Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Fortaleza FC Rest
6 days
Once Caldas Rest
8 days
Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas: the result in context
Once Caldas beat Fortaleza FC 2-1 in the Primera A on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Fortaleza FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Once Caldas tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.5 for Fortaleza FC.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%3.25
X31%3.18
234%2.15
Double Chance
1X66%1.65
X265%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.81
No50%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 0.98 = 2.20
Over 1.572%1.33
Over 2.546%2.10
Over 3.523%3.75
Under 1.528%3.08
Under 2.554%1.70
Under 3.577%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.2 = 8.7
Over 8.546%1.55
Over 9.531%1.94
Over 10.520%2.47
Under 8.554%2.26
Under 9.569%1.77
Under 10.580%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 3 = 5.9
Over 3.582%-
Over 4.566%1.34
Under 3.518%-
Under 4.534%2.72
Match Events
27'S. Navarro
33'J. Castillo INE. Cabezas out
41'J. A. Zapata RamirezAssist: J. D. Cuesta Santos
46'E. Torres INM. Zuleta out
54'T. Wilke INJ. Salas out
56'S. Navarro
57'A. Correa
61'J. Solis
62'A. Correa INJ. Patino out
68'P. Gomez IND. Moreno out
69'M. Barrios INH. Guzman out
79'J. A. Zapata Ramirez INJ. Quinones out
82'D. MorenoAssist: J. D. Cuesta Santos
84'S. Navarro INA. Batioja out
84'J. Blanco INJ. Sinisterra out
84'S. Vivas INB. Mejia out
Match Stats
Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas 
44%Ball Possession56%
0Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
9Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal11
3Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box11
3Blocked Shots3
7Fouls14
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
385Total Passes475
328Passes Accurate411
14Free Kicks6
Team Comparison
Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas1471Elo Rating 1611
1.17Attack 1.17
1.37Defense 2.58
0%Hit Rate 58%
16.7Shots per Game 19.9
4.6Shots on Target 7.1
4.5Corners per Game 6.7
2.6Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Fortaleza FC- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Once Caldas- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Fortaleza FC5Wins · 71%Draws00%
Once Caldas2Wins · 29%
2Wins · 29%2.9Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7
Previous meetings
21/02/2026Once CaldasFortaleza FC42
21/07/2025Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas21
01/02/2025Once CaldasFortaleza FC21
02/11/2024Once CaldasFortaleza FC02
26/04/2024Once CaldasFortaleza FC01
13/04/2024Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas20
10/04/2024Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas21
Recent Form
Fortaleza FC2W5D3L
26/08/2026
ChicoFortaleza FCFortaleza FC
Atletico NacionalFortaleza FC
Cucuta
LlanerosFortaleza FCFortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
ChicoFortaleza FC00
D23/08/2026Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional12
L08/08/2026Fortaleza FCCucuta20
W04/08/2026LlanerosFortaleza FC31
L01/08/2026Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pereira00
D27/07/2026Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC11
D29/05/2026CucutaFortaleza FC
CucutaFortaleza FC00
D20/05/2026Fortaleza FC
Orsomarso
Fortaleza FCOrsomarso11
D11/05/2026
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC10
L08/05/2026Fortaleza FC
Leones FC
Fortaleza FCLeones FC41
WOnce Caldas4W4D2L
24/08/2026
JuniorOnce Caldas
JaguaresOnce CaldasOnce Caldas
America de Cali
Santa FeOnce CaldasOnce CaldasCucuta
JuniorOnce Caldas11
D10/08/2026JaguaresOnce Caldas11
D06/08/2026Once CaldasAmerica de Cali01
L03/08/2026Santa FeOnce Caldas22
D30/07/2026
EnvigadoOnce Caldas
27/07/2026EnvigadoOnce Caldas03
WOnce CaldasCucuta51
W22/07/2026Once CaldasEnvigado
Once CaldasEnvigado30
W14/05/2026JuniorOnce Caldas
JuniorOnce Caldas22
D11/05/2026Once CaldasJunior
Once CaldasJunior01
L02/05/2026Once CaldasAtletico Nacional
Once CaldasAtletico Nacional10
WReferee Profile
5.93Cards per match
5.63Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.77).
Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LLWLW |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:14 | +19 | 36 | WWWDW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26:17 | +9 | 29 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 25 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:20 | +1 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 17 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 12 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 33:14 | 36 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 21:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 17:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 13:22 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota 31/08/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga 31/08/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira 01/09/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta 01/09/26
- Santa Fe vs Millonarios 03/09/26
- America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar 03/09/26
- Chico vs Once Caldas 05/09/26
- Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC 06/09/26
About the Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fortaleza FC and Once Caldas in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Once Caldas are 5th and Fortaleza FC 15th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza FC 22-27, Once Caldas 31-22. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.