Chico vs Fortaleza FC Prediction

Chico
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Fortaleza FC
Estadio La Independencia, Tunja·Carlos Ortega, Colombia 26/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.48
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseHighGap+9.6%
Chico Rest
4 days
Fortaleza FC Rest
3 days

Chico vs Fortaleza FC: the result in context

Chico and Fortaleza FC drew 0-0 in the Primera A on 26 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.70
X
25%2.90
2
38%2.80
Double Chance
1X
62%1.40
X2
63%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.01
No
50%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.26 = 2.29
Over 1.5
72%1.48
Over 2.5
45%2.50
Over 3.5
22%4.75
Under 1.5
28%2.54
Under 2.5
55%1.50
Under 3.5
78%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

40'Y. Diaz
45+1'A. Maya
58'R. D. Rivas Torres INJ. Salas out
59'S. Navarro INA. Batioja out
59'A. Maya INI. Camargo out
67'J. Diaz
70'S. Vivas
71'S. Salazar INS. Viveros out
75'J. Herrera INJ. Blanco out
79'S. Mera INF. Cifuentes out
79'E. Sarria INS. Navarro out
85'J. Solis INT. Wilke out

Lineups

Chico
4-1-4-1Coach: Jhon Gomez
Fortaleza FC
4-3-3Coach: Diego Arias
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.74
David Agudelo6.61D. Agudelo
Cristián Mosquera6.324C. Mosquera
Jefferson MenaC6.64J. Mena
Jhonier Alomía7.55J. Alomía
Cristian Blanco6.514C. Blanco
Juan Diaz6.96J. Diaz
Estiven Sarria6.917E. Sarria
Sebastian Salazar6.38S. Salazar
Jacobo Pimentel7.321J. Pimentel
Santiago Mera6.316S. Mera
Alejandro Maya6.222A. Maya
Williams Barlasina7.51W. Barlasina
Joan Cajares7.216J. Cajares
Yesid Díaz7.26Y. Díaz
Andres Copete7.32A. Copete
Juan Castillo6.623J. Castillo
Santiago Vivas6.328S. Vivas
Leonardo PicoC6.314L. Pico
Sebastián Navarro6.38S. Navarro
Jhon Solis6.730J. Solis
Sebastian Herrera6.39S. Herrera
Richardson Rivas6.926R. Rivas

Chico Substitutes

9Isaac Camargo59'for A. Maya6.5
12Branndon Zapata
15Sander Navarro79'for E. Sarria6.9
2Daniel Polanco
10Yesus Cabrera
20Sebastián Viveros6.9
7Felipe Cifuentes6.9
19Jeronimo Pimentel
30Mateo Gómez

Fortaleza FC Substitutes

24Jhoiner Salas58'for R. D. Rivas Torres7.0
11Andy Duvan Batioja59'for S. Navarro6.7
12Cristian Santander
4Edwin Cabezas
21Candelo
25Jordan García
20Jhonier Blanco75'for J. Herrera6.3
29Teun Wilke85'for J. Solis6.5
5Jeferson Medina

Match Stats

ChicoFortaleza FC
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots4
2Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box0
6Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
24Fouls12
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
294Total Passes356
214Passes Accurate264
73%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

ChicoChico
Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC
1451Elo Rating 1470
0.46Attack 1.20
1.60Defense 1.53
27%Hit Rate 0%
10.6Shots per Game 16.8
3.4Shots on Target 4.2
5.2Corners per Game 4.5
2.9Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ChicoChico
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ChicoChico1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC5Wins · 50%
1.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A16/02/2026
Fortaleza FCChico
21
Primera A14/10/2025
Fortaleza FCChico
10
Primera A22/04/2025
ChicoFortaleza FC
02
Primera A01/09/2024
ChicoFortaleza FC
22
Primera A23/02/2024
Fortaleza FCChico
11
Primera B29/10/2022
Fortaleza FCChico
02
Primera B25/10/2022
ChicoFortaleza FC
00
Primera B24/09/2022
ChicoFortaleza FC
00
Primera B27/08/2022
Fortaleza FCChico
10
Primera B27/03/2022
ChicoFortaleza FC
01

Recent Form

ChicoChico
2W2D6L
21/08/2026
JaguaresChico
10
L
08/08/2026
Santa FeChico
20
L
03/08/2026
America de CaliChico
70
L
27/05/2026
ChicoLlaneros
01
L
23/05/2026
MillonariosChico
22
D
16/05/2026
ChicoDepor FC
40
W
07/05/2026
PatriotasChico
00
D
02/05/2026
ChicoLlaneros
30
W
27/04/2026
Internacional de BogotaChico
40
L
23/04/2026
Independiente MedellinChico
20
L
Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC
3W4D3L
23/08/2026
Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional
12
L
08/08/2026
Fortaleza FCCucuta
20
W
04/08/2026
LlanerosFortaleza FC
31
L
01/08/2026
Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pereira
00
D
27/07/2026
Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
11
D
29/05/2026
CucutaFortaleza FC
00
D
20/05/2026
Fortaleza FCOrsomarso
11
D
11/05/2026
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
10
L
08/05/2026
Fortaleza FCLeones FC
41
W
03/05/2026
Fortaleza FCBucaramanga
21
W

Referee Profile

Carlos Ortega73 matches

6.44Cards per match
5.92Yellow cards per match
0.52Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Ortega6.44
Other referees6.04

6.44 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.04).

Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WLWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WLDWL
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LWDLW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLWLD
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1672723:24-123WLDWL
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1653816:27-1118LWDLW
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1637621:24-316WLWWL
16ChicoChico1644813:26-1316WLWLD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1623:2423
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1616:2718
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1621:2416
16ChicoChico1613:2616
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Chico vs Fortaleza FC forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chico and Fortaleza FC in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Fortaleza FC are 15th and Chico 18th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Chico 15-32, Fortaleza FC 22-27. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.