Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction

Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Atletico DE Rafaela Rest
6 days
San Martin Tucuman Rest
5 days

Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman: result, form and history

Atletico DE Rafaela beat San Martin Tucuman 4-2 in the Primera Nacional on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.55
X
34%2.75
2
23%3.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.33
X2
57%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.32
No
61%1.51
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 0.81 = 2.02
Over 1.5
57%1.65
Over 2.5
29%3.05
Over 3.5
14%6.50
Under 1.5
43%2.10
Under 2.5
71%1.33
Under 3.5
86%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'A. CisneroAssist: A. Graneros
27'L. AlbertengoAssist: J. Bonifacio
31'G. Carabajal
34'B. CabreraAssist: M. Veron
40'J. Bonifacio
45+1'J. Juarez
62'F. Jourdan INJ. Cavallaro out
62'R. Ramirez INE. Wuattier out
65'L. AlbertengoAssist: A. Obando
67'M. Veron
69'S. Brinone IND. Diellos out
77'J. Bonifacio INM. Morello out
77'M. Moreno INA. Rodriguez out
78'J. Juarez INV. Salazar out
78'G. Carabajal ING. Monroy out
79'M. Morello
84'L. Albertengo
90+4'
90+5'

Team Comparison

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
1533Elo Rating 1554
1.22Attack 1.40
1.05Defense 1.53
41%Hit Rate 39%

Game State Tendencies

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman2Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional03/05/2026
San Martin TucumanAtletico DE Rafaela
21
Primera Nacional03/07/2022
Atletico DE RafaelaSan Martin Tucuman
11
Primera Nacional14/12/2020
San Martin TucumanAtletico DE Rafaela
03
Primera Nacional20/10/2019
San Martin TucumanAtletico DE Rafaela
30
Primera Nacional04/11/2017
San Martin TucumanAtletico DE Rafaela
02

Recent Form

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2AtlantaAtlanta351941242:34+861WLWWW
3TemperleyTemperley351612741:29+1260LDWWL
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy351610952:44+858LWDLD
5MidlandMidland351591143:29+1454WLWDL
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu351491243:34+951WLDWW
8ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3512121137:35+248DDDLL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3511101429:38-943WLWDL
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes35682126:60-3426LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2AtlantaAtlanta3542:3461
3TemperleyTemperley3541:2960
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3552:4458
5MidlandMidland3543:2954
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3543:3451
8ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3537:3548
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3529:3843
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3526:6026
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico DE Rafaela and San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Atletico DE Rafaela (11th) and San Martin Tucuman (10th) are level on 46 points. League goal record so far: Atletico DE Rafaela 29-35, San Martin Tucuman 39-37. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.