Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction

Atlanta
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
San Martin Tucuman
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Atlanta Rest
6 days
San Martin Tucuman Rest
6 days

Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman: the result in context

Atlanta beat San Martin Tucuman 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atlanta had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for San Martin Tucuman.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.13
X
31%2.88
2
23%3.62
Double Chance
1X
77%1.24
X2
54%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.30
No
61%1.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 0.71 = 2.05
Over 1.5
58%1.58
Over 2.5
32%2.87
Over 3.5
15%5.94
Under 1.5
42%2.22
Under 2.5
68%1.36
Under 3.5
85%1.12
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'R. Ayala
59'G. Carabajal INM. Garcia out
64'R. Moreira INP. Ostachuk out
69'A. Graneros
71'A. Graneros INA. Cisnero out
71'R. Sosa IND. Arguello out
71'F. Romero INF. Caceres out
74'P. Ostachuk
90+4'

Team Comparison

AtlantaAtlanta
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
1583Elo Rating 1554
1.25Attack 1.40
1.80Defense 1.53
59%Hit Rate 39%

Game State Tendencies

AtlantaAtlanta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

AtlantaAtlanta3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman2Wins · 28%
2.7Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional25/05/2026
San Martin TucumanAtlanta
01
Primera Nacional15/09/2025
San Martin TucumanAtlanta
40
Primera Nacional11/05/2025
AtlantaSan Martin Tucuman
31
Primera Nacional23/07/2022
San Martin TucumanAtlanta
00
Primera Nacional18/08/2021
San Martin TucumanAtlanta
30
Primera Nacional04/04/2021
AtlantaSan Martin Tucuman
21
Primera Nacional17/01/2021
AtlantaSan Martin Tucuman
4212

Recent Form

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2AtlantaAtlanta351941242:34+861WLWWW
3TemperleyTemperley351612741:29+1260LDWWL
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy351610952:44+858LWDLD
5MidlandMidland351591143:29+1454WLWDL
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu351491243:34+951WLDWW
8ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3512121137:35+248DDDLL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3511101429:38-943WLWDL
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes35682126:60-3426LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2AtlantaAtlanta3542:3461
3TemperleyTemperley3541:2960
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3552:4458
5MidlandMidland3543:2954
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3543:3451
8ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3537:3548
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3529:3843
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3526:6026
PromotionRelegation

About the Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlanta and San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Atlanta are 2nd and San Martin Tucuman 10th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlanta 42-34, San Martin Tucuman 39-37. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.