Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors Prediction

Almagro
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Chacarita Juniors
Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap-6.1%
Almagro Rest
5 days
Chacarita Juniors Rest
6 days

Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors: the result in context

Almagro beat Chacarita Juniors 2-1 in the Primera Nacional on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.61
X
32%2.80
2
32%2.90
Double Chance
1X
68%1.34
X2
63%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%2.18
No
60%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 0.74 = 1.99
Over 1.5
59%1.57
Over 2.5
33%2.75
Over 3.5
16%5.50
Under 1.5
41%2.25
Under 2.5
67%1.40
Under 3.5
84%1.12
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'J. Marchioni
22'A. DominguezAssist: N. Chaves
39'B. Negro INM. Cortave out
61'T. Macies INJ. Orlando out
61'F. Bustamante INJ. Bustos out
68'M. Melendez INM. Sanabria out
73'S. Acosta
74'J. Bustos
83'M. Cuero INF. Cristaldo out
83'S. Acosta INL. Alfonzo out
83'A. Cuello INF. Facello out
84'F. De La Vega INP. Blanco out
84'E. Silcan INJ. Flores out
89'T. Perez
90+1'A. Dominguez

Team Comparison

AlmagroAlmagro
Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors
1507Elo Rating 1509
1.22Attack 1.00
1.77Defense 2.33
36%Hit Rate 66%

Game State Tendencies

AlmagroAlmagro
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

AlmagroAlmagro3Wins · 38%
Draws112%
Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors4Wins · 50%
2.1Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional24/05/2026
Chacarita JuniorsAlmagro
10
Primera Nacional02/04/2022
AlmagroChacarita Juniors
13
Primera Nacional12/01/2021
AlmagroChacarita Juniors
02
Primera Nacional17/03/2020
Chacarita JuniorsAlmagro
12
Primera Nacional21/09/2019
AlmagroChacarita Juniors
00
Primera Nacional28/08/2018
AlmagroChacarita Juniors
10
Primera Nacional03/06/2017
Chacarita JuniorsAlmagro
30
Primera Nacional08/11/2016
AlmagroChacarita Juniors
30

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez361616434:16+1864DDWDD
2AtlantaAtlanta361951242:34+862DWLWW
3TemperleyTemperley361613743:31+1261DLDWW
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3616101053:49+458LLWDL
5MidlandMidland3615101143:29+1455DWLWD
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3614101243:34+952DWLDW
7ColegialesColegiales3614101236:32+452DDWDW
8Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3614101237:35+252LLWDL
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3613121142:36+651WDDDL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3611141139:37+247DLWLW
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3612101431:39-846WWLWD
13QuilmesQuilmes361291533:30+345WWLLD
14AlmagroAlmagro361191633:44-1142LDLWW
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes36692128:62-3427DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3634:1664
2AtlantaAtlanta3642:3462
3TemperleyTemperley3643:3161
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3653:4958
5MidlandMidland3643:2955
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3643:3452
7ColegialesColegiales3636:3252
8Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3637:3552
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3642:3651
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3639:3747
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3631:3946
13QuilmesQuilmes3633:3045
14AlmagroAlmagro3633:4442
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3628:6227
PromotionRelegation

About the Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Almagro and Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional table

Almagro and Chacarita Juniors are close in the Primera Nacional table, 14th and 15th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Almagro 33-44, Chacarita Juniors 27-35. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.