Llaneros vs Fortaleza FC Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
50%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
2.17
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Llaneros Rest
4 days
Fortaleza FC Rest
3 days
Llaneros vs Fortaleza FC: result, form and history
Llaneros beat Fortaleza FC 3-1 in the Primera A on 4 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Llaneros had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Fortaleza FC.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Jairo Londono averages 6.61 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%2.13
X29%2.98
224%3.65
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X254%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes38%2.10
No62%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.72 = 2.09
Over 1.566%1.47
Over 2.534%2.45
Over 3.511%4.73
Under 1.534%2.55
Under 2.566%1.50
Under 3.589%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4 = 9
Over 8.553%1.63
Over 9.538%2.02
Over 10.529%2.63
Under 8.547%2.15
Under 9.562%1.71
Under 10.571%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.8 = 5.3
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%1.37
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%2.60
Match Events
2'Juan CastillaFoul
3'Joan CajaresAssist: Yesid Díaz
18'Jhon VásquezAssist: Luis Miranda
35'Neider Ospina
35'Neider Ospina
46'Santiago Vivas INSebastián Ramírez out
46'Italo Montaño Cortes INRichardson Rivas out
50'Jhojan EscobarArgument
50'Sebastián RamírezFoul
55'Sebastián Navarro INJhonier Blanco out
61'Teun Wilke INSebastian Herrera out
62'Sebastian HerreraArgument
62'Yorleys Mena INCarlos Cortés out
63'Kelvin Osorio INJoel Contreras out
64'Howell MenaFoul
70'Neider Ospina INJuan Ramirez out
73'Andres Copete INJhon Velásquez out
74'Jhon Vásquez INDennys Quintero out
74'Jhojan Escobar INJimmy Medranda out
90+3'Carlos CortésAssist: Juan Ramirez
Lineups
LlanerosFortaleza FC
Coach: Diego AriasLlaneros Starting XI
22Roameth Romaña
4Juan Pertuz
2Howell Mena64'
21Francisco MezaC
16Jhojan Escobar50'74'replaced by Jimmy Medranda
13Juan Castilla2'
95Jhon Vásquez18'74'replaced by Dennys Quintero
10Neider Ospina35'35'70'replaced by Juan Ramirez
33Kelvin Osorio63'replaced by Joel Contreras
7Luis Miranda
17Yorleys Mena62'replaced by Carlos Cortés
Avg rating
Fortaleza FC Starting XI
1Williams Barlasina
16Joan Cajares3'
6Yesid Díaz
2Andres Copete73'replaced by Jhon Velásquez
23Juan Castillo
14Leonardo PicoC
7Italo Montaño Cortes46'replaced by Richardson Rivas
8Sebastián Navarro55'replaced by Jhonier Blanco
28Santiago Vivas46'replaced by Sebastián Ramírez
30Jhon Solis
29Teun Wilke61'replaced by Sebastian Herrera
Avg rating
Llaneros Substitutes
9Carlos Cortés62'for Yorleys Mena90+3'
70Joel Contreras63'for Kelvin Osorio
8Juan Ramirez70'for Neider Ospina
94Jimmy Medranda74'for Jhojan Escobar
26Dennys Quintero74'for Jhon Vásquez
12Juan Loaiza
31Emilio Pardo
30Julian Beltran
32Frank Castañeda
Fortaleza FC Substitutes
21Sebastián Ramírez46'for Santiago Vivas50'
26Richardson Rivas46'for Italo Montaño Cortes
20Jhonier Blanco55'for Sebastián Navarro
9Sebastian Herrera61'for Teun Wilke62'
10Jhon Velásquez73'for Andres Copete
12Cristian Santander
3David Ramírez
11Andy Duvan Batioja
17Kevin Balanta
Match Stats
LlanerosFortaleza FC 43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots9
9Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots6
12Fouls12
7Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
292Total Passes403
249Passes Accurate339
85%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
LlanerosFortaleza FC1469Elo Rating 1471
0.36Attack 1.17
1.24Defense 1.37
19%Hit Rate 0%
12.1Shots per Game 16.7
4.7Shots on Target 4.6
6.5Corners per Game 4.5
5.0Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Llaneros- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Fortaleza FC- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Llaneros3Wins · 30%Draws440%
Fortaleza FC3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%1.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
28/01/2026Fortaleza FCLlaneros11
05/10/2025LlanerosFortaleza FC00
18/04/2025Fortaleza FCLlaneros10
04/09/2023LlanerosFortaleza FC12
04/06/2023Fortaleza FCLlaneros01
25/05/2023LlanerosFortaleza FC21
20/03/2023Fortaleza FCLlaneros11
06/11/2022LlanerosFortaleza FC00
16/10/2022Fortaleza FCLlaneros12
16/09/2022Fortaleza FCLlaneros10
Recent Form
Llaneros4W3D3L
31/07/2026
BucaramangaLlanerosLlaneros
Deportivo Pereira
BucaramangaLlaneros11
D25/07/2026LlanerosDeportivo Pereira10
W27/05/2026
ChicoLlaneros
ChicoLlaneros01
W21/05/2026Llaneros
Patriotas
LlanerosPatriotas31
W12/05/2026
MillonariosLlaneros
MillonariosLlaneros10
L08/05/2026Llaneros
Depor FC
LlanerosDepor FC30
W02/05/2026ChicoLlaneros
ChicoLlaneros30
L27/04/2026Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
LlanerosAlianza Valledupar00
D20/04/2026
JuniorLlaneros
JuniorLlaneros20
L12/04/2026
Deportivo CaliLlaneros
Deportivo CaliLlaneros11
DFortaleza FC3W4D3L
01/08/2026Fortaleza FCDeportivo PereiraAlianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pereira00
D27/07/2026Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC11
D29/05/2026
CucutaFortaleza FC
CucutaFortaleza FC00
D20/05/2026Fortaleza FC
Orsomarso
Fortaleza FCOrsomarso11
D11/05/2026
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC10
L08/05/2026Fortaleza FC
Leones FC
Fortaleza FCLeones FC41
W03/05/2026Fortaleza FCBucaramanga
Fortaleza FCBucaramanga21
W26/04/2026Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC10
L23/04/2026Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
Fortaleza FCAmerica de Cali12
L19/04/2026Fortaleza FC
Águilas Doradas
Fortaleza FCÁguilas Doradas20
WReferee Profile
6.61Cards per match
6.24Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.61 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.06).
Cards come from 46 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | WLDWW |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LLWLW |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:14 | +19 | 36 | WWWDW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26:17 | +9 | 29 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 25 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:20 | +1 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 17 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 12 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 33:14 | 36 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 21:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 17:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 13:22 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional 02/08/26
- America de Cali vs Chico 03/08/26
- Santa Fe vs Once Caldas 03/08/26
- Bucaramanga vs Cucuta 04/08/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin 05/08/26
- Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto 05/08/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Jaguares 06/08/26
- Once Caldas vs America de Cali 06/08/26
About the Llaneros vs Fortaleza FC forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Llaneros and Fortaleza FC in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Llaneros (14th) and Fortaleza FC (15th) are level on 22 points. League goal record so far: Llaneros 17-20, Fortaleza FC 22-27. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.