Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction

Cucuta
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Alianza Valledupar
Estadio General Santander, Cucuta·Alejandro Moncada Sanchez, Colombia 26/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Cucuta Rest
2 days
Alianza Valledupar Rest
4 days

Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar: result, form and history

Cucuta beat Alianza Valledupar 1-0 in the Primera A on 26 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.20
X
26%3.05
2
29%3.38
Double Chance
1X
71%1.29
X2
55%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.00
No
50%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.95 = 2.21
Over 1.5
72%1.44
Over 2.5
45%2.40
Over 3.5
23%4.42
Under 1.5
28%2.65
Under 2.5
55%1.54
Under 3.5
77%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.8 = 8.7
Over 8.5
46%2.00
Over 9.5
31%2.67
Over 10.5
20%3.77
Under 8.5
54%1.72
Under 9.5
69%1.42
Under 10.5
80%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.6 = 5.4
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
56%1.29
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
44%2.90

Match Events

27'J. Peralta(Penalty missed)
34'J. Quinones
41'C. Vergara
45+1'L. Rios
45+4'C. Vergara(Penalty missed)
46'J. Quinones INL. Ochoa out
46'F. Cantillo INC. Esparragoza out
56'E. M. Duarte Barajas
59'J. Peralta
61'J. Figueroa
62'F. Pardo
63'J. PeraltaAssist: L. Berdugo
65'L. Rios INJ. Diaz out
71'I. Alba
72'F. Pardo IND. Quinones out
72'L. Berdugo INV. Mejia out
77'I. Alba INC. Villegas out
77'J. Lasso INM. Martinez out
83'E. M. Duarte Barajas INM. B. Carabali Lopez out
84'Y. Abonia INK. Tamayo out
88'C. Villegas
90+1'M. Martinez
90+1'L. Ochoa

Lineups

Cucuta
5-4-1Coach: Nicolas Chiesa
Alianza Valledupar
5-4-1Coach: Camilo Ayala
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.59
Federico Abadía7.912F. Abadía
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez7.326Y. Joao Abonia Vasquez
Diego Calcaterra7.73D. Calcaterra
Jhon Quiñónes6.34J. Quiñónes
Brayan Montaño6.930B. Montaño
Mauricio DuarteC6.927M. Duarte
Leider Berdugo7.010L. Berdugo
Juan Ceballos7.28J. Ceballos
Carlos Rentería6.977C. Rentería
Lucas Ríos6.929L. Ríos
Jaime Peralta7.39J. Peralta
Johan Wallens6.21J. Wallens
Israel Alba6.323I. Alba
Yilson Rosales6.360Y. Rosales
Jesús Figueroa6.622J. Figueroa
Juan Viveros6.532J. Viveros
Jhildrey Lasso6.233J. Lasso
Felipe PardoC6.517F. Pardo
Wiston Fernández7.355W. Fernández
Fabián Cantillo6.724F. Cantillo
Jesús Muñoz7.98J. Muñoz
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas5.918C. Andres Vergara Rivas

Cucuta Substitutes

17Leison Ochoa46'for J. Quinones90+1'7.3
31Jesus Diaz65'for L. Rios6.2
5Victor Mejia72'for L. Berdugo7.0
21Marlon Carabali83'for E. M. Duarte Barajas6.7
14Kevin Tamayo84'for Y. Abonia6.3
24Diego Munoz
11Gustavo Torres
7Jader Manyoma
32Jhonatan Agudelo

Alianza Valledupar Substitutes

15Carlos Esparragoza46'for F. Cantillo6.9
10Déinner Quiñones72'for F. Pardo6.7
14Charly Villegas77'for I. Alba88'6.2
77Misael Martínez77'for J. Lasso90+1'6.6
13Antonio Simancas
5Pedro Franco
4Joseb Mosquera

Match Stats

CucutaAlianza Valledupar
55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards6
10Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
18Fouls15
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
401Total Passes316
328Passes Accurate257
82%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

CucutaCucuta
Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
1483Elo Rating 1485
1.15Attack 0.90
1.77Defense 1.98
50%Hit Rate 42%
11.2Shots per Game 10.9
4.0Shots on Target 3.4
5.7Corners per Game 3.8
2.4Cards per Game 4.1

Game State Tendencies

CucutaCucuta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CucutaCucuta0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera A17/02/2026
Alianza ValleduparCucuta
11

Recent Form

CucutaCucuta
1W5D4L
23/08/2026
Independiente MedellinCucuta
01
W
20/08/2026
CucutaInternacional de Bogota
11
D
08/08/2026
Fortaleza FCCucuta
20
L
04/08/2026
BucaramangaCucuta
11
D
27/07/2026
Once CaldasCucuta
51
L
02/06/2026
Independiente MedellinCucuta
21
L
29/05/2026
CucutaFortaleza FC
00
D
16/05/2026
CucutaLeones FC
00
D
10/05/2026
OrsomarsoCucuta
11
D
02/05/2026
JaguaresCucuta
20
L
Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
2W5D3L
22/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Pereira
00
D
09/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
23
L
01/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima
12
L
27/07/2026
Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
11
D
24/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
21
W
21/05/2026
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar
10
L
16/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparReal Santander
30
W
08/05/2026
PopayanAlianza Valledupar
11
D
03/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparMillonarios
22
D
27/04/2026
LlanerosAlianza Valledupar
00
D

Referee Profile

Alejandro Moncada Sanchez84 matches

6.36Cards per match
5.76Yellow cards per match
0.60Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alejandro Moncada Sanchez6.36
Other referees6.01

6.36 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.01).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WWDWW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WLWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434WDLWW
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033WLWLD
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DDLWW
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WLDWL
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623WLLLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522WDDLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LWLDL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LWDLW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLWLD
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional16112332:13+1935WWDWW
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali16104231:12+1934WLWLD
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1677225:16+928WLLLL
5Santa FeSanta Fe1684423:17+628DDLWW
6MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1672723:24-123WLDWL
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1653816:27-1118LWDLW
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1638512:19-717DLLLD
16JuniorJunior1637621:24-316WLWWL
17ChicoChico1644813:26-1316WLWLD
18JaguaresJaguares1634917:29-1213LWLDL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1619617:24-712WDDLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto16331011:24-1312WDLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1632:1335
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1631:1234
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1625:1628
5Santa FeSanta Fe1623:1728
6MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1623:2423
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1616:2718
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1612:1917
16JuniorJunior1621:2416
17ChicoChico1613:2616
18JaguaresJaguares1617:2913
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1617:2412
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1611:2412

About the Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A table

Alianza Valledupar and Cucuta are close in the Primera A table, 17th and 19th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Cucuta 22-35, Alianza Valledupar 13-27. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.