Alianza Valledupar vs Junior Prediction

Alianza Valledupar
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Junior
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.32
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Alianza Valledupar Rest
3 days
Junior Rest
6 days

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior: result, form and history

Alianza Valledupar beat Junior 1-0 in the Primera A on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Junior have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%3.17
X
28%3.25
2
50%2.19
Double Chance
1X
50%1.62
X2
78%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.19 = 2.24
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.05
Over 3.5
25%3.60
Under 1.5
29%3.10
Under 2.5
55%1.74
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
47%1.85
Over 9.5
36%2.60
Over 10.5
28%3.62
Under 8.5
53%1.83
Under 9.5
64%1.44
Under 10.5
72%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3 = 5.4
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
63%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
37%-

Match Events

4'Ever Meza
18'Ever Meza INWiston Fernández out
26'Israel AlbaFoul
45'Edgar PardoDissent
45'Jesús Rivas INHarold Rivera out
45'Guillermo Paiva INFrancisco Fydriszewski out
47'Juan David RíosFoul
50'Francisco FydriszewskiFoul
57'Cristian Andrés Vergara RivasDissent
63'Cristian Barrios INDéiber Caicedo out
63'Jannenson Sarmiento INTeófilo Gutiérrez out
70'Card upgrade confirmedJ. Lasso
71'J. LassoViolent conduct
73'Jesús Muñoz INJosy Pérez out
73'Edgar Pardo INCharly Villegas González out
79'Edwin Herrera INJosé David Munive Manotas out
80'José David Munive ManotasFoul
80'Daniel RiveraFoul
81'Deinner Quiñones INKevin Moreno out
81'Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas INMisael Martinez out
90+3'Red card cancelledDaniel Rivera
90+6'Misael MartinezTime wasting

Lineups

Alianza Valledupar
4-2-3-1Coach: Flabio Torres
Junior
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Viera
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.57
E. Esteban7.640E. Esteban
I. Alba6.623I. Alba
J. Figueroa7.422J. Figueroa
J. Viveros7.232J. Viveros
J. Lasso6.133J. Lasso
E. Meza8.26E. Meza
J. Castillo6.57J. Castillo
F. Pardo6.217F. Pardo
D. Quiñónes6.410D. Quiñónes
J. Muñoz7.08J. Muñoz
C. Vergara6.718C. Vergara
M. Silveira6.91M. Silveira
E. Herrera7.33E. Herrera
J. Peña8.098J. Peña
D. Rivera6.35D. Rivera
Y. Súarez7.126Y. Súarez
J. Ríos6.114J. Ríos
Jesús Rivas6.722J. Rivas
C. Barrios5.777C. Barrios
J. Sarmiento6.420J. Sarmiento
B. Castrillón6.688B. Castrillón
G. Paiva7.09G. Paiva

Alianza Valledupar Substitutes

55W. Fernández18'for Ever Meza6.6
77M. Martínez81'for Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas90+6'6.3
3K. Moreno81'for Deinner Quiñones6.9
88L. Palacios
25J. Perez73'for Jesús Muñoz6.8
26Howenn Rada
14C. Villegas73'for Edgar Pardo6.5
1J. Wallens
11Brayan Stiven Viafara Aponza

Junior Substitutes

25D. Caicedo63'for Cristian Barrios6.2
80F. Ángel
38Andrés Shmalbach
7H. Rivera45'for Jesús Rivas6.3
15J. D. Munive79'for Edwin Herrera80'5.9
30J. Martínez
29T. Gutiérrez63'for Jannenson Sarmiento6.4
19F. Fydriszewski45'for Guillermo Paiva50'6.1
28G. Celis

Match Stats

Alianza ValleduparJunior
28%Ball Possession72%
4Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box10
2Blocked Shots8
14Fouls12
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
182Total Passes471
118Passes Accurate394
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
JuniorJunior
1477Elo Rating 1581
1.39Attack 0.94
1.23Defense 2.05
44%Hit Rate 27%
13.6Shots per Game 13.8
4.0Shots on Target 3.9
4.5Corners per Game 5.0
4.4Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
JuniorJunior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
JuniorJunior7Wins · 70%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A06/03/2026
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
11
Primera A12/10/2025
Alianza ValleduparJunior
01
Primera A20/04/2025
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
20
Primera A05/08/2024
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
22
Primera A05/02/2024
Alianza ValleduparJunior
01
Primera A15/09/2023
Alianza ValleduparJunior
15
Primera A04/04/2023
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
10
Primera A27/09/2022
Alianza ValleduparJunior
01
Primera A03/04/2022
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
31
Primera A21/11/2021
Alianza ValleduparJunior
11

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WWDWW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WLWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033WLWLD
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DDLWW
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WLDWL
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522WDDLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LWLDL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LWDLW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLWLD
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional16112332:13+1935WWDWW
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali16104231:12+1934WLWLD
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1684423:17+628DDLWW
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1672723:24-123WLDWL
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1653816:27-1118LWDLW
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1638512:19-717DLLLD
16JuniorJunior1637621:24-316WLWWL
17ChicoChico1644813:26-1316WLWLD
18JaguaresJaguares1634917:29-1213LWLDL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1619617:24-712WDDLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1632:1335
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1631:1234
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1623:1728
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1623:2423
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1616:2718
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1612:1917
16JuniorJunior1621:2416
17ChicoChico1613:2616
18JaguaresJaguares1617:2913
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1617:2412
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Alianza Valledupar vs Junior forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alianza Valledupar and Junior in the Primera A table

The table shows a wide gap: Junior are 2nd in the Primera A, while Alianza Valledupar sit 17th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Alianza Valledupar 13-27, Junior 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.