Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara Prediction

Atletico Goianiense
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Ceara
G. Bauermann 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
92%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalSTRONGModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.74
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Atletico Goianiense Rest
4 days
Ceara Rest
4 days

Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara: result, form and history

Atletico Goianiense beat Ceara 2-1 in the Serie B on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 7 matches. Referee G. Bauermann averages 5.83 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.69
X
19%3.48
2
5%5.00
Double Chance
1X
95%1.16
X2
24%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%1.98
No
68%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.63 = 2.22
Over 1.5
67%1.36
Over 2.5
42%2.10
Over 3.5
22%3.85
Under 1.5
33%3.00
Under 2.5
58%1.70
Under 3.5
78%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.40
Over 9.5
53%1.71
Over 10.5
44%2.07
Under 8.5
37%2.67
Under 9.5
47%2.04
Under 10.5
56%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
42%1.38
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
58%2.73

Match Events

7'Guilherme Costa MarquesAssist: Guilherme Lopes
12'Geovany SoaresAssist: Warley Leandro da Silva
22'João PedroFoul
25'Giovanni Pavani INNicolás Ferreira out
38'Bryan Borges MascarenhasFoul
39'Melquisedeque Costa De OliveiraAssist: Matheus Araujo
45'Gustavo Maia da Silva INHenrique out
45'Guilherme Costa Marques INYuri out
51'Card upgrade confirmedJosé Domingos de Moraes Neto
51'José Domingos de Moraes NetoAbusive Language
53'Geovany Soares INCristiano Claudinei Nogueira out
61'ViníciusFoul
62'Bryan Borges Mascarenhas INWendel da Silva Costa out
62'Matheus Araujo INLenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli out
67'João Pedro INGustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes out
68'Daniel Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos INKlebert de Oliveira Pereira out
73'Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira INLucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares out
73'Sávio António Alves INLucas Mugni out
89'Luiz OtávioFoul

Lineups

Atletico Goianiense
4-2-3-1Coach: Roger
Ceara
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Paulista
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.51
Paulo Vítor6.61P. Vítor
Warley6.72Warley
J. Barreto6.63J. Barreto
Adriano Martins6.54A. Martins
Guilherme Lopes7.36G. Lopes
Peixoto6.35Peixoto
Netinho6.48Netinho
Soares Geovany7.77S. Geovany
Guilherme Marques8.120G. Marques
Gustavo Maia6.411G. Maia
João Pedro6.29J. Pedro
Richard7.91Richard
Bryan6.031Bryan
Júlio6.918Júlio
Luiz Otávio6.44L. Otávio
Sávio6.36Sávio
Vinicius Zanocelo6.725V. Zanocelo
Giovanni Pavani6.17G. Pavani
Joao Gabriel6.981J. Gabriel
Richard7.940Richard
Matheus Araújo6.68M. Araújo
Vina6.129Vina

Atletico Goianiense Substitutes

16Yuri45'for Guilherme Costa Marques6.8
14Gebson
13Natã
21Matheusinho
18Gustavo Coutinho67'for João Pedro6.5
19Henrique Freitas Alves45'for Gustavo Maia da Silva6.3
17K. Pereira68'for Daniel Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos6.0
15Cristiano53'for Geovany Soares6.1
12Paulo Henrique

Ceara Substitutes

9Wendel62'for Bryan Borges Mascarenhas6.5
23Caíque França
11N. Ferreira25'for Giovanni Pavani6.5
10L. Mugni73'for Sávio António Alves6.8
99Lucca73'for Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira6.2
13Luiz Otávio89'
2Rafael Ramos
26Richardson
12Sanchez
41G. Dias
45Vini Uchella
77Lenny Lobato62'for Matheus Araujo6.6

Match Stats

Atletico GoianienseCeara
35%Ball Possession65%
3Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots25
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal11
3Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box11
4Blocked Shots9
18Fouls12
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
322Total Passes589
253Passes Accurate520
12Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
CearaCeara
1647Elo Rating 1611
0.87Attack 1.18
1.81Defense 1.95
14%Hit Rate 36%
24.8Shots per Game 13.1
4.3Shots on Target 3.9
10.2Corners per Game 5.2
2.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3Wins · 43%
Draws343%
CearaCeara1Wins · 14%
1.4Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B10/05/2026
CearaAtletico Goianiense
01
Serie B01/10/2023
CearaAtletico Goianiense
01
Serie B07/06/2023
Atletico GoianienseCeara
03
Serie A23/10/2022
Atletico GoianienseCeara
10
Serie A26/06/2022
CearaAtletico Goianiense
11
Serie A21/11/2021
Atletico GoianienseCeara
11
Serie A08/08/2021
CearaAtletico Goianiense
00

Referee Profile

G. Bauermann102 matches

5.83Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

G. Bauermann5.83
Other referees5.31

5.83 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Goianiense and Ceara in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th and Ceara 16th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Goianiense 42-33, Ceara 37-44. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.