
W
24/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
21
L
21/05/2026
BucaramangaPopayan
23
L
12/05/2026
Deportivo CaliBucaramanga
20
L
08/05/2026
BucaramangaReal Santander
50
W
03/05/2026
Fortaleza FCBucaramanga
21
L
25/04/2026
BucaramangaJaguares
22
D
21/04/2026
Atletico NacionalBucaramanga
20
L
13/04/2026
BucaramangaChico
50
W
CucutaCucuta
1W5D4L
27/07/2026
Once CaldasCucuta
51
L
02/06/2026
Independiente MedellinCucuta
21
L
29/05/2026
CucutaFortaleza FC
00
D
16/05/2026
CucutaLeones FC
00
D
10/05/2026
OrsomarsoCucuta
11
D
02/05/2026
JaguaresCucuta
20
L
24/04/2026
CucutaJunior
11
D
19/04/2026
Santa FeCucuta
50
L
05/04/2026
CucutaAmerica de Cali
20
W
02/04/2026
Atletico NacionalCucuta
00
D

Referee Profile

Alejandro Moncada Sanchez84 matches

6.36Cards per match
5.76Yellow cards per match
0.60Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alejandro Moncada Sanchez6.36
Other referees6.02

6.36 cards a match, 0.34 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.02).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WLWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WLDWL
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LWDLW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLWLD
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1672723:24-123WLDWL
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1653816:27-1118LWDLW
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1637621:24-316WLWWL
16ChicoChico1644813:26-1316WLWLD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1623:2423
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1616:2718
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1621:2416
16ChicoChico1613:2616
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Bucaramanga vs Cucuta forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bucaramanga and Cucuta in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Bucaramanga are 13th and Cucuta 19th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Bucaramanga 26-20, Cucuta 22-35. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bucaramanga have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Cucuta have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Bucaramanga and Cucuta have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.