NEOM vs Abha Prediction

NEOM
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Abha
King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabuk·Khalid Al-Ahmari 24/10/2026
NEOMNEOM
2-0
Finished
AbhaAbha

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
NEOM Rest
3 days
Abha Rest
8 days

NEOM vs Abha: the result in context

NEOM beat Abha 2-0 in the Pro League on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: NEOM had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Abha.

NEOM tend to win more corners, 5.1 a game to 2.3 for Abha.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.50
X
22%4.04
2
17%5.49
Double Chance
1X
83%1.14
X2
39%2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.94 = 2.61
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.70
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
23%4.05
Under 2.5
45%2.10
Under 3.5
67%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.71
Over 9.5
49%2.13
Over 10.5
38%2.83
Under 8.5
39%2.03
Under 9.5
51%1.61
Under 10.5
62%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.80
Over 4.5
37%2.40
Under 3.5
44%1.91
Under 4.5
63%1.53

Match Events

15'Saïd BenrahmaAssist: Alexandre Lacazette
20'Goal cancelledNathan Zeze
49'Khaled Al ShamraniFoul
50'Alexandre LacazetteAssist: Saïd Benrahma
58'Khaled Al Shamrani INSafwan Al Johani out
58'Michy Batshuayi INAlimani Gory out
71'Georgios Masouras INMohannad Abu Taha out
71'Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari INAbbas Al Hassan out
71'Mohammed Al-Dosari INMajed Dawran out
71'Firas Al-Ghamdi INNabil Fekir out
79'Safwan Al JohaniDissent
83'Khalil Al-Absi INHaroune Camara out
83'Saïd Benrahma INMuhanad Al Saad out
84'Abdullah Al Fahad INKheshim Al Qahtani out

Lineups

NEOM
4-4-2Coach: C. Galtier
Abha
5-4-1Coach: D. Burić
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.35
Luís Maximiano6.781L. Maximiano
Khalifah Al Dawsari7.64K. Al Dawsari
M. Sarr8.05M. Sarr
N. Zézé7.344N. Zézé
Islam Hawsawi7.927I. Hawsawi
Khalil Al Absi6.614K. Al Absi
V. Vada7.223V. Vada
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari6.415A. Al Oyayari
S. Benrahma9.010S. Benrahma
G. Masouras6.17G. Masouras
A. Lacazette8.291A. Lacazette
D. Léon6.316D. Léon
Mohammed Al Dossary6.423M. Al Dossary
J. Gaari6.53J. Gaari
Abdullah Al Fahad6.019A. Al Fahad
Abdulbasit Al-Hindi6.937A. Al-Hindi
K. Al Shamrani6.012K. Al Shamrani
Abdulkarim Darisi6.117A. Darisi
Nasser Al Daajani6.88N. Al Daajani
Firas Al-Ghamdi6.67F. Al-Ghamdi
G. Nkoudou6.714G. Nkoudou
M. Batshuayi6.244M. Batshuayi

NEOM Substitutes

33Abdulrahman Dagriri
55Muhammad Al Dosari
2Mohammed Al Burayk
19Mohannad Abu Taha71'for Georgios Masouras7.1
8Faisal Al Ghamdi
6A. Al Hassan71'for Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari6.9
9Abdulaziz Al Othman
77Muhannad Al Saad83'for Saïd Benrahma6.8
70Haroune Camara83'for Khalil Al-Absi6.4

Abha Substitutes

28Bader Al Mutairi
20K. Al Qahtani84'for Abdullah Al Fahad6.3
6Faisal Al Subiani
9Kamil Boumedmed
29Majed Dawran71'for Mohammed Al-Dosari5.9
10N. Fekir71'for Firas Al-Ghamdi6.5
11A. Gory58'for Michy Batshuayi6.7
21A. Al Bouq
80Safwan Saud58'for Khaled Al Shamrani79'5.7

Match Stats

NEOMAbha
58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots1
12Fouls12
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
493Total Passes351
419Passes Accurate291
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NEOMNEOM
AbhaAbha
1645Elo Rating 1491
1.34Attack 0.39
2.44Defense 1.53
44%Hit Rate 0%
10.4Shots per Game 7.0
3.1Shots on Target 1.7
5.1Corners per Game 2.3
1.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+154 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NEOMNEOM
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AbhaAbha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

NEOMNEOM1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
AbhaAbha0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Division 121/01/2025
NEOMAbha
22
Division 121/08/2024
AbhaNEOM
02

Referee Profile

Khalid Al-Ahmari10 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Khalid Al-Ahmari4.40
Other referees4.10

4.40 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.10).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1291232:12+2028WLWWW
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1191128:11+1728WWWWD
3Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1173121:11+1024DWWLW
5NEOMNEOM1271418:10+822WWLLD
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1243510:13-315LLWDL
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al KholoodAl Kholood1133517:26-912LLLLL
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1133511:25-1412LWLDW
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha110387:19-123DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1232:1228
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1128:1128
3Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1121:1124
5NEOMNEOM1218:1022
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1210:1315
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al KholoodAl Kholood1117:2612
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1111:2512
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha117:193
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the NEOM vs Abha forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NEOM and Abha in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, NEOM are 5th and Abha 18th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: NEOM 18-10, Abha 7-19. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

NEOM and Abha have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.