Chico vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 3
Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 16/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.88
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseHighGap+10.0%
Chico Rest
3 days
Alianza Valledupar Rest
2 days
Chico vs Alianza Valledupar: result, form and history
Alianza Valledupar beat Chico 2-1 in the Primera A on 16 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Chico tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.8 for Alianza Valledupar.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.85
X29%3.18
222%4.60
Double Chance
1X78%1.18
X251%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%2.22
No53%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.88 = 2.11
Over 1.564%1.50
Over 2.536%2.55
Over 3.521%5.00
Under 1.536%2.45
Under 2.564%1.48
Under 3.579%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.8 = 9.4
Over 8.559%1.82
Over 9.546%2.34
Over 10.536%3.18
Under 8.541%1.88
Under 9.554%1.50
Under 10.564%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3 = 5.4
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.562%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.538%-
Match Events
8'Jhonier AlomiaFoul
10'Edgar Pardo(Penalty)
30'Deinner QuiñonesAssist: Edgar Pardo
32'Jefferson MenaFoul
36'Jhonier AlomiaAssist: Cristian Blanco
37'Yesus CabreraFoul
45'A. Maya INSebastián Viveros Lopez out
45'Jhonier Alomia INDaniel Polanco out
51'Misael Martinez INJosy Pérez out
67'Edgar Pardo INCharly Villegas González out
67'Deinner QuiñonesTime wasting
69'Deinner Quiñones INKevin Moreno out
75'E. Sarria INI. Camargo out
76'S. Mera INSander Navarro out
80'Israel Alba INSamuel Nieto out
80'Jesús Muñoz INJeison Andrés Osorio Cabrales out
80'Yesus Cabrera INDelio Ramírez out
Lineups
ChicoAlianza Valledupar
4-2-3-1Coach: Flabio TorresAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Agudelo
24C. Mosquera
4J. Mena
5J. Alomía
14C. Blanco
6J. Díaz
17E. Sarria
10Y. Cabrera
21J. Pimentel
16S. Mera
22A. Maya
40E. Esteban
23I. Alba
22J. Figueroa
32J. Viveros
88L. Palacios
7J. Castillo
55W. Fernández
17F. Pardo
10D. Quiñónes
8J. Muñoz
77M. MartínezChico Substitutes
12B. Zapata
9I. Camargo75'for E. Sarria
7F. Cifuentes
30Mateo Gomez
15S. Navarro76'for S. Mera
19J. Pimentel Betancourt
2D. Polanco45'for Jhonier Alomia
11D. Ramírez80'for Yesus Cabrera
20Sebastián Viveros45'for A. Maya
Alianza Valledupar Substitutes
4J. Mosquera
3K. Moreno69'for Deinner Quiñones
15C. Esparragoza
21Samuel Nieto80'replaced by Israel Alba
28J. Osorio80'for Jesús Muñoz
25J. Perez51'for Misael Martinez
26Howenn Rada
14C. Villegas67'for Edgar Pardo
1J. Wallens
Match Stats
ChicoAlianza Valledupar 64%Ball Possession36%
11Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots5
2Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots0
10Fouls6
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
484Total Passes290
411Passes Accurate208
6Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
ChicoAlianza Valledupar1454Elo Rating 1485
0.66Attack 0.90
1.54Defense 1.98
23%Hit Rate 42%
13.7Shots per Game 10.9
3.5Shots on Target 3.4
7.1Corners per Game 3.8
3.3Cards per Game 4.1
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%
Game State Tendencies
Chico- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Alianza Valledupar- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Chico4Wins · 50%Draws225%
Alianza Valledupar2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%2.3Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
28/01/2026Alianza ValleduparChico11
09/11/2025Alianza ValleduparChico20
18/05/2025ChicoAlianza Valledupar21
25/08/2024Alianza ValleduparChico40
19/02/2024ChicoAlianza Valledupar10
06/09/2023Alianza ValleduparChico11
26/01/2023ChicoAlianza Valledupar20
02/04/2021ChicoAlianza Valledupar20
Recent Form
Chico3W3D4L
13/09/2026Chico
Independiente Medellin
05/09/2026ChicoIndependiente Medellin21
WChico
Once Caldas20
W30/08/2026
Águilas DoradasChico22
D26/08/2026Chico
Fortaleza FC00
D21/08/2026
JaguaresChico10
L08/08/2026
Santa FeChico20
L03/08/2026
America de CaliChico70
L27/05/2026Chico
Llaneros
ChicoLlaneros01
L23/05/2026
MillonariosChico
MillonariosChico22
D16/05/2026Chico
Depor FC
ChicoDepor FC40
WAlianza Valledupar2W2D6L
13/09/2026Alianza Valledupar
JuniorOnce CaldasAlianza ValleduparAmerica de CaliAlianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
CucutaAlianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
BucaramangaAlianza Valledupar
Deportes TolimaAlianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
Alianza ValleduparJunior10
W10/09/2026Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar10
L03/09/2026America de CaliAlianza Valledupar30
L30/08/2026Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional15
L26/08/2026CucutaAlianza Valledupar10
L22/08/2026Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
09/08/2026Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Pereira00
DAlianza ValleduparBucaramanga23
L01/08/2026Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima12
L27/07/2026Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC11
D24/05/2026Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga21
WLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | WDDLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | 35 | WWDWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | +9 | 28 | WLLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 | LWDLW |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 12 | WDDLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas 13/09/26
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali 14/09/26
- Cucuta vs Millonarios 14/09/26
- America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto 15/09/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional 17/09/26
- Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin 18/09/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira 18/09/26
- Millonarios vs Chico 19/09/26
About the Chico vs Alianza Valledupar forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Chico and Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Chico (18th) and Alianza Valledupar (17th) are level on 17 points. League goal record so far: Chico 15-32, Alianza Valledupar 13-27. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.