Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction
England · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Arsenal vs Leeds: result, form and history
Arsenal beat Leeds 2-1 in the Premier League on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Arsenal had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Leeds.
Arsenal have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Arsenal tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.8 for Leeds.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Arsenal
Avg ratingAvg rating
1D. Raya
4B. White
15E. Konsa
6G. Magalhães
33R. Calafiori
41D. Rice
49M. Lewis-Skelly
7B. Saka
8M. Ødegaard
20N. Madueke
29K. Havertz
1J. Trafford
24J. Justin
30N. Elvedi
5T. Muharemović
2J. Bogle
4E. Ampadu
22A. Tanaka
3G. Gudmundsson
18A. Stach
19N. Okafor
9D. Calvert-LewinArsenal Substitutes
Leeds Substitutes
Match Stats
ArsenalLeeds Team Comparison
ArsenalLeedsAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Arsenal- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
Leeds- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Arsenal9Wins · 90%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
31/01/2026LeedsArsenal23/08/2025ArsenalLeeds01/04/2023ArsenalLeeds16/10/2022LeedsArsenal08/05/2022ArsenalLeeds18/12/2021LeedsArsenal
26/10/2021ArsenalLeeds14/02/2021ArsenalLeeds22/11/2020LeedsArsenal
06/01/2020ArsenalLeedsRecent Form
Arsenal
BrightonArsenal
IpswichArsenal
SunderlandArsenal
NapoliArsenalArsenal
Chelsea
Aston VillaArsenalArsenal
CoventryArsenal
Manchester CityArsenal
ComoArsenal
Borussia DortmundLeedsLeeds
Crystal PalaceLeeds
NewcastleChelseaLeedsBrightonLeedsLeeds
Brentford
Nottingham ForestLeedsNottingham ForestLeedsLeeds
FC AugsburgLeeds
Manchester UnitedLeeds
RB LeipzigReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.80 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.72).
Cards come from 158 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | +16 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LWWLD |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 11 | DLDWD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 | DDLDW |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | WWDWL |
| 10 |  Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 13 |  Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 | WWLLD |
| 14 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | WWDLD |
| 15 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 23:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 6:14 | 5 |
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About the Arsenal vs Leeds forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Arsenal and Leeds in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Arsenal are 2nd and Leeds 7th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Arsenal 13-5, Leeds 9-6. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.