Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 10
12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-0.3%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Santa Fe Rest
3 days
Deportes Tolima Rest
4 days
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima: the result in context
Santa Fe beat Deportes Tolima 1-0 in the Primera A on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game. Deportes Tolima tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.7 for Santa Fe.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%2.42
X27%3.10
226%2.90
Double Chance
1X74%1.36
X254%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.85
No53%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 0.84 = 2.08
Over 1.562%1.37
Over 2.534%2.18
Over 3.514%4.08
Under 1.538%2.83
Under 2.566%1.64
Under 3.586%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.559%1.87
Over 9.546%2.40
Over 10.536%3.20
Under 8.541%1.87
Under 9.554%1.50
Under 10.564%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.568%-
Over 4.549%-
Under 3.532%-
Under 4.551%-
Match Events
23'Mateo Puerta INEmerson Rodriguez out
36'Edwar LópezDissent
42'Nahuel BustosFoul
45'Daniel Torres INJhojan Torres out
45'Victor Moreno INEmanuel Olivera out
45+3'Victor MorenoFoul
61'Nahuel BustosAssist: Alexis Zapata
62'Adrián Parra INJorge Hurtado out
62'Edwar López INS. Aguayo out
65'Emanuel OliveraFoul
71'Goal cancelledEmerson Rodriguez
73'Nahuel Bustos INHugo Rodallega out
73'Alexis Zapata INFranco Fagúndez out
76'Juan Jose Mera Gonzalez INJherson Mosquera out
76'Sebastian Guzman INCristian Trujillo out
82'Maximiliano Lovera INJader Obrian out
84'Junior Hernandez INShean Barbosa out
86'Luis Sanchez INSantiago Joven Jiménez out
90+2'Jherson MosqueraFoul
Lineups
Santa FeDeportes Tolima
4-4-2Coach: S. OliverosAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Mosquera
4M. Puerta
15I. Scarpeta
3V. Moreno
24J. Angulo
14L. Palacios
6K. Toscano
16D. Torres
17M. Lovera
10A. Zapata
19N. Bustos
1N. Volpi
3J. Angulo
5J. Mera
2A. Angulo
20J. Hernández
28E. López
14H. Martínez
32S. Guzmán
18K. Flórez
24A. Parra
10L. SánchezSanta Fe Substitutes
12W. Asprilla
9F. Fagúndez73'for Alexis Zapata
77J. Obrian82'for Maximiliano Lovera
18E. Olivera45'for Victor Moreno65'
39Cristhian Portocarrero
11H. Rodallega73'for Nahuel Bustos
25E. Rodríguez23'for Mateo Puerta
7J. Torres45'for Daniel Torres
Deportes Tolima Substitutes
6C. Trujillo76'for Sebastian Guzman
29Néifer Sánchez
4D. Pedrozo
13M. Ortega
33J. Mosquera76'for Juan Jose Mera Gonzalez90+2'
19Joven Santiago86'for Luis Sanchez
7J. Cabezas62'for Adrián Parra
30S. P. Barbosa Gomez84'for Junior Hernandez
15S. Aguayo62'for Edwar López
Match Stats
Santa FeDeportes Tolima 44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box2
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots1
11Fouls9
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
405Total Passes513
337Passes Accurate446
8Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Santa FeDeportes Tolima1661Elo Rating 1545
1.13Attack 0.62
1.59Defense 1.69
42%Hit Rate 0%
13.0Shots per Game 14.9
4.0Shots on Target 5.4
3.7Corners per Game 7.1
2.9Cards per Game 3.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+116 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Santa Fe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Deportes Tolima- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Santa Fe3Wins · 30%Draws440%
Deportes Tolima3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
05/04/2026Deportes TolimaSanta Fe22
29/11/2025Deportes TolimaSanta Fe10
26/11/2025Santa FeDeportes Tolima12
19/07/2025Deportes TolimaSanta Fe01
01/02/2025Santa FeDeportes Tolima00
01/10/2024Deportes TolimaSanta Fe00
03/06/2024Deportes TolimaSanta Fe12
06/05/2024Santa FeDeportes Tolima10
16/03/2024Santa FeDeportes Tolima11
16/10/2023Deportes TolimaSanta Fe10
Recent Form
Santa Fe4W6D0L
09/09/2026Santa Fe
Vasco DA GamaSanta Fe
Fortaleza FCSanta Fe
Millonarios
JuniorSanta Fe
River PlateSanta FeSanta Fe
America de CaliSanta Fe
ChicoSanta Fe
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe
Once Caldas
Santa FeVasco DA Gama00
D06/09/2026Santa FeFortaleza FC22
D03/09/2026Santa FeMillonarios32
W30/08/2026JuniorSanta Fe11
D27/08/2026River PlateSanta Fe7181
W23/08/2026Santa FeAmerica de Cali00
D20/08/2026Santa FeRiver Plate
08/08/2026Santa FeRiver Plate00
DSanta FeChico20
W06/08/2026Santa FeUnion Magdalena20
W03/08/2026Santa FeOnce Caldas22
DDeportes Tolima5W1D4L
08/09/2026
LlanerosDeportes Tolima
01/09/2026LlanerosDeportes Tolima12
WDeportes Tolima
Cucuta21
W26/08/2026
Independiente del ValleDeportes Tolima31
L22/08/2026Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga00
D19/08/2026Deportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle01
L09/08/2026Deportes Tolima
Internacional de Bogota21
W05/08/2026Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin23
L01/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima12
W29/07/2026
QuindioDeportes Tolima4221
L26/07/2026Deportes TolimaJunior21
WLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | WDDLL |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | 35 | WWDWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | +9 | 28 | WLLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 | LWDLW |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 12 | WDDLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Internacional de Bogota vs Águilas Doradas 06/09/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios 07/09/26
- Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali 11/09/26
- Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC 12/09/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Llaneros 12/09/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Junior 13/09/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga 13/09/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas 13/09/26
About the Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima in the Primera A table
Deportes Tolima and Santa Fe are close in the Primera A table, 6th and 7th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Santa Fe 29-22, Deportes Tolima 27-17. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.