Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat Prediction

Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Sports City Stadium, Jeddah·Abdullah Al-Shehri 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Rest
4 days
Al Khaleej Saihat Rest
5 days

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat: the result in context

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Khaleej Saihat 4-1 in the Pro League on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Al-Ahli Jeddah have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Al Khaleej Saihat tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.1 for Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.36
X
17%5.00
2
13%7.26
Double Chance
1X
87%1.07
X2
30%3.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.73
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.46 + 0.77 = 3.23
Over 1.5
84%1.14
Over 2.5
65%1.50
Over 3.5
43%2.20
Under 1.5
16%5.23
Under 2.5
35%2.52
Under 3.5
57%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.51
Over 9.5
48%1.95
Over 10.5
37%2.40
Under 8.5
40%2.38
Under 9.5
52%1.75
Under 10.5
63%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.85
Over 4.5
31%2.70
Under 3.5
49%1.88
Under 4.5
69%1.42

Match Events

9'Ahmad AsiriFoul
11'Ivan ToneyAssist: Eduard Spertsyan
13'Goal confirmedIvan Toney
23'Mohammed Al-KhabraniFoul
45'Ahmad Asiri INSaleh Al Amri out
45'Joshua King INThamer Al-Khaibri out
45+3'Joshua KingFoul
57'Artem BondarenkoAssist: Francisco Trincão
61'Francisco TrincãoAssist: Ivan Toney
66'Firas Al-Buraikan INMatheus Gonçalves Martins out
66'Saeed Baattia INMohammed Abdulrahman Yousef out
66'Eduard Spertsyan INZiyad Al-Johani out
67'Mohammed Al-Khabrani INMiguel Crespo da Silva out
68'Card upgrade confirmedMateo Benegas
69'Mateo BenegasViolent conduct
79'Musa Barrow INHussain Al Issa out
79'Majed Omar Kanabah INmohammed bader munshi out
79'Goal cancelledMohammed Abdulrahman Yousef
81'Artem Bondarenko INAbdullah Radif out
81'Francisco Trincão INRamez Zaid Al-Attar out
87'Thamer Al-KhaibriAssist: Hussain Al Issa
90+6'Ivan Toney(Penalty)

Lineups

Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-3-3Coach: M. Pusic
Al Khaleej Saihat
4-3-1-2Coach: José Gomes
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.12
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi6.21A. Al Sanbi
Saeed Baattia7.415S. Baattia
Mohammed Bakor7.05M. Bakor
Ibañez6.93Ibañez
Saad Yaslam6.731S. Yaslam
V. Atangana Edoa6.66V. Atangana Edoa
A. Bondarenko8.219A. Bondarenko
E. Spertsyan7.28E. Spertsyan
Trincão8.97Trincão
I. Toney9.017I. Toney
Feras Al Brikan6.29F. Al Brikan
Marwan Al Haidari7.096M. Al Haidari
Fawaz Al Saqour6.027F. Al Saqour
Ahmad Asiri5.513A. Asiri
Abdullah Al Hafith5.817A. Al Hafith
Mohammed Al Khabrani5.43M. Al Khabrani
Omar Mascarell6.08O. Mascarell
Majed Kanabah6.212M. Kanabah
Pedro Rebocho5.95P. Rebocho
M. Barrow5.699M. Barrow
M. Benegas5.79M. Benegas
J. King6.37J. King

Al-Ahli Jeddah Substitutes

62Abdullah Abdo
87Ramez Al Attar81'for Francisco Trincão6.4
30Ziyad Al Johani66'for Eduard Spertsyan6.8
11Meshal Al Mutairi
4Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
20Matheus Gonçalves66'for Firas Al-Buraikan6.8
46Rayane Hamidou
21Abdullah Radif81'for Artem Bondarenko6.5
29Mohammed Yousef66'for Saeed Baattia6.7

Al Khaleej Saihat Substitutes

4K. Kouyaté
1M. Abbas Ibrahim
15Mansour Hamzi
19Miguel Crespo67'for Mohammed Al-Khabrani5.9
14Ali Al Shaafi
90Thamer Al Khaibri45'for Joshua King87'7.4
11Saleh Al Amri45'for Ahmad Asiri6.5
28Hussain Al Eisa79'for Musa Barrow6.9
16Bader Munshi79'for Majed Omar Kanabah5.8

Match Stats

Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots6
11Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots3
15Fouls18
4Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves7
460Total Passes301
397Passes Accurate241
17Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat
1776Elo Rating 1495
2.43Attack 2.36
0.49Defense 1.01
73%Hit Rate 63%
12.0Shots per Game 12.2
5.6Shots on Target 4.8
3.1Corners per Game 5.5
1.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+282 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah5Wins · 83%
Draws117%
Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat0Wins · 0%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Pro League20/05/2026
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ahli Jeddah
14
Pro League20/01/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
41
Pro League07/03/2025
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
22
Pro League18/10/2024
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ahli Jeddah
03
Pro League29/12/2023
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
10
Pro League17/08/2023
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ahli Jeddah
13

Referee Profile

Abdullah Al-Shehri31 matches

4.29Cards per match
3.96Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abdullah Al-Shehri4.29
Other referees4.27

4.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC11100132:9+2330WWWWW
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1291232:12+2028WLWWW
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1191128:11+1728WWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1173121:11+1024DWWLW
5NEOMNEOM1271418:10+822WWLLD
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1170428:19+921LWWWW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1254318:17+119DWLWD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1243510:13-315LLWDL
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al ShababAl Shabab1135320:15+514WWDWD
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1133517:26-912LLLLL
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1133511:25-1412LWLDW
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1225516:20-411WDLLD
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1224613:24-1110LWLDW
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1213810:25-156LLLWL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon120576:20-145DLLDL
18AbhaAbha110387:19-123DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1132:930
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1232:1228
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1128:1128
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1121:1124
5NEOMNEOM1218:1022
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1128:1921
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1218:1719
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1210:1315
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al ShababAl Shabab1120:1514
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1117:2612
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1111:2512
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1216:2011
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1213:2410
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1210:256
17Al TaawonAl Taawon126:205
18AbhaAbha117:193
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th and Al Khaleej Saihat 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Ahli Jeddah 28-19, Al Khaleej Saihat 14-19. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.