Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood Prediction

Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 12
Al-Nassr
5-3
Finished
HT 2-2
Al Kholood
Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh·Khalid Al-Turais 29/10/2026
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
5-3
Finished
Al KholoodAl Kholood

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-7.2%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Al-Nassr Rest
6 days
Al Kholood Rest
5 days

Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood: the result in context

Al-Nassr beat Al Kholood 5-3 in the Pro League on 29 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Al-Nassr had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Al Kholood.

Al-Nassr have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.25
X
18%5.67
2
12%8.62
Double Chance
1X
87%1.06
X2
30%3.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.18 + 0.95 = 3.13
Over 1.5
84%1.12
Over 2.5
66%1.44
Over 3.5
44%2.14
Under 1.5
16%5.55
Under 2.5
34%2.70
Under 3.5
56%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 8.1 + 3.4 = 11.5
Over 8.5
78%1.42
Over 9.5
69%1.73
Over 10.5
58%2.17
Under 8.5
22%2.59
Under 9.5
31%2.00
Under 10.5
42%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.2 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%1.75
Over 4.5
26%2.50
Under 3.5
55%2.00
Under 4.5
74%1.50

Match Events

12'Goal cancelledCristiano Ronaldo
14'John BuckleyDissent
16'Julien DominguesAssist: Abdulrahman Al-Dosari
20'Angelo BorgesNot retreating
24'Angelo BorgesAssist: Joao Felix
38'Sadio ManéAssist: Joao Felix
45+2'Antoine Loic Essomba BikoulaAssist: Julien Domingues
46'Joao FelixFoul
54'Shaquille Pinas INAbdulrahman Obaid Al-Obaid out
66'Cristiano RonaldoAssist: Joao Felix
67'Antoine Loic Essomba Bikoula INMohammed Sawaan out
72'Cristiano RonaldoAssist: Joao Felix
74'Abdullah Al-Hamdan INAbdulrahman Ghareeb out
78'Coba Gomes da Costa INMohammed Al Rashidi out
78'Abdulrahman Al-Dosari INYaseen Al-Zubaidi out
78'Iker Kortajarena Canellada INGustavo Gouveia Rodrigues Cruz out
81'Ayman Yahya INAwad Aman out
81'Angelo Borges INSami Al-Najei out
81'Abdullah Al-Khaibari INRakan Al Ghamdi out
81'Cristiano RonaldoAssist: Sadio Mané
83'Nawaf Boushal INSaad Fahad Al Nasser out
90+2'Penalty confirmedMohammed Sawaan
90+4'Julien Domingues(Penalty)

Lineups

Al-Nassr
4-4-2Coach: A. Postecoglou
Al Kholood
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Buckingham
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.33
Bento5.924Bento
Nawaf Boushal6.312N. Boushal
M. Simakan6.33M. Simakan
Íñigo Martínez6.826Í. Martínez
Ayman Yahya6.223A. Yahya
Abdullah Al Hamdan6.69A. Al Hamdan
Abdullah Al Khaibari6.417A. Al Khaibari
Ângelo7.320Ângelo
S. Mané8.610S. Mané
João Félix8.779J. Félix
Cristiano Ronaldo9.47C. Ronaldo
Hamed Abdullah Yousef5.91H. Abdullah Yousef
Ramzi Solan5.815R. Solan
S. Pinas6.138S. Pinas
Mansour Camara5.925M. Camara
Sultan Al Shehri6.07S. Al Shehri
Abdulrahman Al Dosari6.939A. Al Dosari
J. Buckley6.26J. Buckley
A. Essomba7.777A. Essomba
Iker Kortajarena6.010I. Kortajarena
Coba6.111Coba
J. Domingues9.022J. Domingues

Al-Nassr Substitutes

56R. Al Ghamdi81'for Abdullah Al-Khaibari6.5
5Abdulelah Al Amri
22Abdulhadi Al Alwan
83Salem Al Najdi
14Sami Al Naji81'for Angelo Borges5.9
6Saad Al Nasser83'for Nawaf Boushal6.0
70Awad Aman81'for Ayman Yahya6.0
29Abdulrahman Ghareeb74'for Abdullah Al-Hamdan6.5
8Hayder Abdulkareem

Al Kholood Substitutes

48Muhannad Al Yahya
30Mohammed Mazyad Alshammari
67Mohammed Al Rashidi78'for Coba Gomes da Costa5.8
47Abdulrahman Al Obaid54'for Shaquille Pinas5.5
24O. Abdulghani
26Yaseen Al Zubaidi78'for Abdulrahman Al-Dosari6.2
99Guga78'for Iker Kortajarena Canellada6.5
70Muhammad Sawan67'for Antoine Loic Essomba Bikoula5.6
23Yazan Madani

Match Stats

Al-NassrAl Kholood
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots7
9Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box6
0Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
18Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
391Total Passes341
341Passes Accurate289
8Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
Al KholoodAl Kholood
1867Elo Rating 1487
2.12Attack 0.74
1.97Defense 0.06
86%Hit Rate 14%
14.6Shots per Game 16.4
4.5Shots on Target 4.2
6.3Corners per Game 6.3
1.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+380 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al KholoodAl Kholood
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Al-NassrAl-Nassr3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
Al KholoodAl Kholood0Wins · 0%
3.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Pro League30/01/2026
Al KholoodAl-Nassr
03
Pro League14/09/2025
Al-NassrAl Kholood
20
Pro League14/03/2025
Al-NassrAl Kholood
31
Pro League25/10/2024
Al KholoodAl-Nassr
33

Recent Form

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
7W1D2L
23/10/2026
Al-Faisaly FCAl-Nassr
13
W
20/10/2026
Al-NassrNEOM
10
W12/10/2026
Al-NassrNeftchi
31
W09/10/2026
Al-NassrAl Diriyah
30
W15/09/2026
Al AinAl-Nassr
40
L12/09/2026
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Nassr
11
D09/09/2026
Al-NassrAbha
21
W05/09/2026
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
21
L28/08/2026
Al-NassrAl Taawon
21
W25/08/2026
Al-EttifaqAl-Nassr
23
W
Al KholoodAl Kholood
4W2D4L
24/10/2026
Al KholoodAl-Ettifaq
03
L
15/10/2026
Al-Faisaly FCAl Kholood
32
L
09/10/2026
Al KholoodAl-Qadisiyah FC
05
L13/09/2026
Al RiyadhAl Kholood
20
L09/09/2026
Al KholoodAl Shabab
21
W
03/09/2026
Al-FayhaAl Kholood
22
D
29/08/2026
Al KholoodAl-Ahli Jeddah
31
W26/08/2026
Al DiriyahAl Kholood
11
D22/08/2026
Al KholoodAl Taawon
32
W
19/08/2026
Jeddah ClubAl Kholood
05
W

Referee Profile

Khalid Al-Turais45 matches

4.12Cards per match
3.95Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Khalid Al-Turais4.12
Other referees4.08

4.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.08).

Cards come from 41 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

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About the Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Nassr and Al Kholood in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al-Nassr are 2nd and Al Kholood 10th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Nassr 23-8, Al Kholood 14-21. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Nassr have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.