Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 9
06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+1.3%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.08
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Santa Fe Rest
2 days
Fortaleza FC Rest
3 days
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC: the result in context
Santa Fe and Fortaleza FC drew 2-2 in the Primera A on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Santa Fe have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.77
X25%3.40
215%4.70
Double Chance
1X85%1.17
X240%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.93
No48%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 0.79 = 2.61
Over 1.577%1.33
Over 2.554%2.08
Over 3.533%3.75
Under 1.523%3.08
Under 2.546%1.71
Under 3.567%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.4 = 9.2
Over 8.552%1.64
Over 9.543%2.08
Over 10.533%2.73
Under 8.548%2.08
Under 9.557%1.67
Under 10.567%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.552%-
Over 4.532%-
Under 3.548%-
Under 4.568%-
Match Events
17'Franco Fagúndez
23'Nahuel Bustos
34'Joan CajaresFoul
45'Arturo Batioja INJhoiner Salas out
54'Julio Sinisterra INItalo Montano Cortes out
54'Edwin Cabezas INjeferson medina out
57'Franco Fagúndez INHugo Rodallega out
57'Emerson Rodriguez INMaximiliano Lovera out
57'Jhojan Torres INDaniel Torres out
66'A. MosqueraFoul
69'Daniel TorresFoul
71'Victor Moreno INEmanuel Olivera out
75'Jhonier Blanco INFranco Pulicastro out
77'Nahuel BustosOG
79'Sebastian Navarro INJordan Garcia out
84'Leonardo PicoFoul
87'Luis Palacios INJader Obrian out
90+1'Jordan GarciaAssist: Franco Pulicastro
Lineups
Santa FeFortaleza FC
4-3-3Coach: Diego AriasAvg ratingAvg rating
12W. Asprilla
4M. Puerta
15I. Scarpeta
3V. Moreno
24J. Angulo
14L. Palacios
6K. Toscano
7J. Torres
25E. Rodríguez
9F. Fagúndez
19N. Bustos
1W. Barlasina
4E. Cabezas
6Y. Díaz
2A. Mosquera
16J. Cajares
8S. Navarro
14L. Pico
28S. Vivas
27J. Sinisterra
20J. Blanco
11A. BatiojaSanta Fe Substitutes
32C. Mafla
77J. Obrian87'for Luis Palacios
18E. Olivera71'for Victor Moreno
39C. Portocarrero
11H. Rodallega57'for Franco Fagúndez
16D. Torres57'for Jhojan Torres69'
17M. Lovera57'for Emerson Rodriguez
31J. Espitia
40M. Palacios
Fortaleza FC Substitutes
5J. Medina Obando54'for Edwin Cabezas
25Jordan Garcia79'replaced by Sebastian Navarro90+1'
13Brandón Andrés Mejía Fajardo
7Í. Montaño54'for Julio Sinisterra
19F. Pulicastro75'for Jhonier Blanco
24Jhoiner Salas45'replaced by Arturo Batioja
12C. Santander
29T. Wilke Braams
35Adrian Mosquera Rentería
Match Stats
Santa FeFortaleza FC 50%Ball Possession50%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box11
3Blocked Shots4
11Fouls8
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
405Total Passes406
337Passes Accurate344
83%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
Santa FeFortaleza FC1661Elo Rating 1471
1.13Attack 1.17
1.59Defense 1.37
42%Hit Rate 0%
13.0Shots per Game 16.7
4.0Shots on Target 4.6
3.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.9Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+191 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Santa Fe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Fortaleza FC- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Santa Fe5Wins · 72%Draws114%
Fortaleza FC1Wins · 14%
1Wins · 14%2.6Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7
Previous meetings
08/02/2026Fortaleza FCSanta Fe11
04/12/2025Fortaleza FCSanta Fe12
22/11/2025Santa FeFortaleza FC30
24/08/2025Fortaleza FCSanta Fe20
09/03/2025Santa FeFortaleza FC20
22/09/2024Fortaleza FCSanta Fe13
09/03/2024Santa FeFortaleza FC20
Recent Form
Santa Fe5W4D1L
03/09/2026Santa Fe
Millonarios
JuniorSanta Fe
River PlateSanta FeSanta Fe
America de CaliSanta Fe
ChicoSanta Fe
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe
Once Caldas
Caracas FCSanta Fe
Águilas DoradasSanta Fe
Santa FeMillonarios32
W30/08/2026JuniorSanta Fe11
D27/08/2026River PlateSanta Fe7181
W23/08/2026Santa FeAmerica de Cali00
D20/08/2026Santa FeRiver Plate
08/08/2026Santa FeRiver Plate00
DSanta FeChico20
W06/08/2026Santa FeUnion Magdalena20
W03/08/2026Santa FeOnce Caldas22
D31/07/2026Caracas FCSanta Fe03
W26/07/2026Águilas DoradasSanta Fe21
LFortaleza FC1W5D4L
02/09/2026Fortaleza FCOnce CaldasChicoFortaleza FCFortaleza FC
Atletico NacionalFortaleza FC
Cucuta
LlanerosFortaleza FCFortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas12
L26/08/2026ChicoFortaleza FC00
D23/08/2026Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional12
L08/08/2026Fortaleza FCCucuta20
W04/08/2026LlanerosFortaleza FC31
L01/08/2026Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pereira00
D27/07/2026Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC11
D29/05/2026CucutaFortaleza FC
CucutaFortaleza FC00
D20/05/2026Fortaleza FC
Orsomarso
Fortaleza FCOrsomarso11
D11/05/2026
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC10
LLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LLWLW |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:14 | +19 | 36 | WWWDW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26:17 | +9 | 29 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 25 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:20 | +1 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 17 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 12 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 33:14 | 36 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 21:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 17:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 13:22 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas 02/09/26
- Santa Fe vs Millonarios 03/09/26
- America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar 03/09/26
- Chico vs Once Caldas 05/09/26
- Junior vs Jaguares 06/09/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Águilas Doradas 06/09/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios 07/09/26
- Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali 11/09/26
About the Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santa Fe and Fortaleza FC in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Santa Fe are 7th and Fortaleza FC 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Santa Fe 29-22, Fortaleza FC 22-27. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.