Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional Prediction

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo 17/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
Internacional de Bogota Rest
4 days
Atletico Nacional Rest
3 days

Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional: the result in context

Atletico Nacional beat Internacional de Bogota 3-2 in the Primera A on 17 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atletico Nacional had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Internacional de Bogota.

Atletico Nacional have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%5.51
X
34%3.75
2
44%1.57
Double Chance
1X
56%2.23
X2
78%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.86
No
46%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.32 = 2.28
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
45%1.88
Over 3.5
25%3.17
Under 1.5
28%3.50
Under 2.5
55%1.87
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 4.6 = 8.7
Over 8.5
49%1.49
Over 9.5
40%1.84
Over 10.5
28%2.32
Under 8.5
51%2.41
Under 9.5
60%1.87
Under 10.5
72%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.4 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
56%-
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
44%-

Match Events

20'Diego Duarte
34'Ian Carlo Poveda
42'Ronaldo Junior Julio TobíasFoul
45'Ronaldo Junior Julio Tobías INJohan Caballero out
45'Agustin Irazoque INCarlos Vivas out
45+2'Larry VásquezDissent
59'Juan Rengifo INJames Rodríguez out
59'Chicho Arango INAlfredo Morelos out
59'Kevin Parra INMarlos Moreno out
60'Facundo Boné INCristián Dájome out
62'Elías Lautaro Cabrera
66'Goal cancelledFabricio Sanguinetti
71'Yeicar Perlaza INAndrés Román out
77'Elías Lautaro Cabrera INJuan Zapata out
80'Dewar Victoria INRuben Manjarres out
80'Diego Duarte INYojan Garces out
83'Yojan Garces
88'Andrés RománFoul
90+9'Juan ZapataAssist: James Rodríguez

Lineups

Internacional de Bogota
5-4-1Coach: R. Valiño
Atletico Nacional
4-3-3Coach: L. González
Avg rating6.17
Avg rating6.76
W. Fariñez6.71W. Fariñez
R. Julio5.425R. Julio
J. Castro5.620J. Castro
D. Rodas5.64D. Rodas
A. Irazoque5.726A. Irazoque
M. Pernía5.513M. Pernía
F. Boné6.010F. Boné
D. Victoria6.28D. Victoria
L. Vásquez5.85L. Vásquez
F. Sanguinetti5.97F. Sanguinetti
D. Duarte7.79D. Duarte
F. Armani6.334F. Armani
Y. Perlaza6.127Y. Perlaza
A. Reyes6.915A. Reyes
W. Tesillo6.716W. Tesillo
S. Velásquez6.633S. Velásquez
J. Rengifo6.819J. Rengifo
X. Rios6.331X. Rios
E. Cabrera8.222E. Cabrera
I. Poveda8.199I. Poveda
C. Arango6.717C. Arango
K. Parra6.830K. Parra

Internacional de Bogota Substitutes

23J. Caballero45'for Ronaldo Junior Julio Tobías6.7
33K. Cataño
11C. Dájome60'for Facundo Boné6.3
21Y. Garcés80'for Diego Duarte83'7.9
19Y. Garcia
24R. Manjarrés80'for Dewar Victoria5.8
2C. Vivas45'for Agustin Irazoque6.0
16Yulián Gómez
14M. Santamaria

Atletico Nacional Substitutes

3N. Parra
23J. Rodríguez59'for Juan Rengifo6.6
6A. Román71'for Yeicar Perlaza88'6.0
29A. Sarmiento6.9
80J. Zapata77'for Elías Lautaro Cabrera90+9'7.2
44E. Zea
7M. Moreno59'for Kevin Parra6.4
9A. Morelos59'for Chicho Arango6.5
20M. Casco

Match Stats

Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
27%Ball Possession73%
3Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
6Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal8
1Shots off Goal8
3Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots3
18Fouls10
5Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
221Total Passes604
143Passes Accurate532
10Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
1544Elo Rating 1759
2.14Attack 2.15
1.86Defense 2.46
63%Hit Rate 83%
10.6Shots per Game 11.8
3.7Shots on Target 4.9
4.0Corners per Game 3.7
2.6Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional6Wins · 60%
2.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A13/05/2026
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota
71
Primera A09/05/2026
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
12
Primera A22/03/2026
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota
30
Primera A20/07/2025
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota
31
Primera A02/02/2025
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
01
Primera A31/07/2024
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota
01
Primera A26/02/2024
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
20
Primera A14/09/2023
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota
50
Primera A03/04/2023
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
00
Primera A30/10/2022
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota
11

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WWWDW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WWLWW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434WDLWW
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033WLWLD
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031WLDWW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DDLWW
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427LDWWL
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWLDW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LLWLW
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LWLLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDWDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LWDDL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LWLDL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LLWDL
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional17113333:14+1936WWWDW
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali16104231:12+1934WLWLD
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1796226:10+1633LDWWL
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1778226:17+929LWLLL
5Santa FeSanta Fe1684423:17+628DDLWW
6MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1782725:25026WWLDW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1767422:20+225LLWLW
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1765621:20+123WLDWW
11CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13LlanerosLlaneros1762919:23-420LDWDD
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1753917:29-1218LLWDL
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1738613:22-917LDLLL
16JuniorJunior1737723:27-416WWLWW
17ChicoChico1744913:28-1516LWLWL
18JaguaresJaguares1634917:29-1213LWLDL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1719717:25-812LWDDL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto16331011:24-1312WDLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1733:1436
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1631:1234
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1726:1033
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1726:1729
5Santa FeSanta Fe1623:1728
6MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1725:2526
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1722:2025
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1721:2023
11CucutaCucuta1618:2421
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13LlanerosLlaneros1719:2320
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1717:2918
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1713:2217
16JuniorJunior1723:2716
17ChicoChico1713:2816
18JaguaresJaguares1617:2913
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1717:2512
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1611:2412

About the Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Internacional de Bogota and Atletico Nacional in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Atletico Nacional are 1st and Internacional de Bogota 8th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Internacional de Bogota 26-26, Atletico Nacional 35-15. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Internacional de Bogota have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.