Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC Prediction

Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman·Donatas Rumsas 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseHighGap-0.8%
Al-Qadisiyah FC Rest
3 days
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Rest
4 days

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: the result in context

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2 in the Pro League on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.95
X
25%3.75
2
40%2.03
Double Chance
1X
60%1.70
X2
65%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.40
No
30%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.95 = 3.49
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
67%1.40
Over 3.5
47%2.10
Under 1.5
15%5.91
Under 2.5
33%2.74
Under 3.5
53%1.71
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 5.3 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.50
Over 9.5
57%1.83
Over 10.5
45%2.38
Under 8.5
32%2.39
Under 9.5
43%1.84
Under 10.5
55%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.72
Over 4.5
41%2.42
Under 3.5
39%2.05
Under 4.5
59%1.52

Match Events

18'Nahitan Nández INYasir Al-Shahrani out
21'Gabriel MartinelliAssist: Ollie Watkins
31'Julián QuiñonesAssist: Musab Al-Juwayr
36'Hassan Al-TambaktiFoul
49'Gabriel Martinelli INSultan Mandash out
74'Hassan Al-Tambakti INAli Lajami out
76'Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatFoul
77'Rúben NevesAssist: Sergej Milinković-Savić
83'Musab Al-Juwayr INMohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani out
84'Sergej Milinković-SavićAssist: Sultan Mandash
86'Rúben NevesFoul
87'Mateo ReteguiAssist: Tijjani Reijnders
88'Crysencio Summerville INSalem Al-Dawsari out
88'Theo Hernandez INMoteb Al-Harbi out
88'Nasser Al-Dawsari INMohamed Kanno out
90+2'Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat INTurki Al-Ammar out

Lineups

Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2Coach: Brendan Rodgers
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-3-3Coach: S. Inzaghi
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.88
K. Casteels6.71K. Casteels
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm6.04J. Abdullatif Ahm
G. Álvarez6.317G. Álvarez
N. Nández5.98N. Nández
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat6.22M. Abu Al Shamat
Musab Al Juwayr7.710M. Al Juwayr
J. Weigl6.25J. Weigl
T. Reijnders6.914T. Reijnders
C. Bonsu Baah5.922C. Bonsu Baah
M. Retegui7.932M. Retegui
J. Quiñones7.933J. Quiñones
Y. Bounou7.237Y. Bounou
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari7.52M. Mater Mohsin Mahzari
Hassan Tambakti5.987H. Tambakti
K. Koulibaly6.53K. Koulibaly
T. Hernández6.819T. Hernández
S. Milinković-Savić8.522S. Milinković-Savić
Nasser Al Dawsari6.46N. Al Dawsari
Rúben Neves7.58R. Neves
Gabriel Martinelli7.97G. Martinelli
O. Watkins7.411O. Watkins
C. Summerville7.238C. Summerville

Al-Qadisiyah FC Substitutes

9Abdullah Al Salem
12Yasir Al Shahrani18'for Nahitan Nández6.5
35A. Al Siyahi
27E. Houssa
42Abdulaziz Tariq Al Qarawi
15Mohammed Al Qahtani83'for Musab Al-Juwayr6.3
28Ahmed Al Kassar
18Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
7Turki Al Ammar90+2'for Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat

Al-Hilal Saudi FC Substitutes

72S. Dahal
33Mohammed Al Owais
18Murad Al Hawsawi
24Moteb Al Harbi88'for Theo Hernandez6.1
77Nawaf Al Habashi
29Salem Al Dawsari88'for Crysencio Summerville6.1
28Mohamed Kanno88'for Nasser Al-Dawsari6.0
78Ali Lajami74'for Hassan Al-Tambakti6.2
27Sultan Mandash49'for Gabriel Martinelli6.9

Match Stats

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal10
5Shots Inside Box14
9Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots0
15Fouls13
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves4
464Total Passes436
405Passes Accurate381
13Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
1851Elo Rating 1946
2.03Attack 2.21
1.83Defense 1.99
56%Hit Rate 100%
15.9Shots per Game 17.9
6.2Shots on Target 6.5
7.8Corners per Game 8.0
0.8Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.49 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC3Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Pro League29/01/2026
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
22
Pro League13/09/2025
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
22
Pro League26/05/2025
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
20
Pro League27/01/2025
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
21
Pro League20/03/2021
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
10
Pro League21/12/2020
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
13

Referee Profile

Donatas Rumsas192 matches

4.28Cards per match
4.06Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Donatas Rumsas4.28
Other referees4.33

4.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 67 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Pro League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 1st in the Pro League, 2 points ahead of Al-Qadisiyah FC in 3rd. League goal record so far: Al-Qadisiyah FC 26-12, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 30-9. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Qadisiyah FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Al-Hilal Saudi FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.